Serie A · Matchday 10 
Our pick1–0Correct result
Juventus vs Napoli: recent meetings point to a tight Turin test
Juventus’s 3-0 win in the latest meeting at Allianz Stadium offers a striking contrast to Napoli’s three 2-1 victories in the previous five encounters. With both sides level on points, their recent history gives this Serie A clash a compelling edge.
📍 Allianz Stadium
Preview written: · Updated after team news:
All Matchday 10 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Juventus beat Napoli 2-0, with both goals coming in the final 20 minutes. Kerim Alajbegovic opened the scoring in the 70th minute, assisted by Edon Zhegrova. Napoli were reduced to 10 men five minutes later when Luca Marianucci received a red card. Juventus added a second in the 87th minute, as Jérémie Boga scored with Andrea Cambiaso providing the assist.
The statistics show Juventus had 18 total shots to Napoli’s eight and led 4-1 in shots on target. Napoli edged possession, with 51% to Juventus’ 49%, while the hosts also won 13 corners compared with four. Kerim-Sam Alajbegović was the top-rated player, with a rating of 8.2. The 2-0 result was one goal more than the model’s predicted 1-0 Juventus win; it had given Juventus a 46% win chance, a draw 27%, and Napoli a 27% chance.
Goals
- 70'Kerim Alajbegovic · Edon Zhegrova · Juventus
- 87'Jérémie Boga · Andrea Cambiaso · Juventus
Cards
- 16'Douglas Luiz Soares · Juventus
- 20'Jhon Lucumi · Juventus
- 38'Luca Marianucci · Napoli
- 71'Kerim Alajbegovic · Juventus
- 75'Luca Marianucci · Napoli
- 90+1'Rafael Marin Zamora · Napoli
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: Kerim-Sam Alajbegović (Juventus) 8.2
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Juventus · 3-4-1-2
- 25G. VicarioG
- 15P. KaluluD
- 3BremerD
- 26J. LucumíD
- 32J. CabalM
- 8T. KoopmeinersM
- 12Douglas LuizM
- 22W. McKennieM
- 17Kerim-Sam AlajbegovićM
- 9R. Kolo MuaniF
- 27N. WoltemadeF
Coach: L. Spalletti
Napoli · 4-3-3
- 1A. MeretG
- 22G. Di LorenzoD
- 35Luca MarianucciD
- 16Rafa MarínD
- 17M. OliveraD
- 11K. De BruyneM
- 99A. Zambo AnguissaM
- 8S. McTominayM
- 21M. PolitanoF
- 20L. LuccaF
- 70N. LangF
Coach: M. Allegri
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Napoli | 1.9 | 1.2 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Napoli | 9 | +6 | 14 |
| 9 | Juventus | 9 | +1 | 14 |
Last meetings
- 2026Juventus3-0Napoli
- 2025Napoli2-1Juventus
- 2025Napoli2-1Juventus
- 2024Juventus0-0Napoli
- 2024Napoli2-1Juventus
Absences
Juventus
- OutZ. Celik · Muscle Injury
- OutF. Conceicao · Shoulder Injury
- OutN. Gonzalez · Calf Injury
- OutK. Grabara · Knee Injury
- OutM. Locatelli · Knee Injury
- OutA. Milik · Inactive
- OutK. Thuram · Knee Injury
- OutK. Yildiz · Foot Injury
- DoubtfulJ. Ekhator · Muscle Injury
Napoli
- OutAlisson Santos · Muscle Injury
- OutB. Badiashile · Injury
- OutA. Buongiorno · Knee Injury
- OutDavid Neres · Thigh Injury
- OutC. Favasuli · Thigh Injury
- OutS. Lobotka · Injury
- OutL. Spinazzola · Thigh Injury
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.36 – 0.97
- Double chance
- 1X · 73%12 73% · X2 54%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 41%Over 1.5: 67% · Over 3.5: 21%
- Both teams score
- 46%
- Clean sheet
- 38% – 26%Juventus–Napoli
- Half-time result
- X · 45%1 33% · 2 22%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 27%X/1 17% · X/X 17%
- Expected corners
- 9.04.8 – 4.2 · Over 9.5: 41%
- Expected cards
- 2.91.4 – 1.5 · Over 3.5: 33%
- Most likely scores
- 1-014%
- 1-112%
- 0-110%
- 0-09%
- 2-09%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A level race in Turin
Juventus have taken 14 points from nine matches and sit ninth, below Napoli only on goal difference. Napoli are seventh, also with 14 points, and arrive at Allianz Stadium on Sunday with the recent head-to-head record offering both a warning and an opportunity.
Juventus seek a repeat
Juventus have scored five goals across their last five matches, conceding six. Their season record stands at four wins, two draws and three defeats, while Napoli have the same overall results but a stronger attack: 17 goals in nine league games to Juventus’s 11.
Napoli have scored 11 times in their last five outings, though they have also conceded six. That recent scoring run makes them a threat, but their previous visits to Turin show how difficult this fixture can be.
The latest meeting changed the pattern
Napoli won three of the five most recent meetings, each time by 2-1. The other two were a 0-0 draw and Juventus’s emphatic 3-0 home victory in January 2026.
That latest result is the clearest encouragement for Juventus: they kept Napoli scoreless at Allianz Stadium. But the broader sequence suggests a close contest, with Napoli repeatedly finding a way to edge the result before Juventus’s home win interrupted the run.
Absences across both squads
Juventus are without Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, A. Milik, K. Thuram and K. Yildiz. J. Ekhator is questionable.
Napoli’s absentees include Alisson Santos, B. Badiashile, A. Buongiorno, David Neres, C. Favasuli, S. Lobotka and L. Spinazzola.
Napoli bring the sharper attack
Napoli’s 17 league goals make them the more prolific side, and their 11 goals across the last five matches underline that threat. Juventus, however, have conceded only 10 in nine league games and will look to make home advantage count, as they did in the most recent meeting.
Our prediction
The recent meetings point to a contest that could be decided by a single goal. PreviaXI’s model favours Juventus, whose home advantage and defensive record give them a narrow edge against Napoli’s stronger attack. Juventus 1-0 Napoli
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