DFB Pokal · Round of 32 
Our pick1–2Correct result
David-and-Goliath feel for DFB-Pokal Round of 32 tie in Edewecht
A clear league-level gap frames this Round of 32 tie: Regionalliga side SSV Jeddeloh versus 2. Bundesliga leaders Hertha BSC. Progression carries very different rewards for each club.
📍 Sportplatz Jeddeloh
Preview written:
Match report
Hertha BSC won 2-0 away at SSV Jeddeloh in the DFB Pokal Round of 32. The scoring began in the 57th minute when Josip Brekalo converted with an assist from Farid Alfa-Ruprecht, and was followed six minutes later by Julian Eitschberger’s goal, assisted by Oluwaseun Adewumi. There were no penalties or red cards recorded in the match.
The numbers underline Hertha’s control: 71% possession, 33 total shots and 4 on target for the visitors versus 6 shots and none on target for SSV Jeddeloh; xG was 3.19 to 0.97. The top-rated player was J. Brekalo (8.2). Before kickoff the PreviaXI model had predicted a 1-2 and gave a 50% chance of an away win, 27% home and 23% draw.
Goals
- 57'Josip Brekalo · Farid Alfa-Ruprecht · Hertha BSC
- 63'Julian Eitschberger · Oluwaseun Adewumi · Hertha BSC
Cards
- 68'Fynn Luca·Friedrichs · SSV Jeddeloh
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: J. Brekalo (Hertha BSC) 8.2
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
SSV Jeddeloh · 3-4-2-1
- 1M. OnkenG
- 28N. von AschwegeD
- 47G. SialaD
- 6F. FriedrichsD
- 7P. SteinwenderM
- 16R. KrolikowskiM
- 5K. TaguchiM
- 23T. KanowskiM
- 8M. BrinkmannM
- 10K. KrasniqiM
- 11T. BotheF
Coach: Burak Bahar
Hertha BSC · 4-2-3-1
- 35M. GersbeckG
- 2J. EitschbergerD
- 44L. GechterD
- 27N. KolbeD
- 22M. PedersenD
- 30P. SeguinM
- 8K. SessaM
- 20Farid Alfa-RuprechtM
- 33S. GouramM
- 7J. BrekaloM
- 17S. GrønningF
Coach: S. Leitl
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| SSV Jeddeloh | 5.0 | 2.0 |
| Hertha BSC | 1.0 | 1.0 |
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 1-2
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.41 – 1.99
- Double chance
- 12 · 77%1X 50% · X2 73%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66%Over 1.5: 86% · Over 3.5: 44%
- Both teams score
- 66%
- Clean sheet
- 14% – 25%SSV Jeddeloh–Hertha BSC
- Half-time result
- 2 · 40%1 24% · X 36%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 32%1/1 15% · X/2 15%
- Expected corners
- 9.65.3 – 4.3 · Over 9.5: 49%
- Expected cards
- 4.11.9 – 2.2 · Over 3.5: 58%
- Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 1-29%
- 0-27%
- 2-17%
- 2-27%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
What a win means for both clubs
SSV Jeddeloh sit in the Regionalliga Nord, 13th with 14 points from 15 games, while Hertha BSC lead the 2. Bundesliga with 25 points from nine matches. For Jeddeloh, a Cup run past the Round of 32 would be a rare statement win and a financial and prestige boost for a lower‑division club playing at Sportplatz Jeddeloh in Edewecht. For Hertha, advancing is about expectations: as a club pushing for promotion, anything less than a win against a regional side would be an upset and a distraction from league ambitions.
Recent signals from both teams
Jeddeloh arrive with a strong single-game sample: one home fixture so far produced five goals scored and two conceded, a 5-2 aggregate in that match and a home goals average of 5.0. Their season home record shows one win from one outing. Hertha’s recent run is steadier across competitions: they are unbeaten in the early season league form noted as WDWWW and have started their campaign with an away draw in the data provided, scoring once and conceding once in that fixture.
Tactical and statistical edge
PreviaXI’s model favours the visitors. The model projects Hertha create more chances on paper, with higher expected goals (Hertha 1.99 to Jeddeloh 1.41) and identifies a most-likely scoreline of SSV Jeddeloh 1-2 Hertha BSC. The league-class gap — a second-tier leader against a lower‑division outfit — explains why the numbers lean to Hertha despite the home side’s eye-catching single-game scoring.
Our prediction
This is a knockout tie where one result can reshape narratives: giant-killing glory for Jeddeloh or a routine progress marker for Hertha. Given Hertha’s superior league level and the model’s edge in chance creation, a narrow away win looks the likeliest outcome, with Jeddeloh capable of scoring but probably unable to contain Hertha across 90 minutes.
SSV Jeddeloh 1-2 Hertha BSC
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