Our pick0–1Missed
Schalke and Dresden's recent draws set the tone for a tight DFB-Pokal tie
Their most recent meeting finished 2-2 in February — a result that underlines how closely matched these sides have been in recent seasons and frames this Round of 32 clash at the Rudolf-Harbig Stadion.
📍 Rudolf-Harbig Stadion
Preview written:
Match report
Dynamo Dresden beat FC Schalke 04 2-0 in the DFB Pokal Round of 32. The scoring came after halftime: in the 53rd minute Patrice Čović put Dynamo ahead, assisted by Simon Straudi, and Christoph Daferner doubled the lead in the 88th minute from an Alexander Rossipal assist. There were no red cards.
The stats show Dynamo edged possession 53–47, had 2 shots on target to Schalke’s 4 and a slightly higher xG (0.78 to 0.74); Schalke made no goalkeeper saves while Dresden made four. P. Čović was the top-rated player (8.0). Before kickoff the PreviaXI model had predicted 0-1 with home/draw/away chances 36%/27%/37%.
Goals
- 53'Patrice Čović · Simon Straudi · Dynamo Dresden
- 88'Christoph Daferner · Alexander Rossipal · Dynamo Dresden
Cards
- 37'Edin Džeko · FC Schalke 04
- 44'Hwang Hee-Chan · FC Schalke 04
- 60'Patrice Čović · Dynamo Dresden
- 60'Adil Aouchiche · FC Schalke 04
- 87'Nikola Katić · FC Schalke 04
- 87'Nicolai Rapp · Dynamo Dresden
- 90+3'Satoshi Tanaka · FC Schalke 04
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: P. Čović (Dynamo Dresden) 8
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Dynamo Dresden · 4-2-3-1
- 22L. GrillG
- 32J. SternerD
- 6N. RappD
- 42F. MullerD
- 44S. StraudiD
- 18R. WagnerM
- 21T. RaschlM
- 24P. ČovićM
- 27N. HauptmannM
- 20B. BobzienM
- 9V. VermeijF
Coach: Thomas Stamm
FC Schalke 04 · 5-3-2
- 1L. KariusG
- 29J. Dina EbimbeD
- 43M. AyhanD
- 25N. KatićD
- 4H. KuruçayD
- 33Vitalie BeckerD
- 38L. VozarM
- 13S. TanakaM
- 24A. AouchicheM
- 7Hwang Hee-ChanF
- 10E. DžekoF
Coach: M. Muslić
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Dresden | 6.0 | 0.0 |
| FC Schalke 04 | 5.0 | 2.0 |
Last meetings
- 2026FC Schalke 042-2Dynamo Dresden
- 2025Dynamo Dresden0-1FC Schalke 04
- 2022Dynamo Dresden1-2FC Schalke 04
- 2021FC Schalke 043-0Dynamo Dresden
- 2014Dynamo Dresden2-1FC Schalke 04
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.32 – 1.33
- Double chance
- 12 · 73%1X 63% · X2 64%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50%Over 1.5: 75% · Over 3.5: 28%
- Both teams score
- 55%
- Clean sheet
- 26% – 27%Dynamo Dresden–FC Schalke 04
- Half-time result
- X · 42%1 29% · 2 29%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 21%2/2 21% · X/X 16%
- Expected corners
- 9.45.8 – 3.6 · Over 9.5: 47%
- Expected cards
- 3.82.0 – 1.8 · Over 3.5: 53%
- Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 0-19%
- 1-09%
- 1-28%
- 2-18%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Last meeting left questions unanswered
The most recent encounter between these teams ended 2-2 on 7 February 2026 in the 2. Bundesliga. That late draw — a high-scoring, competitive fixture — is the freshest evidence that matches between Dynamo Dresden and FC Schalke 04 rarely run one-way.
What’s on the line in Dresden
This is a DFB-Pokal Round of 32 tie at the Rudolf-Harbig Stadion. Dynamo Dresden arrive from the 2. Bundesliga while Schalke play in the Bundesliga, and both come into the cup with low league placings: Dresden sit 15th in the second tier with eight points from nine games, Schalke are 16th in the top flight with six points from seven.
Recent form points to a close game
Both teams opened their current seasons with wins in league fixtures and show mixed trends. Dresden’s single recorded match this season produced six goals, while Schalke’s outing yielded five. Comparative metrics in the build-up rate the two sides evenly for form and the contest looks finely balanced.
What the head-to-head pattern shows
Across the last five meetings there have been narrow results and shared spoils: Schalke won 3-0 in October 2021 and Dresden took a cup meeting in 2014, but recent league matches (including 0-1 in August 2025 and 2-2 this February) underline recurring tight margins and competitive parity.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model identifies this as a tight cup tie with chances for both sides and slightly favours an away victory based on chance creation and defensive balances. Expect a low-scoring, tense match where Schalke eke out a late edge.
Dynamo Dresden 0-1 FC Schalke 04

