Torino vs Monza: Recent Meetings Point to a Tight Turin Contest
Torino sit ten places above Monza in the Serie A table only on the scoreboard's surface. The last five meetings between the sides have been close, low-scoring and decided by fine margins.
📍 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| Scored | Conceded | |
|---|---|---|
| Torino | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Monza | 1.9 | 2.1 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Torino | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 14 | Monza | 7 | -2 | 7 |
Last meetings
- 2026Torino0-1Monza
- 2025Monza0-2Torino
- 2024Torino1-1Monza
- 2024Torino1-0Monza
- 2023Monza1-1Torino
Absences
Torino
- OutE. Ilkhan · Muscle Injury
- OutF. Israel · Shoulder Injury
- DoubtfulN. Fortini · Thigh Injury
Monza
- OutY. Maye · Muscle Injury
- OutM. Pessina · Knee Injury
- OutI. Toure · Knee Injury
- OutE. Zeballos · Knee Injury
- OutJ. Ziolkowski · Foot Injury
PreviaXI model
- Most likely score
- 1-2
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.58 – 1.73
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64%
- Both teams score
- 65%
- Expected corners
- 8.54.6 – 3.9 · Over 9.5: 35%
- Expected cards
- 3.21.6 – 1.6 · Over 3.5: 38%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only.How our model works →
Torino sit tenth in Serie A with 10 points from seven matches, while Monza are 14th on seven. The gap is only three points, and a result on Friday could reshape the middle of the table.
Close margins in recent meetings
The last five meetings between these sides have been tight. Torino won 1-0 at home in March 2024 and 2-0 away in March 2025. Monza took the September Coppa Italia tie 1-0 at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, and the two Serie A games in 2023 and 2024 ended 1-1 each. Across those five matches only eight goals were scored, and neither side has won more than two of them.
Form: Torino’s home problem, Monza’s away struggles
Torino’s recent league run reads W-W-D-L-W, and they have scored eight and conceded five in their last five games. Their problem has been at home this season: one win and two defeats from three home matches, with just three goals scored in Turin.
Monza’s last five have been W-L-W-L-D, and they have scored ten, more than Torino. Away from home, however, they have yet to win in this campaign, collecting one draw and three defeats while conceding 11 goals in four trips.
Team news
Torino will be without E. Ilkhan (muscle) and F. Israel (shoulder), with N. Fortini a doubt because of a thigh problem.
Monza face a longer list of absences. Y. Maye (muscle), M. Pessina (knee), I. Toure (knee), E. Zeballos (knee) and J. Ziolkowski (foot) are all ruled out.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model favours Monza, and the football logic supports that lean. Monza have been the more productive side this season, and Torino have struggled to find the net at home. Torino’s defence has been more reliable at home than Monza’s has been away, so the game should be tight rather than one-sided. Monza’s attacking threat should be enough to edge a close, competitive match.
Torino 1-2 Monza

