Jupiler Pro League · Matchday 10 
Our pick1–0Correct result
Charleroi’s home strength faces a stubborn RAAL La Louvière
Fourth-placed Charleroi have the stronger season record and a formidable home attack, but RAAL La Louvière have already beaten them this season. Can the visitors turn that result into another upset?
📍 Stade du Pays de Charleroi
Preview written:
Match report
Charleroi beat RAAL La Louvière 5-2, scoring twice in the first half before stretching their lead after the break. J. Romsaas opened the scoring in the sixth minute, assisted by F. Mbemba, and A. Scheidler converted a penalty in the 33rd. In the 47th, W. Faye scored an own goal, then F. Mbemba made it 4-0 two minutes later with P. Pflucke’s assist. L. Rousseau, assisted by D. Lamego, and M. Isah, set up by W. Faye, scored in the 75th and 76th minutes. A. Colassin added Charleroi’s fifth in the 84th, assisted by F. Mbemba. C. Keita was sent off in the 89th.
Charleroi had 58% possession and led the shots on target 6-3, while the xG was 2.14 to 0.91. Freddy Mbemba was the top-rated player, with a 9.9 rating. The 5-2 result was more decisive than the pre-match model’s 1-0 prediction, which gave Charleroi a 55% win chance, a draw 25% and RAAL La Louvière a 20% chance.
Goals
- 6'J. Romsaas · F. Mbemba · Charleroi
- 33'A. Scheidler (pen.) · Charleroi
- 47'W. Faye (o.g.) · Charleroi
- 49'F. Mbemba · P. Pflucke · Charleroi
- 75'L. Rousseau · D. Lamego · RAAL La Louvière
- 76'M. Isah · W. Faye · RAAL La Louvière
- 84'A. Colassin · F. Mbemba · Charleroi
Cards
- 46'M. Wade · RAAL La Louvière
- 52'A. Ousou · Charleroi
- 89'C. Keita · Charleroi
- 89'C. Keita · Charleroi
- 89'C. Keita · Charleroi
- 89'K. Van Den Kerkhof · Charleroi
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: Freddy Mbemba (Charleroi) 9.9
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Charleroi · 4-2-3-1
- 30Mohamed KonéG
- 3Kevin Van Den KerkhofD
- 4Aiham OusouD
- 95Cheick KeitaD
- 2Triston RoweD
- 6Amine BoukamirM
- 18Yassine KhalifiM
- 14Patrick PflückeM
- 8Jakob Napoleon RomsaasM
- 20Freddy MbembaM
- 21Aurélien ScheidlerF
RAAL La Louvière · 5-3-2
- 21Marcos Hernán PeanoG
- 3Nolan GillotD
- 4Wagane FayeD
- 22Siad GourvilleD
- 25Djibril LamegoD
- 5Thierry LutondaD
- 29Marius CourcoulM
- 10Mame WadeM
- 48Ismaila CoulibalyM
- 30Zsombor GruberF
- 11Mustapha IsahF
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| RAAL La Louvière | 1.2 | 2.0 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Charleroi | 9 | +6 | 21 |
| 14 | RAAL La Louvière | 9 | -7 | 7 |
Last meetings
- 2025Charleroi0-0RAAL La Louvière
- 2025RAAL La Louvière1-0Charleroi
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.70 – 0.91
- Double chance
- 1X · 80%12 75% · X2 45%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48%Over 1.5: 74% · Over 3.5: 27%
- Both teams score
- 49%
- Clean sheet
- 40% – 18%Charleroi–RAAL La Louvière
- Half-time result
- X · 42%1 40% · 2 18%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 35%X/1 18% · X/X 16%
- Expected corners
- 9.95.7 – 4.2 · Over 9.5: 53%
- Expected cards
- 3.51.5 – 2.0 · Over 3.5: 47%
- Most likely scores
- 1-012%
- 1-112%
- 2-011%
- 2-110%
- 0-08%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Charleroi’s chance to consolidate
RAAL La Louvière travel to Charleroi with a clear challenge: disrupt a side sitting fourth in the Jupiler Pro League and boasting seven wins from nine matches. The visitors are 14th, with seven points, and have lost six of their nine games. Yet the gap in the table does not tell the whole story: La Louvière have already taken a victory over Charleroi this season.
Charleroi have scored 16 league goals and conceded 10, while La Louvière have scored 11 and let in 18. The home side’s record at Stade du Pays de Charleroi is particularly strong in attack, with 10 goals in four matches. For the visitors, away scoring has been a major problem: they have managed just one goal in four road games.
Recent form points to the home side
Charleroi’s last five matches have brought three wins, alongside seven goals scored and eight conceded. Their broader league form is also impressive, although the latest sequence includes two defeats in its last three results.
La Louvière have two wins in their last five and have scored seven times in that span, matching Charleroi’s total. But they have conceded 10 goals in those matches, and their four away league fixtures have all ended in defeat. Their 2-0 win over Charleroi in the latest head-to-head meeting shows, however, that they can trouble the favourite.
La Louvière have already landed a blow
The teams’ two listed league meetings produced a 0-0 draw at Charleroi in November 2025 and a 1-0 La Louvière win in August 2025. That recent victory offers the visitors a reminder that the standings do not guarantee the outcome, even if repeating it on the road will be difficult.
No reported absences
Neither side has any listed absences, so the preview points to a contest shaped by current form and the contrasting home and away records.
Home scoring against away struggles
Charleroi’s 10 goals in four home matches make their attacking threat clear. La Louvière’s one goal in four away games is the counterpoint, while their 10 goals conceded across the last five matches raise the possibility that sustained home pressure could tell.
Still, La Louvière have scored seven times in their last five overall and have already beaten Charleroi this season. If they can carry that threat into an away performance, they have a route to make the match uncomfortable for the hosts.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model favours Charleroi, and the home side’s strong record at this ground contrasts sharply with La Louvière’s four away defeats and meagre return of one goal on the road. The visitors’ earlier win makes them a credible threat, but Charleroi look better placed to edge a tight game.
Charleroi 1-0 RAAL La Louvière
⚑ Report a mistakeEditorial policy
Jupiler Pro League table All previews that day
More Jupiler Pro League previews
Jupiler Pro League 
Lommel United 
Gent Our pick1–0Correct result
League leaders Gent arrive with eight wins from nine and just two goals conceded across their last five matches. Eighth-placed Lommel United will look to use home advantage to halt their momentum.
Read preview Jupiler Pro League 
St. Truiden 
OH Leuven Our pick2–1Missed
St. Truiden have lost four of their last five league matches and face an OH Leuven side that has also struggled to find wins. The hosts have the stronger recent head-to-head record and a home edge in the model.
Read preview Jupiler Pro League 
Cercle Brugge 
Antwerp Our pick2–1Exact score
Cercle Brugge are bottom of the Jupiler Pro League after a run of defeats, and their latest meeting with Antwerp ended in a 4-0 loss. They need a response at Jan Breydel, though PreviaXI’s model points to a narrow home win.
Read preview Jupiler Pro League 
Anderlecht 
KVC Westerlo Our pick2–1Correct result
Only two points separate Anderlecht and KVC Westerlo after nine matches, with both sides arriving in strong form. Anderlecht’s home record offers a counterweight to Westerlo’s prolific recent attack.
Read preview