Lazio's winning run meets a Parma side still searching for victories

Lazio and Parma last met on 4 April, when a 1-1 draw left both sides with little to celebrate. Six months on, the picture is very different. Lazio head into Saturday’s Serie A fixture without defeat in seven league games, six of them wins, and the question is whether that momentum can carry on against a team at the foot of the table.

A run Lazio want to keep alive

Lazio sit second with 19 points from seven matches and a goal difference of +10. Parma are 19th of 20, with four points and a goal difference of -9. On paper, this is the kind of game a side in form is expected to win. The challenge for Lazio is to keep their sequence going against opponents who have struggled to find the net.

Six wins from seven, and Parma’s slide

Lazio have scored 14 times this season, two goals a game, and conceded only four. At home they have won twice and drawn once, and they have not lost there. Their last five league matches have produced 12 goals for and four against.

Parma have had a much harder start. They have one win, one draw and five defeats, and have scored just four goals. On the road they are still waiting for their first victory, having lost all three away games. Over their last five matches they have conceded ten.

Lazio’s edge over Parma

Across the last five meetings, Lazio have won twice, drawn twice and lost once. Parma’s only win in that run came in December 2024, when they beat Lazio 3-1. Lazio responded with a 1-0 victory away at Parma in December 2025, and the April draw continued the pattern of tight, competitive games.

Injuries thin both squads

Lazio will be without Furlanetto (knee) and Gudmundsson (shoulder). Cancellieri (leg), Marusic (muscle), Rovella (calf) and Taylor (thigh) are all doubtful.

Parma are missing Almqvist (calf), Elphege (illness) and Nicolussi Caviglia (thigh). Valenti is also a doubt, with the decision left to the coach.

Our prediction

PreviaXI’s model favours Lazio, and the football backs that up. Lazio have the stronger attack and the tighter defence, and they have been far more reliable at home than Parma have been on the road. Expect a controlled, fairly cautious game, with Lazio’s home form and superior record in recent results deciding it.

Lazio 1-0 Parma