Major League Soccer · Matchday 31
San Diego
Doha time
Seattle Sounders

Seattle's injury crisis makes the trip to San Diego a test of depth

Seattle head south with four key players ruled out and two more doubtful, a problem that could decide how far the Sounders can climb in the Western Conference.

📍 Snapdragon Stadium

Match facts

Recent form

San DiegoDDLDD
Seattle SoundersWWWLD

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
San Diego1.81.9
Seattle Sounders1.31.2

PreviaXI model

San Diego42%Draw25%Seattle Sounders33%
Predicted score
2-1
Expected goals (model)
1.63 – 1.42
Double chance
12 · 75%1X 67% · X2 58%
Over 2.5 goals
59%Over 1.5: 81% · Over 3.5: 36%
Both teams score
61%
Clean sheet
24% – 19%San Diego–Seattle Sounders
Half-time result
X · 39%1 34% · 2 27%
Half-time / full-time
1/1 · 26%2/2 19% · X/1 14%
Expected corners
9.86.0 – 3.8 · Over 9.5: 51%
Expected cards
3.81.7 – 2.1 · Over 3.5: 53%
Most likely scores
  1. 1-111%
  2. 2-19%
  3. 1-28%
  4. 1-07%
  5. 2-26%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Why the model leans towards San Diego

  • Power ratings: San Diego +0.04 goals per game (13th of 30 in Major League Soccer), Seattle Sounders +0.16 (8th).
  • San Diego's attack (1.66 goals per game) meets Seattle Sounders's defence (1.37 conceded per game).
  • Seattle Sounders's attack (1.53) meets San Diego's defence (1.62).
  • Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 25% more goals.
  • Put together, the model expects 1.63 – 1.42 goals: San Diego 42%, draw 25%, Seattle Sounders 33%.

Power ratings: Major League Soccer →

Absences

San Diego

  • OutO. Soe · Lower-Body Injury

Seattle Sounders

  • OutN. Petkovic · Knee Injury
  • OutP. Rothrock · Hamstring Injury
  • OutP. de La Vega · Calf Injury
  • DoubtfulS. Hawkins · Hamstring Injury
  • DoubtfulA. Roldan · Calf Injury

Injury and suspension list from our data provider, updated every 6 hours. It can change before kick-off.

Chance to score

San Diego

  • A. Dreyer14 goals in 35 games29%
  • M. Ingvartsen12 goals in 32 games27%
  • Gabriel Pirani4 goals in 12 games21%

Seattle Sounders

  • D. Joveljić4 goals in 7 games34%
  • A. Rusnák7 goals in 35 games17%
  • C. Roldan5 goals in 27 games16%

Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.

Trends

  • San Diego have not won in their last 8 matches.
  • 7 of San Diego’s last 8 matches had over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 6 of San Diego’s last 8 matches.

Season stats

·San DiegoSeattle Sounders
·AllHomeAllAway
Won-drawn-lost8-10-126-4-511-9-104-5-6
Goals scored per game1.772.331.301.00
Goals conceded per game1.871.801.231.07
xG per game1.561.621.411.27
xG against per game1.691.511.401.38
Scored in83%93%77%73%
Clean sheets23%33%27%33%
Failed to score17%7%23%27%
Both teams scored60%60%57%47%
Over 1.5 goals80%93%73%53%
Over 2.5 goals70%87%43%33%
Over 3.5 goals57%67%23%13%
Shots per game12.113.613.111.4
Shots on target per game4.55.64.83.9
Shots on target37%41%37%34%
Possession62%63%51%53%
Passes per game680.4703.9491.1488.5
Pass accuracy––88%89%
Corners per game4.95.75.54.9
Corners against per game4.24.06.26.8
Cards per game2.12.11.71.8
Fouls per game10.711.19.710.3

League matches this season (Major League Soccer). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.

