Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver Whitecaps: can the underdogs trouble the leaders?
Colorado Rapids have not won in their last five Major League Soccer games, while Vancouver Whitecaps sit top of the Western Conference. Can the home side use their home record to upset the favourites?
📍 Dick's Sporting Goods Park
All Matchday 31 matchesFull head-to-head
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 2.1 | 1.0 |
PreviaXI model
- Predicted score
- 1-2
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.18 – 1.67
- Double chance
- 12 · 75%1X 52% · X2 73%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54%
- Both teams score
- 57%
- Expected corners
- 9.34.6 – 4.7 · Over 9.5: 45%
- Expected cards
- 4.82.5 – 2.3 · Over 3.5: 70%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Vancouver Whitecaps
- Power ratings: Colorado Rapids -0.08 goals per game (19th of 30 in Major League Soccer), Vancouver Whitecaps +0.81 (1st).
- Colorado Rapids's attack (1.40 goals per game) meets Vancouver Whitecaps's defence (1.16 conceded per game).
- Vancouver Whitecaps's attack (1.97) meets Colorado Rapids's defence (1.48).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 25% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.18 – 1.67 goals: Colorado Rapids 27%, draw 25%, Vancouver Whitecaps 48%.
Absences
Colorado Rapids
- OutR. Cannon · Leg Injury
- OutY. Maziz · Injury
- OutI. Sadiq · Leg Injury
- OutZ. Steffen · Shoulder Injury
- DoubtfulA. Fadal · Injury
- DoubtfulT. Ku-DiPietro · Shoulder Injury
Vancouver Whitecaps
- OutS. Adekugbe · Muscle Injury
- OutT. Muller · Muscle Injury
- DoubtfulK. G. Cabrera Nakamura · Foot Injury
- DoubtfulB. Halbouni · Knee Injury
Injury and suspension list from our data provider, updated every 6 hours. It can change before kick-off.
Chance to score
Colorado Rapids
- Rafael Navarro10 goals in 22 games30%
- M. Whittaker2 goals in 6 games17%
- P. Aaronson7 goals in 30 games17%
Vancouver Whitecaps
- B. White17 goals in 34 games35%
- S. Berhalter7 goals in 18 games27%
- Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez5 goals in 21 games16%
Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.
Trends
- Colorado Rapids are unbeaten in their last 9 home matches.
- 6 of Vancouver Whitecaps’s last 8 matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Colorado Rapids have not won in their last 5 matches.
Season stats
| · | Colorado Rapids | Vancouver Whitecaps | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | All | Home | All | Away |
| Won-drawn-lost | 11-6-13 | 9-3-3 | 16-7-7 | 7-5-3 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.37 | 1.87 | 2.10 | 1.87 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.37 | 1.00 | 1.03 | 1.13 |
| xG per game | 1.38 | 1.86 | 2.09 | 1.77 |
| xG against per game | 1.20 | 1.14 | 0.96 | 1.17 |
| Scored in | 73% | 93% | 83% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 47% | 40% | 33% |
| Failed to score | 27% | 7% | 17% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 47% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% | 60% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 40% | 60% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 33% | 37% | 33% |
| Shots per game | 10.9 | 14.4 | 17.5 | 16.7 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.1 | 5.0 | 6.8 | 6.6 |
| Shots on target | 38% | 35% | 39% | 40% |
| Possession | 56% | 56% | 56% | 57% |
| Passes per game | 495.6 | 478.3 | 495.8 | 511.7 |
| Pass accuracy | – | – | 88% | 88% |
| Corners per game | 5.0 | 6.1 | 6.0 | 5.1 |
| Corners against per game | 4.1 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
| Cards per game | 2.6 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.9 |
| Fouls per game | 14.5 | 13.6 | 15.5 | 14.1 |
League matches this season (Major League Soccer). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.
