Seattle's injury crisis makes the trip to San Diego a test of depth
Seattle head south with four key players ruled out and two more doubtful, a problem that could decide how far the Sounders can climb in the Western Conference.
📍 Snapdragon Stadium
All Matchday 31 matchesFull head-to-head
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| San Diego | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| Seattle Sounders | 1.3 | 1.2 |
PreviaXI model
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.63 – 1.42
- Double chance
- 12 · 75%1X 67% · X2 58%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59%Over 1.5: 81% · Over 3.5: 36%
- Both teams score
- 61%
- Clean sheet
- 24% – 19%San Diego–Seattle Sounders
- Half-time result
- X · 39%1 34% · 2 27%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 26%2/2 19% · X/1 14%
- Expected corners
- 9.86.0 – 3.8 · Over 9.5: 51%
- Expected cards
- 3.81.7 – 2.1 · Over 3.5: 53%
- Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 2-19%
- 1-28%
- 1-07%
- 2-26%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards San Diego
- Power ratings: San Diego +0.04 goals per game (13th of 30 in Major League Soccer), Seattle Sounders +0.16 (8th).
- San Diego's attack (1.66 goals per game) meets Seattle Sounders's defence (1.37 conceded per game).
- Seattle Sounders's attack (1.53) meets San Diego's defence (1.62).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 25% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.63 – 1.42 goals: San Diego 42%, draw 25%, Seattle Sounders 33%.
Absences
San Diego
- OutO. Soe · Lower-Body Injury
Seattle Sounders
- OutN. Petkovic · Knee Injury
- OutP. Rothrock · Hamstring Injury
- OutP. de La Vega · Calf Injury
- DoubtfulS. Hawkins · Hamstring Injury
- DoubtfulA. Roldan · Calf Injury
Injury and suspension list from our data provider, updated every 6 hours. It can change before kick-off.
Chance to score
San Diego
- A. Dreyer14 goals in 35 games29%
- M. Ingvartsen12 goals in 32 games27%
- Gabriel Pirani4 goals in 12 games21%
Seattle Sounders
- D. Joveljić4 goals in 7 games34%
- A. Rusnák7 goals in 35 games17%
- C. Roldan5 goals in 27 games16%
Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.
Trends
- San Diego have not won in their last 8 matches.
- 7 of San Diego’s last 8 matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 6 of San Diego’s last 8 matches.
Season stats
| · | San Diego | Seattle Sounders | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | All | Home | All | Away |
| Won-drawn-lost | 8-10-12 | 6-4-5 | 11-9-10 | 4-5-6 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.77 | 2.33 | 1.30 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.87 | 1.80 | 1.23 | 1.07 |
| xG per game | 1.56 | 1.62 | 1.41 | 1.27 |
| xG against per game | 1.69 | 1.51 | 1.40 | 1.38 |
| Scored in | 83% | 93% | 77% | 73% |
| Clean sheets | 23% | 33% | 27% | 33% |
| Failed to score | 17% | 7% | 23% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% | 57% | 47% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 93% | 73% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 87% | 43% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 57% | 67% | 23% | 13% |
| Shots per game | 12.1 | 13.6 | 13.1 | 11.4 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.5 | 5.6 | 4.8 | 3.9 |
| Shots on target | 37% | 41% | 37% | 34% |
| Possession | 62% | 63% | 51% | 53% |
| Passes per game | 680.4 | 703.9 | 491.1 | 488.5 |
| Pass accuracy | – | – | 88% | 89% |
| Corners per game | 4.9 | 5.7 | 5.5 | 4.9 |
| Corners against per game | 4.2 | 4.0 | 6.2 | 6.8 |
| Cards per game | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| Fouls per game | 10.7 | 11.1 | 9.7 | 10.3 |
League matches this season (Major League Soccer). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.
When goals come
San Diego
- 0-159 / 9
- 16-307 / 11
- 31-459 / 12
- 46-6011 / 5
- 61-757 / 7
- 76-90+10 / 12
Usual formation: 4-3-3
Seattle Sounders
- 0-155 / 3
- 16-306 / 7
- 31-453 / 6
- 46-607 / 5
- 61-755 / 4
- 76-90+13 / 12
Usual formation: 4-2-3-1
Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | +32 | 55 | |
| 2 | 30 | +15 | 51 | |
| 3 | 30 | +8 | 51 | |
| 4 | 30 | +10 | 48 | |
| 5 | 30 | +2 | 47 | |
| 6 | 31 | +15 | 46 | |
| 7 | 30 | +2 | 42 | |
| 8 | 31 | -9 | 40 | |
| 9 | 30 | 0 | 39 | |
| 10 | 30 | -3 | 36 | |
| 11 | 30 | -5 | 34 | |
| 12 | 30 | -3 | 34 | |
| 13 | 30 | -8 | 34 | |
| 14 | 30 | -18 | 31 | |
| 15 | 30 | -39 | 22 |
Next matches
San Diego
- Thu 29 OctVancouver Whitecaps – San DiegoMajor League Soccer
- Sat 31 OctSt. Louis City – San DiegoMajor League Soccer
- Sun 8 NovSan Diego – Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
Seattle Sounders
- Thu 29 OctSeattle Sounders – Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- Mon 2 NovVancouver Whitecaps – Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
- Sun 8 NovSeattle Sounders – Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
Head-to-head: last 3 meetings
San Diego 1 wins · 1 draws · Seattle Sounders 1 wins
- 10/05/2026Seattle Sounders1-1San DiegoMajor League Soccer
- 29/05/2025Seattle Sounders1-0San DiegoMajor League Soccer
- 06/04/2025San Diego3-0Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
Seattle travel to San Diego with a squad stretched thin by injuries, and a side in seventh place of 15 cannot afford to let a rival in the lower half of the table take anything from this trip.
A seventh-place side with a thinning squad
Seattle sit seventh in the Western Conference with 42 points and a goal difference of +2. San Diego are 12th on 34 points with a goal difference of -3, so the gap between them is meaningful but not decisive. For a Sounders team that has already lost ground in recent weeks, the margin for error on the road is narrow.
Both sides searching for form
Seattle arrive with a run of DLWWW, winning three of their last four matches after a defeat. Over their last five games they have scored nine times and conceded four, a sign of a side that has been tight at the back. San Diego have had a harder time, collecting DDLDD from their last five. They have scored 11 goals in that spell but conceded 14, and their home record of six wins and five defeats in 15 matches has not been as convincing as the goals they score there suggest.
Recent meetings have been tight
The last three meetings between these clubs have produced very different results. San Diego won 3-0 at home in April 2025, Seattle won 1-0 in May of the same year, and the most recent encounter ended 1-1 in Seattle. Neither side has dominated this fixture.
The injury list that shapes the night
Seattle’s absences are the central issue. Y. Gomez Andrade (hamstring), D. Musovski (head), N. Petkovic (knee) and P. de La Vega (calf) are all out. S. Hawkins and P. Rothrock both have hamstring problems and are doubtful, which leaves the coaching staff with limited options in midfield and attack. San Diego are missing E. Achouri and O. Soe, both with lower-body injuries, but the Sounders’ list is the longer and more damaging one. Seattle have been a stronger team on the road this season, winning four matches away, and that record will depend on how well their replacements cope with the pressure.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model favours San Diego, and the football picture backs that up. The home side has scored more regularly at Snapdragon Stadium this season, averaging 2.3 goals per home game, and Seattle’s depleted squad makes it harder to match that threat. Expect an open game with chances at both ends, but San Diego’s firepower should prove decisive.
San Diego 2-1 Seattle Sounders

