Strasbourg under pressure as Rennes look to build on their home form
Rennes have been hard to beat at Roazhon Park this season, while Strasbourg are searching for a result to ease mounting pressure in Ligue 1.
📍 Roazhon Park
All Matchday 8 matchesFull head-to-head
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Rennes | 2.1 | 2.0 |
| Strasbourg | 1.7 | 2.1 |
PreviaXI model
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 2.00 – 1.62
- Double chance
- 12 · 78%1X 69% · X2 53%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 70%
- Both teams score
- 70%
- Expected corners
- 10.16.3 – 3.8 · Over 9.5: 55%
- Expected cards
- 3.81.7 – 2.1 · Over 3.5: 53%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Rennes
- Power ratings: Rennes +0.12 goals per game (8th of 18 in Ligue 1), Strasbourg +0.11 (9th).
- Rennes's attack (1.79 goals per game) meets Strasbourg's defence (1.49 conceded per game).
- Strasbourg's attack (1.60) meets Rennes's defence (1.67).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 25% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 2.00 – 1.62 goals: Rennes 47%, draw 22%, Strasbourg 31%.
Absences
Rennes
- OutE. Lepaul · Ankle Injury
Strasbourg
- OutF. Balde · Leg Injury
- OutI. Doukoure · Inactive
- OutS. Nanasi · Injury
- OutJ. Panichelli · Knee Injury
Injury and suspension list from our data provider, updated every 6 hours. It can change before kick-off.
Chance to score
Rennes
- A. Thomasson2 goals in 9 games16%
- A. Ait Boudlal1 goals in 6 games11%
- P. Frankowski1 goals in 8 games9%
Strasbourg
- Gessime Yassine2 goals in 7 games20%
- G. Reyna2 goals in 7 games18%
- Diogo Sousa1 goals in 6 games11%
Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.
Trends
- Rennes are unbeaten in their last 9 home matches.
- 7 of Strasbourg’s last 8 matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Strasbourg’s last 8 matches.
- 6 of Rennes’s last 8 matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Rennes have won their last 4 home matches.
- Strasbourg have lost their last 3 matches.
Season stats
| · | Rennes | Strasbourg | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | All | Home | All | Away |
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-1-2 | 3-1-0 | 2-1-4 | 1-0-3 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.14 | 2.50 | 1.71 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.00 | 1.25 | 2.14 | 2.50 |
| xG per game | 2.10 | 2.11 | 1.19 | 1.00 |
| xG against per game | 2.39 | 2.08 | 1.96 | 1.77 |
| Scored in | 86% | 100% | 86% | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 14% | 0% | 14% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 75% | 86% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 75% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 86% | 75% | 86% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 71% | 75% | 43% | 50% |
| Shots per game | 16.3 | 18.0 | 12.3 | 10.0 |
| Shots on target per game | 6.3 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 4.5 |
| Shots on target | 39% | 39% | 41% | 45% |
| Possession | 52% | 51% | 45% | 48% |
| Passes per game | 478.6 | 464.2 | 437.3 | 482.5 |
| Pass accuracy | – | – | 86% | 88% |
| Corners per game | 5.9 | 5.8 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| Corners against per game | 6.3 | 6.5 | 5.4 | 4.8 |
| Cards per game | 2.3 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.0 |
| Fouls per game | 13.4 | 12.2 | 11.3 | 12.0 |
League matches this season (Ligue 1). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.
When goals come
Rennes
- 0-154 / 2
- 16-302 / 4
- 31-451 / 2
- 46-602 / 2
- 61-751 / 1
- 76-90+4 / 5
Usual formation: 4-1-4-1
Strasbourg
- 0-150 / 1
- 16-301 / 1
- 31-454 / 1
- 46-602 / 3
- 61-750 / 2
- 76-90+4 / 8
Usual formation: 4-3-3
Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +8 | 14 | |
| 2 | 7 | +5 | 14 | |
| 3 | 7 | +5 | 14 | |
| 4 | 8 | +4 | 14 | |
| 5 | 7 | +4 | 14 | |
| 6 | 8 | +4 | 13 | |
| 7 | 7 | +1 | 13 | |
| 8 | 7 | +1 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | -2 | 11 | |
| 10 | 7 | +4 | 9 | |
| 11 | 8 | +2 | 9 | |
| 12 | 7 | +1 | 9 | |
| 13 | 7 | -6 | 9 | |
| 14 | 7 | -3 | 7 | |
| 15 | 7 | -6 | 7 | |
| 16 | 7 | -5 | 6 | |
| 17 | 7 | -11 | 4 | |
| 18 | 7 | -6 | 2 |
Next matches
Rennes
- Sat 31 OctNice – RennesLigue 1
- Thu 5 NovRennes – Olympiakos PiraeusUEFA Europa League
- Sun 8 NovRennes – LilleLigue 1
Strasbourg
- Sun 1 NovStrasbourg – AuxerreLigue 1
- Fri 6 NovToulouse – StrasbourgLigue 1
- Sat 21 NovStrasbourg – Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1
Head-to-head: last 10 meetings
Rennes 6 wins · 1 draws · Strasbourg 3 wins
- 19/04/2026Strasbourg0-3RennesLigue 1
- 02/11/2025Rennes4-1StrasbourgLigue 1
- 02/02/2025Rennes1-0StrasbourgLigue 1
- 25/08/2024Strasbourg3-1RennesLigue 1
- 31/03/2024Strasbourg2-0RennesLigue 1
- 29/10/2023Rennes1-1StrasbourgLigue 1
- 01/02/2023Rennes3-0StrasbourgLigue 1
- 01/10/2022Strasbourg1-3RennesLigue 1
- 20/04/2022Strasbourg2-1RennesLigue 1
- 24/10/2021Rennes1-0StrasbourgLigue 1
Rennes have been difficult to beat on their own patch. In four home league games this season they have won three and drawn one, scoring ten times and conceding only five. Over their last five matches across all competitions, they have scored and conceded ten goals, and they come into Sunday’s clash in good shape.
Strasbourg’s search for answers
Strasbourg are the side feeling the squeeze. They sit 14th of 18 with seven points from seven games and a goal difference of minus three. Their away record makes the task harder still: one win and three defeats from four road games, with the defence leaking goals late on, as half of their away goals conceded have come in the final 15 minutes.
Rennes’ steady climb
Rennes occupy sixth place with 13 points and a goal difference of plus one. Their recent league sequence reads three wins and two defeats in five, a return that has kept them firmly in the top half and gives them every reason to feel confident at home.
Head-to-head
The recent history favours Rennes. They have won three of the last five meetings, including a 4-1 home win in November 2025 and a 3-0 victory at Strasbourg in April. Strasbourg’s two wins in that run came in 2024.
Team news
Strasbourg face a difficult week. J. Panichelli is ruled out with a knee injury, while F. Balde and S. Nanasi are both doubtful. Rennes are also monitoring E. Lepaul, who is a doubt with an ankle problem.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model favours Rennes, and the football picture supports that. Rennes have been far more secure at home, while Strasbourg have struggled to score away and have shipped goals late in games. Expect Rennes to take the lead and manage the contest, with Strasbourg likely to create a late chance or two without enough quality to change the result.
Rennes 2-1 Strasbourg

