Serie A · Matchday 10 
Our pick2–0Correct result
Venezia seek a climb as Como’s strong start continues
Venezia travel to Como looking to improve their position after taking three points from nine matches. But Como’s six wins and recent defensive solidity make the task a difficult one.
📍 Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Preview written: · Updated after team news:
All Matchday 10 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Como secured a 1-0 win over Venezia, with the only goal arriving in the 43rd minute. Lucas Da Cunha converted a penalty to put Como ahead before the break. No red cards were recorded, and the hosts held on to their one-goal lead for the rest of the match.
Como had 66% possession and led the shots count 19-7, while shots on target were 4-1. The xG figures were 1.63 for Como and 0.23 for Venezia. M. Perrone of Como was the top-rated player, with a rating of 7.4. The result was closer than the pre-match model’s 2-0 prediction for Como, which gave the hosts a 69% chance of winning, a draw 18%, and a Venezia win 13%.
Goals
- 43'Lucas Da Cunha (pen.) · Como
Cards
- 39'Simon Sohm · Venezia
- 41'Juan Jesus · Venezia
- 86'Kaiki Bruno · Como
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: M. Perrone (Como) 7.4
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Como · 4-2-3-1
- 1J. ButezG
- 27Yan CoutoD
- 4Jacobo Ramón NaverosD
- 2M. KempfD
- 16KaikiD
- 6Luis MillaM
- 21S. RicciM
- 7L. da CunhaM
- 10N. PazM
- 20M. BaturinaM
- 9T. DouvikasF
Coach: Cesc Fàbregas
Venezia · 3-5-2
- 1F. StankovićG
- 25R. HalhalD
- 15Juan JesusD
- 2M. MorenoD
- 18A. HainautM
- 19S. SohmM
- 6G. BusioM
- 21Þ. HelgasonM
- 70P. MazzocchiM
- 29L. LauberbachF
- 45A. AdamsF
Coach: D. Nicola
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Como | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Venezia | 0.7 | 2.1 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Como | 9 | +9 | 20 |
| 20 | Venezia | 9 | -13 | 3 |
Last meetings
- 2025Como1-1Venezia
- 2024Venezia2-2Como
- 2024Como2-1Venezia
- 2023Venezia3-0Como
- 2023Venezia3-2como
Absences
Como
- OutA. Diao · Thigh Injury
- OutM. Kean · Leg Injury
- OutJ. Rodriguez · Injury
- DoubtfulT. Chalobah · Injury
- DoubtfulM. Liberali · Calf Injury
Venezia
- OutA. Adorante · Hernia
- OutB. Franjic · Shoulder Injury
- OutM. Sverko · Hip Injury
- DoubtfulT. Correia · Thigh Injury
- DoubtfulT. J. Helgason · Injury
- DoubtfulP. Mazzocchi · Injury
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Strong
- Predicted score
- 2-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 2.32 – 0.93
- Double chance
- 1X · 87%12 82% · X2 31%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63%Over 1.5: 83% · Over 3.5: 41%
- Both teams score
- 54%
- Clean sheet
- 39% – 10%Como–Venezia
- Half-time result
- 1 · 51%X 34% · 2 15%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 46%X/1 19% · X/X 10%
- Expected corners
- 9.15.8 – 3.3 · Over 9.5: 43%
- Expected cards
- 4.01.6 – 2.4 · Over 3.5: 57%
- Most likely scores
- 2-010%
- 2-110%
- 1-09%
- 1-18%
- 3-08%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Venezia’s climb starts with a tough test
The sides’ most recent meeting ended in a 1-1 draw at Como on 8 March 2025. This time, Venezia return to Serie A with an urgent need to climb the standings: they have three points from nine matches, while Como sit fourth on 20 points after the same number of games.
Como’s position is built on a strong opening stretch: six wins, two draws and one defeat. Venezia, by contrast, have won once and lost eight times. The gap makes this a significant challenge for the visitors, but their focus is clear: find a result that can help them move up.
Opposing momentum
Como’s last five matches have brought eight goals for and four against. Their overall record includes 17 goals scored and eight conceded, and they have been particularly hard to break down at home, allowing just one goal in three league games there.
Venezia have scored only twice across their last five outings and conceded eight. Their season totals stand at six goals scored and 19 allowed. They have lost each of their four away league matches, so improving both their attacking output and defensive resistance will be central to their hopes.
A recent run of close meetings
The latest two Serie A encounters finished level: 1-1 at Como and 2-2 in Venezia. Their previous three meetings came in Serie B, with Como winning 2-1 in March 2024, after Venezia claimed a 3-0 home victory in August 2023 and a 3-2 win in April of that year.
Absences on both sides
Como are without A. Diao, M. Kean and J. Rodriguez, while T. Chalobah and M. Liberali are questionable. Venezia are missing A. Adorante, B. Franjic and M. Sverko; T. Correia, T. J. Helgason and P. Mazzocchi are doubtful.
Where the game could turn
Como’s recent balance of scoring and defending gives them a clear platform, especially at home. Venezia will need to make their limited recent scoring count and avoid the defensive lapses that have contributed to 19 goals conceded.
Our prediction
Como’s stronger results, home defensive record and greater scoring output point towards the hosts controlling the contest. PreviaXI’s model also favours Como, with a two-goal home win its most likely outcome.
Como 2-0 Venezia
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