4–1 Full time Saturday 31 October

Our pick2–1Correct result

Anderlecht and Westerlo seek the edge in a tight Pro League race

Only two points separate Anderlecht and KVC Westerlo after nine matches, with both sides arriving in strong form. Anderlecht’s home record offers a counterweight to Westerlo’s prolific recent attack.

📍 Lotto Park

Preview written: Sat 31 Oct 19:09

All Matchday 10 matches Full head-to-head

Match report

Anderlecht beat KVC Westerlo 4-1. M. Cvetkovic opened the scoring in the 40th minute, then assisted M. Stroeykens three minutes later as Anderlecht extended their lead. T. Aasgaard made it 3-0 in first-half stoppage time, and L. Ambros added a fourth in the 60th minute. N. Storm scored for KVC Westerlo in the 81st, assisted by C. Sandra. There were no red cards.

Anderlecht had 54% possession and led the shots tally 22-12, including 8-4 on target. Their expected goals were 2.63 to KVC Westerlo’s 0.77. Mario Stroeykens was the top-rated player, with a rating of 8.2. The 4-1 result was more decisive than the model’s pre-match 2-1 prediction, which gave Anderlecht a 47% win chance, a 24% chance of a draw and KVC Westerlo a 29% win chance.

Goals

40'M. Cvetkovic · Anderlecht
43'M. Stroeykens · M. Cvetkovic · Anderlecht
45+1'T. Aasgaard · Anderlecht
60'L. Ambros · Anderlecht
81'N. Storm · C. Sandra · KVC Westerlo

Cards

38'I. Charai · KVC Westerlo
53'M. Stroeykens · Anderlecht
65'L. Flo · KVC Westerlo
90'A. Omobamidele · Anderlecht

Match stats

AnderlechtKVC Westerlo

54%Possession46%

22Shots12

8Shots on target4

2.63Expected goals (xG)0.77

4Corners5

7Fouls13

2Offsides1

3Saves3

⭐ Top-rated player: Mario Stroeykens (Anderlecht) 8.2

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Anderlecht · 4-3-3

26Colin CoosemansG
79Ali MaamarD
4Giulian BianconeD
27Léo PétrotD
6Ludwig AugustinssonD
30Ilias KoutsoupiasM
29Mario StroeykensM
19Thelo AasgaardM
18Lukáš AmbrosF
9Mihajlo CvetkovićF
49Jayden Onia SekeF

KVC Westerlo · 4-2-3-1

99Andreas JungdalG
2Lasse FløD
5Seiji KimuraD
4Amando LapageD
88Fabio FerraroD
45Ibrahim FofanaM
14Cisse SandraM
20Cameron CongreveM
13Isa SakamotoM
7Shunsuke SaitoM
9Norman BassetteF

Match facts

Recent form

AnderlechtDWWWL

KVC WesterloWWWWD

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·	Scored	Conceded
Anderlecht	1.0	1.1
KVC Westerlo	2.7	2.3

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
5	Anderlecht	9	-1	16
7	KVC Westerlo	9	+3	14

Last meetings

2025KVC Westerlo4-0Anderlecht
2025Anderlecht5-2KVC Westerlo
2025KVC Westerlo2-0Anderlecht
2024Anderlecht4-1KVC Westerlo
2024Anderlecht2-2KVC Westerlo

PreviaXI model

Anderlecht47%Draw24%KVC Westerlo29%

Model confidence: Open game

Predicted score: 2-1
Expected goals (model): 1.81 – 1.41
Double chance: 12 · 76%1X 71% · X2 53%
Over 2.5 goals: 63%Over 1.5: 84% · Over 3.5: 40%
Both teams score: 64%
Clean sheet: 24% – 16%Anderlecht–KVC Westerlo
Half-time result: 1 · 37%X 37% · 2 26%
Half-time / full-time: 1/1 · 29%2/2 17% · X/1 15%
Expected corners: 10.66.9 – 3.7 · Over 9.5: 61%
Expected cards: 4.52.2 – 2.3 · Over 3.5: 66%
Most likely scores: 1-111%
2-19%
1-27%
1-07%
2-07%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Two points, one important step

Anderlecht and KVC Westerlo are separated by just two points in the Jupiler Pro League, making this a chance for either side to gain a meaningful edge in the early-season standings. Anderlecht sit fifth on 16 points, while seventh-placed Westerlo have 14; both have played nine matches.

The balance is striking: Anderlecht have won five times, compared with Westerlo’s four, but Westerlo have scored 24 goals to Anderlecht’s nine. Their goal differences also point in opposite directions, at +3 for Westerlo and -1 for Anderlecht.

Westerlo’s surge meets Anderlecht’s home strength

Westerlo arrive on a four-match winning run in the league, following an opening sequence of three defeats. Their last five matches have brought 19 goals, though they have also conceded seven. The attack has been especially productive across the season, with eight goals in four away league fixtures.

Anderlecht’s recent results are less uniform, but their home performances are a clear strength: they are unbeaten in four league matches at Lotto Park, winning three and drawing one, and have conceded only once there. Overall, they have won five of nine. Their last five games have produced six goals for and five against.

Recent meetings offer no easy verdict

The latest league meeting went Westerlo’s way, with a 4-0 home win in December 2025. Anderlecht responded in the reverse fixture last July, winning 5-2. The five most recent encounters include two wins for each side and a draw, so neither can claim a clear head-to-head advantage.

No listed absences

Neither team has any absences listed, leaving no reported unavailable players to shape the preview.

Westerlo’s goals against Anderlecht’s platform

Westerlo’s 19 goals across their last five matches make their attack the obvious threat, and they have scored eight times in four away league games. Anderlecht’s strongest answer is their defensive record at home: just one goal conceded in four matches, with three clean sheets across their nine league games.

Our prediction

Westerlo’s scoring run should test Anderlecht, but the hosts’ unbeaten home record and strong defensive numbers at Lotto Park offer a solid foundation. PreviaXI’s model leans towards Anderlecht, whose home advantage could prove decisive in a close contest.

Anderlecht 2-1 KVC Westerlo

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