CONCACAF Nations League · League B - 4 
Belize seek a response against Sint Maarten
Sint Maarten lost 1-5 to French Guiana on 14 November. Belize’s four-match statistical sample offers a defensive counterpoint, while the fixture is played at a centralized venue in St. Vincent and the Grenadines.
📍 Arnos Vale Stadium
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The latest result changes the context
Sint Maarten lost 1-5 to French Guiana on 14 November, their fifth defeat in five matches of this CONCACAF Nations League campaign. They have scored three goals and conceded 15. Belize’s available sample covers four matches in this competition: one win and three defeats, with one goal scored and four conceded. The samples therefore cover different numbers of matches.
A centralized venue
The match is at Arnos Vale in Kingstown, St. Vincent and the Grenadines. Belize are the designated home team; this is not a match in Belize. Home and away statistics describe those designations, not a physical home advantage.
Belize failed to score in the two designated home matches in the four-match sample. Sint Maarten’s two designated away matches also produced no goals and five conceded. A question for this meeting is which side can improve that scoring return.
The recent head-to-head
The two listed meetings were split between the teams. Belize won the September Nations League encounter 1-0.
Our prediction
The recorded model favours Belize. Their defensive figures provide a cautious argument for that lean, but the different sample sizes and limited scoring leave a draw or a Sint Maarten win plausible.
Understand the analysis
Worked examples, uncertainty and the difference between a likely result and an exact score.
Match facts
Recent form
Belize
- L A St. Vincent / Grenadines 0-1
- L A French Guyana 0-1
- L H French Guyana 0-2
- L H St. Vincent / Grenadines 0-1
- W A Sint Maarten 1-0
Sint Maarten
- L H French Guyana 1-5
- L A St. Vincent / Grenadines 0-4
- L H St. Vincent / Grenadines 2-4
- L A French Guyana 0-1
- L H Belize 0-1
Completed matches in our provider’s data, newest first. The listed team’s goals appear first in each score.
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Belize | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Sint Maarten | 0.6 | 3.0 |
Last meetings
- 2026 Sint Maarten 0-1 Belize
- 2026 Belize 2-3 Sint Maarten
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.37 – 0.88
- Double chance
- Home win or draw75%Either team wins 74% · Draw or away win 51%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57%Over 1.5: 65% · Over 3.5: 19%
- Both teams score
- 47%
- Clean sheet
- 42% – 25%Belize–Sint Maarten
- Half-time result
- X · 45%1 35% · 2 20%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 29%X/1 18% · X/X 17%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Belize
- Expected goals favour Belize: 1.37 – 0.88.
- The model gives Belize a 42% chance of a clean sheet.
Main uncertainty: the other two results still add up to 51%, led by a draw at 26%.
Built only from the model numbers above. For information; not a certainty.
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