Serie A · Matchday 8 
Our pick0–1Correct result
Cagliari ride a three-game streak as Bologna look to spoil the party
Cagliari arrive on three straight wins and sit comfortably in the top half, but Bologna, bottom of the table's lower half and missing key men, have won more of the recent head-to-heads.
📍 Unipol Domus
Match report
Bologna beat Cagliari 2-0 in Serie A Regular Season round 8. The away side opened the scoring in the 57th minute through Nicolo Casale, with Juan Miranda credited with the assist. Federico Bernardeschi doubled the lead from a penalty in the 80th minute. No red cards were shown.
Cagliari had 57% of the possession, but Bologna were the more threatening side, taking 10 shots to 4 and registering 5 shots on target to 1. Their expected goals stood at 1.61 against 0.32, and they earned six corners to one. Casale was also the top-rated player of the match, with a rating of 8.4. Before kickoff, PreviaXI's model had predicted a 0-1 scoreline, with Bologna at 39%, Cagliari at 34% and a draw at 27%.
Goals
- 57'Nicolo Casale · Juan Miranda · Bologna
- 80'Federico Bernardeschi (pen.) · Bologna
Cards
- 32'Federico Bernardeschi · Bologna
- 38'Zé Pedro · Cagliari
- 55'Roberto Gagliardini · Cagliari
- 77'Alessandro Deiola · Cagliari
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: N. Casale (Bologna) 8.4
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Cagliari · 4-3-2-1
- 1E. CaprileG
- 2Zé PedroD
- 14A. DeiolaD
- 15J. RodríguezD
- 33A. ObertD
- 8M. AdopoM
- 6H. WinksM
- 4A. RomanoM
- 79Y. MassolinM
- 70D. MaldiniM
- 31P. MendyF
Coach: F. Pisacane
Bologna · 3-4-3
- 1Ł. SkorupskiG
- 36M. DarmianD
- 16N. CasaleD
- 3A. TheateD
- 20N. ZorteaM
- 19L. FergusonM
- 4T. PobegaM
- 33Juan MirandaM
- 10F. BernardeschiF
- 21J. OdgaardF
- 28N. CambiaghiF
Coach: Raffaele Palladino
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| Bologna | 0.9 | 1.4 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cagliari | 7 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Bologna | 7 | -4 | 5 |
Last meetings
- 2026Bologna0-0Cagliari
- 2025Cagliari0-2Bologna
- 2025Bologna2-1Cagliari
- 2024Cagliari0-2Bologna
- 2024Cagliari2-1Bologna
Absences
Cagliari
- OutM. Felici · Knee Injury
- OutR. Idrissi · Knee Injury
- DoubtfulY. Trepy · Injury
Bologna
- OutE. Holm · Thigh Injury
- OutR. Orsolini · Thigh Injury
- OutR. Piccoli · Hamstring Injury
PreviaXI model
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.10 – 1.20
- Double chance
- 12 · 73%1X 61% · X2 66%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 41%
- Both teams score
- 46%
- Expected corners
- 9.14.7 – 4.4 · Over 9.5: 43%
- Expected cards
- 3.82.0 – 1.8 · Over 3.5: 52%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Cagliari have won three league matches in a row, and they go into Saturday’s home game at the Unipol Domus as the side with the momentum and the higher position. The question is whether Bologna, the underdogs on the table, can pull off a result on Sardinia.
Context and stakes
Cagliari are seventh with 13 points from seven games, which makes them the clear favourites on paper. Bologna are 15th with five points and a goal difference of -4, and the visitors need points badly to climb out of trouble.
Form
Cagliari’s recent run has been more about winning than dominating. In their last five league games they have scored five and conceded six, so the wins have come with little margin for error. Bologna have scored six and conceded eight over the same period, and their away record is modest: one win from three trips this season.
Head-to-head
Bologna have the upper hand in recent meetings. In the last five league clashes they have won three, Cagliari have won one, and one ended goalless, most recently in May at Bologna.
Team news
Cagliari will be without M. Felici and R. Idrissi, both sidelined by knee injuries, while Y. Trepy is a doubt with an injury. Bologna are missing E. Holm and R. Orsolini through thigh problems and R. Piccoli with a hamstring injury, a significant blow for a side already struggling for goals.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model gives Bologna a slight edge, and the football makes sense of it. Cagliari have been solid at home without being prolific, and their defence has leaked goals in recent weeks. Bologna’s record against them, and their habit of finding a way to win close games, suggests a tight, low-scoring contest where a single goal could settle it.
Cagliari 0-1 Bologna
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