3–3 Full time Saturday 24 October

Our pick0–1Missed

Napoli vs AS Roma: Napoli's home questions meet Roma's unbeaten run

Napoli host AS Roma on Saturday after a patchy run, while the visitors arrive unbeaten in Serie A and third in the table. Injuries on both sides add another layer to a clash of contrasting strengths.

📍 Maradona Stadium

All Matchday 8 matches

Match report

Napoli and AS Roma played out a 3-3 draw in Serie A Regular Season round 8. Frank Anguissa opened the scoring for Napoli in the 28th minute. Scott McTominay doubled the lead in the 48th minute, assisted by Matteo Politano. Matias Soule pulled Roma level in the 69th minute, assisted by Donyell Malen, and Leonardo Balerdi put Roma ahead in the 74th, assisted by Santiago Thomas Castro. McTominay equalised in the 83rd minute, assisted by Mathias Olivera, before Balerdi scored again in the 89th, assisted by Wesley Vinícius França Lima. Massimiliano Allegri was shown a red card for Napoli in the 90th minute.

Roma had 60% of possession and took 24 shots to Napoli's 15, but Napoli were more accurate, with 9 shots on target to Roma's 4, and produced a higher expected goals total, 2.42 to 1.92. Roma won 11 corners to Napoli's 2. Scott McTominay was the top-rated player, with a 9.0 rating. The result departed from the pre-match view, which had predicted a 0-1 away win and given AS Roma a 38% chance, Napoli 35% and a draw 27%.

Goals

28'Frank Anguissa · Napoli
48'Scott McTominay · Matteo Politano · Napoli
69'Matias Soule · Donyell Malen · AS Roma
74'Leonardo Balerdi · Santiago Thomas Castro · AS Roma
83'Scott McTominay · Mathias Olivera · Napoli
89'Leonardo Balerdi · Wesley Vinícius França Lima · AS Roma

Cards

4'Rafael Marin Zamora · Napoli
30'Bryan Cristante · AS Roma
45'Devyne Rensch · AS Roma
61'Leonardo Balerdi · AS Roma
86'Marten de Roon · AS Roma
90'Massimiliano Allegri · Napoli

Match stats

NapoliAS Roma

40%Possession60%

15Shots24

9Shots on target4

2.42Expected goals (xG)1.92

2Corners11

6Fouls11

0Offsides1

1Saves5

⭐ Top-rated player: S. McTominay (Napoli) 9

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Napoli · 4-3-3

1A. MeretG
22G. Di LorenzoD
16Rafa MarínD
5B. BadiashileD
17M. OliveraD
11K. De BruyneM
99A. Zambo AnguissaM
8S. McTominayM
21M. PolitanoF
19R. HøjlundF
70N. LangF

Coach: M. Allegri

AS Roma · 3-5-2

95P. GolliniG
23G. ManciniD
5E. NdickaD
22HermosoD
2D. RenschM
15M. de RoonM
4B. CristanteM
61N. PisilliM
43WesleyM
18M. SouléF
14D. MalenF

Coach: G. Gasperini

Match facts

Recent form

NapoliLWDWL

AS RomaWWDDW

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·	Scored	Conceded
Napoli	1.4	1.0
AS Roma	2.3	0.4

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
3	AS Roma	7	+13	17
9	Napoli	7	+3	10

Last meetings

2026Napoli2-2AS Roma
2025AS Roma0-1Napoli
2025AS Roma1-1Napoli
2024Napoli1-0AS Roma
2024Napoli2-2AS Roma

Absences

Napoli

OutAlisson Santos · Muscle Injury
OutA. Buongiorno · Knee Injury
OutDavid Neres · Thigh Injury
OutC. Favasuli · Thigh Injury
DoubtfulA. Vergara · Calf Injury

AS Roma

OutM. Bah · Knee Injury
OutP. Dybala · Calf Injury
OutM. Kone · Muscle Injury
OutM. Svilar · Toe Injury
DoubtfulL. Pellegrini · Injury

PreviaXI model

Napoli35%Draw27%AS Roma38%

Predicted score: 0-1
Expected goals (model): 1.15 – 1.22
Double chance: 12 · 73%1X 62% · X2 65%
Over 2.5 goals: 42%
Both teams score: 48%
Expected corners: 8.04.7 – 3.3 · Over 9.5: 29%
Expected cards: 3.41.5 – 1.9 · Over 3.5: 43%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Napoli come into Saturday’s match with a mixed record: two wins, two defeats and a draw in their last five Serie A games, with seven goals scored and five conceded. It is a side that has shown flashes but has struggled to build consistency.

Ninth versus third, and the gap shows

Napoli sit ninth on 10 points after seven rounds. AS Roma are third on 17, with a goal difference of +13 against Napoli’s +3. Roma have scored 16 times this season, while Napoli have managed 10, and Roma have conceded just three goals in the league. This fixture pits a side that scores freely against one that has been far more vulnerable at the back.

Roma’s unbeaten thread

Roma have not lost a league match this season, collecting five wins and two draws. Their last five games have produced eight goals and three conceded, and they have kept five clean sheets overall. Napoli, by contrast, have let in seven. Their home form offers some comfort, with two wins and a single defeat in three matches at the Maradona, but Roma’s away record is perfect: three games, two wins, one draw and no goals conceded on the road. Napoli’s goals have often arrived late, with three of their ten coming between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Napoli’s edge in recent meetings

Napoli have the better recent head-to-head. They have won two of the last five meetings, 1-0 at home in November 2024 and 1-0 in Rome in November 2025. The other three were draws: 2-2 in April 2024, 1-1 in February 2025 and 2-2 in February 2026. Roma have not won any of those five.

Missing names on both sides

Napoli are without Alisson Santos (muscle), A. Buongiorno (knee), David Neres (thigh) and C. Favasuli (thigh), and A. Vergara is a doubt with a calf problem. Roma will miss M. Bah (knee), P. Dybala (calf), M. Kone (muscle) and M. Svilar (toe), with L. Pellegrini also a doubt. Both squads are depleted, which makes the match harder to call.

Our prediction

PreviaXI’s model favours AS Roma, and the football reasoning is clear. Roma are the more productive side, have not lost a league game this season and have not conceded on the road. Napoli’s home record is respectable, but their defensive problems and absences make a narrow away win look the most likely outcome. Expect a tight, physical contest in which Roma’s cutting edge decides it.

Napoli 0-1 AS Roma

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