1–2 Full time Saturday 31 October

Our pick0–2Correct result

Can SK Beveren make Union St. Gilloise sweat?

Union St. Gilloise arrive unbeaten after nine league matches, while SK Beveren have won only three. Beveren’s home form offers a foothold, but the visitors’ scoring and defensive records make them clear favourites.

📍 Freethiel Stadion

Preview written: Sat 31 Oct 19:09

All Matchday 10 matches Full head-to-head

Match report

Union St. Gilloise won 2-1 away to SK Beveren. L. Patris opened the scoring in the 44th minute. D. Aquino was sent off for Union St. Gilloise in the 53rd minute, but the visitors extended their lead two minutes later, with Guilherme Smith scoring from L. Patris’s assist. A. Verschueren pulled one back for SK Beveren in the 60th minute, assisted by C. Janssens, but the home side could not find an equaliser.

The match was closely balanced for shots on target, with four apiece, while SK Beveren had more possession, 53% to 47%. Union St. Gilloise recorded the higher expected-goals figure, 0.69 to 0.45. Louis Patris was the top-rated player, with a rating of 8.3. The result matched the model’s predicted away win and its 0-2 score, though the actual margin was narrower.

Goals

44'L. Patris · Union St. Gilloise
55'Guilherme Smith · L. Patris · Union St. Gilloise
60'A. Verschueren · C. Janssens · SK Beveren

Cards

39'V. Boone · SK Beveren
53'D. Aquino · Union St. Gilloise
69'M. Sylla · Union St. Gilloise

Match stats

SK BeverenUnion St. Gilloise

53%Possession47%

9Shots10

4Shots on target4

0.45Expected goals (xG)0.69

6Corners3

9Fouls11

1Offsides3

2Saves3

⭐ Top-rated player: Louis Patris (Union St. Gilloise) 8.3

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

SK Beveren · 4-2-3-1

1Johannes SchenkG
21Laurent JansD
3Viktor BooneD
31Bruno GodeauD
4Christophe JanssensD
18Sieben DewaeleM
44Cheick Oumar CondéM
9Moise KaboréM
24Arno VerschuerenM
17Jearl MargarithaM
33Victor OlatunjiF

Union St. Gilloise · 3-4-1-2

12Hervé KoffiG
55Nikki HavenaarD
4Nohim ChibaniD
29Massire SyllaD
27Louis PatrisM
23Besfort ZeneliM
6Kamiel Van de PerreM
11Guilherme SmithM
38Relebohile MofokengF
30Raul FloruczF
13Kevin RodriguezF

Match facts

Recent form

SK BeverenWWLLD

Union St. GilloiseWWWDW

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·	Scored	Conceded
SK Beveren	1.3	2.0
Union St. Gilloise	3.0	0.7

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
3	Union St. Gilloise	9	+21	23
12	SK Beveren	9	-6	10

Last meetings

2023SK Beveren0-2Union St. Gilloise
2019SK Beveren3-2Union St. Gilloise
2019Union St. Gilloise5-1SK Beveren

PreviaXI model

SK Beveren14%Draw21%Union St. Gilloise65%

Model confidence: Strong

Predicted score: 0-2
Expected goals (model): 0.87 – 2.06
Double chance: X2 · 86%1X 35% · 12 79%
Over 2.5 goals: 56%Over 1.5: 79% · Over 3.5: 34%
Both teams score: 51%
Clean sheet: 13% – 42%SK Beveren–Union St. Gilloise
Half-time result: 2 · 47%1 15% · X 38%
Half-time / full-time: 2/2 · 42%X/2 19% · X/X 13%
Expected corners: 9.34.2 – 5.1 · Over 9.5: 44%
Expected cards: 4.02.0 – 2.0 · Over 3.5: 56%
Most likely scores: 0-211%
0-111%
1-110%
1-210%
0-38%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Beveren’s chance against the leaders

Union St. Gilloise have taken 23 points from nine Jupiler Pro League matches and sit third, while SK Beveren are 12th with 10. The gap is reflected in their goal differences: Union are plus 21, Beveren minus six. Yet the home side have a reason to believe they can make this a contest at the Freethiel Stadion: all three of their league wins have come at home.

The challenge is that Union have been relentless so far. They have seven wins and two draws, with no defeats, and their 27 goals make them one of the competition’s most productive sides. Beveren, by contrast, have scored 12 and conceded 18.

Union bring the stronger run

Beveren’s last five matches have brought 10 goals, but also eight conceded. Their league sequence reads two wins, two defeats and a draw, leaving little room for error against a side in much sharper form.

Union have scored 16 times across their last five and let in only five. They have also won seven of nine league games, conceding just six goals overall. The contrast is especially clear away from home: Union have won all four of their league matches on the road, scoring 13 and conceding three.

Beveren’s home defence could keep the underdogs in the fight. They have allowed only three goals in four home league games and kept three clean sheets across the season. But containing Union’s attack for the full match will be a far bigger test.

Previous meetings offer a warning

The recent head-to-head record is mixed. Union won 2-0 at Beveren in a cup meeting in December 2023; before that, Beveren beat Union 3-2 at home in the league in April 2019. Union also won the other league meeting that month, 5-1.

Those older league results underline that Beveren have beaten this opponent at the Freethiel before, but the latest meeting went Union’s way.

A late threat from both sides

Both teams have found goals late: Beveren have scored four of their 12 league goals in the 76th minute or later, while Union have struck eight times in that period. Union’s overall scoring rate is far higher, averaging three goals per league match, and they have conceded only six in nine.

No absences are listed for either side, so the available squad information offers no reason to discount the visitors’ stronger season numbers.

Our prediction

Beveren’s home record gives them a platform, but Union’s unbeaten start, four away wins and much stronger recent scoring form point towards the visitors controlling the game. PreviaXI’s model also favours Union, with the most likely outcome a two-goal away win.

SK Beveren 0-2 Union St. Gilloise

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