2–0 Full time Sunday 1 November

Our pick1–0Correct result

Gent’s winning run faces a test at Lommel

League leaders Gent arrive with eight wins from nine and just two goals conceded across their last five matches. Eighth-placed Lommel United will look to use home advantage to halt their momentum.

📍 Soevereinstadion

Preview written: Sat 31 Oct 00:37

All Matchday 10 matches

Match report

Lommel United beat Gent 2-0, with both goals arriving late. J. Talvitie opened the scoring in the 82nd minute, assisted by D. Gordic. Five minutes later, Gordic added the second, with L. Schoofs providing the assist. There were no red cards.

Lommel United had 59% possession and led Gent 7-4 in shots on target, while total shots were closer at 16-14. The expected-goals figures were also close, at 1.34 for Lommel United and 1.26 for Gent. Matthias Pieklak of Lommel United was the top-rated player, with a rating of 7.9. The 2-0 result was one goal wider than the model’s predicted 1-0, which had assigned both teams a 36% win chance and a 28% chance of a draw.

Goals

82'J. Talvitie · D. Gordic · Lommel United
87'D. Gordic · L. Schoofs · Lommel United

Cards

38'M. Delorge · Gent
38'R. De Mil · Gent
84'T. De Vlieger · Gent
90'T. Araujo · Gent

Match stats

Lommel UnitedGent

59%Possession41%

16Shots14

7Shots on target4

1.34Expected goals (xG)1.26

3Corners5

9Fouls10

0Offsides3

4Saves4

⭐ Top-rated player: Matthias Pieklak (Lommel United) 7.9

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Lommel United · 4-1-4-1

23Matthias PieklakG
2Jason van DuivenD
3Timothy EyomaD
14Jesper TolinssonD
4Shawn AdewoyeD
6Joey PelupessyM
11Stredair AppuahM
15Lucas SchoofsM
41Sverre NypanM
10Tom ReynersM
9Don-Angelo KonaduF

Gent · 3-4-2-1

33Davy RoefG
3Maksim PaskotsiD
57Matties VolckaertD
44Siebe Van der HeydenD
45Hyllarion GooreM
22Leonardo LopesM
17Mathias DelorgeM
20Tiago AraújoM
37Abdelkahar KadriF
11Momodou SonkoF
21Max DeanF

Match facts

Recent form

Lommel UnitedLLDWD

GentWDWWW

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·	Scored	Conceded
Lommel United	1.2	1.2
Gent	2.1	0.4

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Gent	9	+15	25
8	Lommel United	9	0	12

Last meetings

2022Lommel UnitedNone-NoneGent
2021Lommel United0-2Gent

PreviaXI model

Lommel United36%Draw28%Gent36%

Model confidence: Open game

Predicted score: 1-0
Expected goals (model): 1.25 – 1.24
Double chance: 12 · 72%1X 64% · X2 64%
Over 2.5 goals: 45%Over 1.5: 72% · Over 3.5: 24%
Both teams score: 51%
Clean sheet: 29% – 29%Lommel United–Gent
Half-time result: X · 44%1 28% · 2 28%
Half-time / full-time: 1/1 · 21%2/2 21% · X/X 18%
Expected corners: 10.64.7 – 5.9 · Over 9.5: 61%
Expected cards: 3.31.2 – 2.1 · Over 3.5: 42%
Most likely scores: 1-113%
1-010%
0-110%
0-09%
2-18%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

The leaders meet the eighth-placed side

Gent travel to Soevereinstadion on Sunday as Jupiler Pro League leaders, with 25 points from nine matches. Lommel United sit eighth on 12 points, so the visitors begin with a clear advantage in the table—and arrive on a winning run that has made them the team to beat.

The gap is substantial, but Lommel have taken points in six of their nine league games. Their home record has been less convincing: one win, one draw and two defeats from four matches. Gent, meanwhile, have won all four of their away fixtures.

Gent’s momentum, Lommel’s challenge

Gent’s recent form is striking. They have won four of their last five, scoring 12 goals and conceding only two in that spell. Their season record is even stronger: eight wins and one draw, with 19 goals scored and just four conceded.

Lommel’s last five have brought a less settled sequence, with two wins, two defeats and a draw. They have scored five goals and conceded nine in that run. Overall, their 11 goals scored and 11 conceded leave them level on goal difference, a contrast with Gent’s plus-15.

There is one reason for the home side to believe they can make this awkward: Lommel have conceded only twice in four home league matches. Gent’s away results are formidable, but this could be tighter than the league positions suggest.

A brief history between them

The recent record is limited. Gent beat Lommel 2-0 in a cup tie in December 2021; their other listed meeting, a friendly in August 2022, has no recorded score.

No listed absences

Neither team has any absences listed ahead of the match.

Gent’s late threat

Gent’s 19 league goals underline their attacking output, and seven have come in the final 15 minutes. That late scoring habit could be important if Lommel keep the contest close. The hosts’ defensive record at home offers some encouragement, but they will need to manage Gent’s pressure for the full match.

Our prediction

Gent’s form and away record make them the obvious side to fear, but the statistical model points to a narrow home win rather than another step in the visitors’ streak. Lommel’s stronger home defending could keep the contest close, and a single goal may decide it.

Lommel United 1-0 Gent

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