When goals come

San Diego

  • 0-159 / 9
  • 16-307 / 11
  • 31-459 / 12
  • 46-6011 / 5
  • 61-757 / 7
  • 76-90+10 / 12

Usual formation: 4-3-3

Seattle Sounders

  • 0-155 / 3
  • 16-306 / 7
  • 31-453 / 6
  • 46-607 / 5
  • 61-755 / 4
  • 76-90+13 / 12

Usual formation: 4-2-3-1

Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsRecent form
1Vancouver Whitecaps30167763:31+3255WDDLD
2St. Louis City30149756:41+1551LDWWW
3FC Dallas30149755:47+851DWLWD
4San Jose Earthquakes30139852:42+1048DDDWD
5Houston Dynamo30138941:39+247DDDLD
6Los Angeles FC311210948:33+1546DWDLD
7Seattle Sounders301191039:37+242DLWWW
8Los Angeles Galaxy3110101143:52-940DWLWW
9Colorado Rapids301161341:41039DDDLD
10Real Salt Lake301061445:48-336WDLWL
11Portland Timbers30971451:56-534DLDLL
12San Diego308101253:56-334DDLDD
13Minnesota United FC308101247:55-834WDDLL
14Austin307101338:56-1831LLLDD
15Sporting Kansas City30642036:75-3922LLDLW

Next matches

San Diego

  • Thu 29 OctVancouver Whitecaps – San DiegoMajor League Soccer
  • Sat 31 OctSt. Louis City – San DiegoMajor League Soccer
  • Sun 8 NovSan Diego – Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer

Seattle Sounders

  • Thu 29 OctSeattle Sounders – Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
  • Mon 2 NovVancouver Whitecaps – Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
  • Sun 8 NovSeattle Sounders – Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer

Head-to-head: last 3 meetings

San Diego 1 wins · 1 draws · Seattle Sounders 1 wins

  • 10/05/2026Seattle Sounders1-1San DiegoMajor League Soccer
  • 29/05/2025Seattle Sounders1-0San DiegoMajor League Soccer
  • 06/04/2025San Diego3-0Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer

Seattle travel to San Diego with a squad stretched thin by injuries, and a side in seventh place of 15 cannot afford to let a rival in the lower half of the table take anything from this trip.

A seventh-place side with a thinning squad

Seattle sit seventh in the Western Conference with 42 points and a goal difference of +2. San Diego are 12th on 34 points with a goal difference of -3, so the gap between them is meaningful but not decisive. For a Sounders team that has already lost ground in recent weeks, the margin for error on the road is narrow.

Both sides searching for form

Seattle arrive with a run of DLWWW, winning three of their last four matches after a defeat. Over their last five games they have scored nine times and conceded four, a sign of a side that has been tight at the back. San Diego have had a harder time, collecting DDLDD from their last five. They have scored 11 goals in that spell but conceded 14, and their home record of six wins and five defeats in 15 matches has not been as convincing as the goals they score there suggest.

Recent meetings have been tight

The last three meetings between these clubs have produced very different results. San Diego won 3-0 at home in April 2025, Seattle won 1-0 in May of the same year, and the most recent encounter ended 1-1 in Seattle. Neither side has dominated this fixture.

The injury list that shapes the night

Seattle’s absences are the central issue. Y. Gomez Andrade (hamstring), D. Musovski (head), N. Petkovic (knee) and P. de La Vega (calf) are all out. S. Hawkins and P. Rothrock both have hamstring problems and are doubtful, which leaves the coaching staff with limited options in midfield and attack. San Diego are missing E. Achouri and O. Soe, both with lower-body injuries, but the Sounders’ list is the longer and more damaging one. Seattle have been a stronger team on the road this season, winning four matches away, and that record will depend on how well their replacements cope with the pressure.

Our prediction

PreviaXI’s model favours San Diego, and the football picture backs that up. The home side has scored more regularly at Snapdragon Stadium this season, averaging 2.3 goals per home game, and Seattle’s depleted squad makes it harder to match that threat. Expect an open game with chances at both ends, but San Diego’s firepower should prove decisive.

San Diego 2-1 Seattle Sounders

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