1–2 Full time Sunday 1 November

Our pick2–1Missed

St. Truiden under pressure as Leuven visit

St. Truiden have lost four of their last five league matches and face an OH Leuven side that has also struggled to find wins. The hosts have the stronger recent head-to-head record and a home edge in the model.

📍 Daio Wasabi Stayen

Preview written: Sat 31 Oct 00:36

All Matchday 10 matches Full head-to-head

Match report

St. Truiden took the lead just after half-time when N. Mbuku scored in the 46th minute, assisted by F. Soelle. OH Leuven levelled seven minutes later through R. Mirisola, with S. Schrijvers providing the assist. The visitors completed the turnaround in the 81st minute as D. Opoku scored from W. George’s assist, securing a 2-1 win. No red cards were recorded.

St. Truiden had more possession, 61% to 39%, and more shots on target, 7 to 3, while the total shot count was close at 22-20. The home side also led the expected-goals comparison, 3.63 to 1.47. OH Leuven goalkeeper Dani van den Heuvel was the top-rated player, with a 9.9 rating. The result differed from the pre-match model’s predicted 2-1 home win, which gave St. Truiden a 58% chance of victory, a draw 22%, and OH Leuven a 20% chance.

Goals

46'N. Mbuku · F. Soelle · St. Truiden
53'R. Mirisola · S. Schrijvers · OH Leuven
81'D. Opoku · W. George · OH Leuven

Cards

55'J. Lawrence · OH Leuven
84'K. Matsuzawa · St. Truiden
88'D. Opoku · OH Leuven
90+3'R. Nyakossi · OH Leuven
90+5'T. Simons · OH Leuven

Match stats

St. TruidenOH Leuven

61%Possession39%

22Shots20

7Shots on target3

3.63Expected goals (xG)1.47

11Corners9

9Fouls11

0Offsides2

2Saves6

⭐ Top-rated player: Dani van den Heuvel (OH Leuven) 9.9

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

St. Truiden · 4-2-3-1

16Léo KokuboG
3Taiga HataD
4Kota TakaiD
26Visar MusliuD
23Joedrick PupeD
18Nelson IshiwatariM
8Abdoulaye SissakoM
11Nathanaël MbukuM
14Ryan MerlenM
10Ilias SebaouiM
19Frederic Soelle SoelleF

OH Leuven · 3-4-3

1Dani van den HeuvelG
5Jamie LawrenceD
28Ewoud PletinckxD
34Roggerio NyakossiD
99Davis OpokuM
6Wouter GeorgeM
8Siebe SchrijversM
26Takuya OgiwaraM
7Emmanuel AddaiF
18Robin MirisolaF
21William BalikwishaF

Match facts

Recent form

St. TruidenWLLLL

OH LeuvenLDWDD

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·	Scored	Conceded
St. Truiden	1.9	2.1
OH Leuven	0.9	1.8

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
13	St. Truiden	9	-2	8
16	OH Leuven	9	-8	6

Last meetings

2026St. Truiden1-0OH Leuven
2025OH Leuven1-2St. Truiden
2025OH Leuven3-2St. Truiden
2024St. Truiden2-1OH Leuven
2024St. Truiden1-1OH Leuven

PreviaXI model

St. Truiden58%Draw22%OH Leuven20%

Model confidence: Medium

Predicted score: 2-1
Expected goals (model): 1.95 – 1.04
Double chance: 1X · 80%12 78% · X2 42%
Over 2.5 goals: 57%Over 1.5: 80% · Over 3.5: 35%
Both teams score: 56%
Clean sheet: 35% – 14%St. Truiden–OH Leuven
Half-time result: 1 · 43%X 38% · 2 19%
Half-time / full-time: 1/1 · 37%X/1 18% · X/X 13%
Expected corners: 11.57.9 – 3.6 · Over 9.5: 71%
Expected cards: 4.21.5 – 2.7 · Over 3.5: 61%
Most likely scores: 1-111%
2-110%
2-010%
1-09%
3-16%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

A run that demands a response

St. Truiden have lost four of their last five matches, a sequence that puts pressure on them to respond when OH Leuven visit on Sunday. Their latest five-game form is just one win and four defeats, and they sit 13th after nine rounds with eight points. Leuven are 16th on six points, so both sides need a result to create breathing room in the lower reaches of the table.

Leuven arrive with a defensive edge

St. Truiden have scored nine goals across their last five matches but conceded 11. Their season record is five defeats in nine, with 17 goals scored and 19 allowed. The concern at home is sharper: they have conceded six goals in four home games and kept just one clean sheet overall.

Leuven have taken one win, three draws and five defeats in the league. They have scored only eight goals in nine matches, including just two across four away games. Their recent defensive record is better than St. Truiden’s, with seven conceded in their last five compared with 11 for the hosts, but Leuven have also struggled to turn that solidity into victories.

Recent meetings favour the hosts

St. Truiden have won three of the last five meetings, including both most recent encounters: 1-0 at home in January and 2-1 away in November. Leuven’s win in that run came in March 2025, when they prevailed 3-2. The head-to-head record offers the hosts encouragement, but their current losing run makes another meeting far from routine.

No listed absences

No absences are listed for either team, leaving both sides without a reported squad setback ahead of the match.

Goals could come from both sides

St. Truiden have been more productive in attack this season, with 17 goals to Leuven’s eight, and have scored 12 of their goals away from home. Leuven’s scoring has been limited, but they have found the net in six of their nine league fixtures. Both teams have kept only one clean sheet, suggesting the match may offer chances at either end.

Our prediction

St. Truiden’s home advantage and stronger attacking output give them the edge, even as their recent defeats raise questions about confidence. PreviaXI’s model favours the hosts, while Leuven’s low away scoring points to a narrow home win.

St. Truiden 2-1 OH Leuven

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