CONCACAF Nations League · League B - 2 
St. Lucia’s four-win run faces a Barbados test
St. Lucia have won four straight CONCACAF Nations League matches, but Barbados beat them in their most recent meeting. The model gives the hosts only a narrow edge.
📍 Stade Roger Zami
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AI-assisted writing with automated checks against the supplied match data. How we prepare and review previews
This League B fixture is played in Le Gosier, Guadeloupe. Home and away statistics below follow the designated teams in the match records; they are not proof of a physical home advantage at a centralized venue.
A winning run at stake
St. Lucia have won four CONCACAF Nations League matches in a row, setting up a test of that run against Barbados. Across five matches in this competition only, St. Lucia have four wins and a defeat, while Barbados have three wins, a draw and a defeat.
St. Lucia’s home record in the competition is two wins from two, with eight goals scored and two conceded. Barbados have taken a win and a draw from two away matches, scoring four and conceding three.
St. Lucia’s scoring against Barbados’ defence
In five CONCACAF Nations League matches, St. Lucia have scored 11 goals and conceded five. Barbados have scored 10 and conceded seven in the same competition and number of matches. That gives the hosts a slight edge in the overall scoring and defending figures, while Barbados’ away results offer a counterpoint: they are unbeaten in two away matches.
A pattern to watch is whether St. Lucia can carry their home scoring into this meeting, or whether Barbados can again keep them from scoring, as they did in the teams’ latest encounter.
The latest meeting favoured Barbados
Barbados beat St. Lucia 2-0 in the CONCACAF Nations League in September 2026. Across the last two listed meetings in all competitions, each side has one win and there have been no draws.
Our prediction
The model narrowly favours a St. Lucia win, with the hosts’ four-match winning run and stronger home scoring providing the clearest case. But the alternatives together remain more likely, and Barbados’ recent head-to-head win and unbeaten away record make an away result or a draw plausible.
Understand the analysis
Worked examples, uncertainty and the difference between a likely result and an exact score.
Match facts
Recent form
St. Lucia
- W A Bermuda 2-1
- W A Guadeloupe 1-0
- W H Guadeloupe 3-0
- W H Bermuda 5-2
- L A Barbados 0-2
Barbados
- L H Guadeloupe 0-3
- W A Bermuda 2-1
- W H Bermuda 4-1
- D A Guadeloupe 2-2
- W H St. Lucia 2-0
Completed matches in our provider’s data, newest first. The listed team’s goals appear first in each score.
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| St. Lucia | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| Barbados | 2.0 | 1.4 |
Last meetings
- 2026 Barbados 2-0 St. Lucia
- 2025 St. Lucia 2-1 Barbados
- 2017 Barbados None-None St. Lucia
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Low
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.88 – 1.81
- Double chance
- Either team wins80%Home win or draw 61% · Draw or away win 59%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 69%Over 1.5: 88% · Over 3.5: 50%
- Both teams score
- 62%
- Clean sheet
- 16% – 15%St. Lucia–Barbados
- Half-time result
- 1 · 34%X 34% · 2 32%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 25%2/2 24% · X/1 13%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
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