When goals come
Colorado Rapids
- 0-156 / 3
- 16-306 / 7
- 31-455 / 6
- 46-609 / 4
- 61-756 / 8
- 76-90+10 / 12
Usual formation: 4-3-3
Vancouver Whitecaps
- 0-1510 / 4
- 16-3012 / 5
- 31-4510 / 10
- 46-608 / 7
- 61-7510 / 2
- 76-90+12 / 4
Usual formation: 4-2-3-1
Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | +32 | 55 | |
| 2 | 30 | +15 | 51 | |
| 3 | 30 | +8 | 51 | |
| 4 | 30 | +10 | 48 | |
| 5 | 30 | +2 | 47 | |
| 6 | 31 | +15 | 46 | |
| 7 | 30 | +2 | 42 | |
| 8 | 31 | -9 | 40 | |
| 9 | 30 | 0 | 39 | |
| 10 | 30 | -3 | 36 | |
| 11 | 30 | -5 | 34 | |
| 12 | 30 | -3 | 34 | |
| 13 | 30 | -8 | 34 | |
| 14 | 30 | -18 | 31 | |
| 15 | 30 | -39 | 22 |
Next matches
Colorado Rapids
- Thu 29 OctSan Jose Earthquakes – Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- Sun 1 NovColorado Rapids – Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
- Sun 8 NovFC Dallas – Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
Vancouver Whitecaps
- Thu 29 OctVancouver Whitecaps – San DiegoMajor League Soccer
- Mon 2 NovVancouver Whitecaps – Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
- Sun 8 NovCF Montreal – Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
Head-to-head: last 10 meetings
Colorado Rapids 3 wins · 3 draws · Vancouver Whitecaps 4 wins
- 26/04/2026Vancouver Whitecaps3-1Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- 13/07/2025Colorado Rapids3-0Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- 06/04/2025Vancouver Whitecaps2-0Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- 02/06/2024Vancouver Whitecaps2-1Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- 16/05/2024Colorado Rapids1-0Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- 28/09/2023Colorado Rapids2-2Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- 30/04/2023Vancouver Whitecaps0-0Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- 11/09/2022Colorado Rapids3-1Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- 18/08/2022Vancouver Whitecaps2-1Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- 20/09/2021Colorado Rapids1-1Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
Colorado Rapids have not tasted victory in their last five Major League Soccer matches, collecting four draws and a defeat in that stretch. It is a worrying run for a side that has been difficult to beat at Dick’s Sporting Goods Park but has struggled to turn stalemates into wins. Now they face Vancouver Whitecaps, the league leaders, and the question is whether the underdogs can pull off an upset.
Leaders against a side in a rut
Vancouver top the Western Conference with 55 points from 30 games and a goal difference of +32. Colorado are ninth in the 15-team league with 39 points and a goal difference of zero. On paper the gap is clear, and that favourite-versus-underdog contrast defines this fixture. For the Rapids, a home win would be a meaningful step up a table where they currently sit in the lower half.
Colorado’s home strength and Vancouver’s road form
Colorado’s season has been built at home: nine wins in 15 matches, 28 goals scored and only three defeats. Away from Trade City the picture changes sharply, with two wins and ten defeats in 15 road games. Vancouver have travelled far better, winning seven of their 15 away matches and scoring 28 goals on the road. Their recent form has been less convincing, with seven goals scored and eight conceded in their last five, but over the full season they have been the more potent side, scoring 63 times and conceding 31. Colorado, for their part, have scored eight and conceded nine in their last five.
Vancouver hold the edge in recent meetings
Of the last five meetings between the two sides, Vancouver have won three and Colorado two. The most recent came in April, when Vancouver won 3-1. Colorado’s best answer was a 3-0 win in July 2025, while the Whitecaps also took the 2-0 win in April 2025 and the 2-1 win in June 2024. Colorado’s other victory in that run was a 1-0 success in May 2024.
Absences on both sides
Colorado will be without Z. Steffen, who is ruled out with a shoulder injury. R. Cannon (leg), A. Fadal, T. Ku-DiPietro (shoulder) and Y. Maziz are all carrying fitness doubts. Vancouver are missing S. Adekugbe and T. Muller through muscle injuries, while K. G. Cabrera Nakamura (foot) and B. Halbouni (knee) are also doubtful.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model favours Vancouver, and the football reasons back that up. The Whitecaps have scored more regularly across the season and their away record is far stronger than Colorado’s home form suggests they can match in attack. Colorado will have their home crowd and a real chance to find the net, so this should be a game with goals at both ends rather than a dour contest. Expect Vancouver to edge a close, open match.
Colorado Rapids 1-2 Vancouver Whitecaps

