Ligue 1 · Matchday 8
Rennes
Doha time
Strasbourg

Strasbourg under pressure as Rennes look to build on their home form

Rennes have been hard to beat at Roazhon Park this season, while Strasbourg are searching for a result to ease mounting pressure in Ligue 1.

📍 Roazhon Park

Match facts

Recent form

RennesWWLWL
StrasbourgWDLLL

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
Rennes2.12.0
Strasbourg1.72.1

PreviaXI model

Rennes47%Draw22%Strasbourg31%
Predicted score
2-1
Expected goals (model)
2.00 – 1.62
Double chance
12 · 78%1X 69% · X2 53%
Over 2.5 goals
70%
Both teams score
70%
Expected corners
10.16.3 – 3.8 · Over 9.5: 55%
Expected cards
3.81.7 – 2.1 · Over 3.5: 53%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Why the model leans towards Rennes

  • Power ratings: Rennes +0.12 goals per game (8th of 18 in Ligue 1), Strasbourg +0.11 (9th).
  • Rennes's attack (1.79 goals per game) meets Strasbourg's defence (1.49 conceded per game).
  • Strasbourg's attack (1.60) meets Rennes's defence (1.67).
  • Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 25% more goals.
  • Put together, the model expects 2.00 – 1.62 goals: Rennes 47%, draw 22%, Strasbourg 31%.

Power ratings: Ligue 1 →

Absences

Rennes

  • OutE. Lepaul · Ankle Injury

Strasbourg

  • OutF. Balde · Leg Injury
  • OutI. Doukoure · Inactive
  • OutS. Nanasi · Injury
  • OutJ. Panichelli · Knee Injury

Injury and suspension list from our data provider, updated every 6 hours. It can change before kick-off.

Chance to score

Rennes

  • A. Thomasson2 goals in 9 games16%
  • A. Ait Boudlal1 goals in 6 games11%
  • P. Frankowski1 goals in 8 games9%

Strasbourg

  • Gessime Yassine2 goals in 7 games20%
  • G. Reyna2 goals in 7 games18%
  • Diogo Sousa1 goals in 6 games11%

Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.

Trends

  • Rennes are unbeaten in their last 9 home matches.
  • 7 of Strasbourg’s last 8 matches had over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams scored in 7 of Strasbourg’s last 8 matches.
  • 6 of Rennes’s last 8 matches had over 2.5 goals.
  • Rennes have won their last 4 home matches.
  • Strasbourg have lost their last 3 matches.

Season stats

·RennesStrasbourg
·AllHomeAllAway
Won-drawn-lost4-1-23-1-02-1-41-0-3
Goals scored per game2.142.501.712.00
Goals conceded per game2.001.252.142.50
xG per game2.102.111.191.00
xG against per game2.392.081.961.77
Scored in86%100%86%75%
Clean sheets14%25%0%0%
Failed to score14%0%14%25%
Both teams scored71%75%86%75%
Over 1.5 goals86%75%100%100%
Over 2.5 goals86%75%86%100%
Over 3.5 goals71%75%43%50%
Shots per game16.318.012.310.0
Shots on target per game6.37.05.04.5
Shots on target39%39%41%45%
Possession52%51%45%48%
Passes per game478.6464.2437.3482.5
Pass accuracy––86%88%
Corners per game5.95.82.11.8
Corners against per game6.36.55.44.8
Cards per game2.32.21.92.0
Fouls per game13.412.211.312.0

League matches this season (Ligue 1). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.

When goals come

Rennes

  • 0-154 / 2
  • 16-302 / 4
  • 31-451 / 2
  • 46-602 / 2
  • 61-751 / 1
  • 76-90+4 / 5

Usual formation: 4-1-4-1

Strasbourg

  • 0-150 / 1
  • 16-301 / 1
  • 31-454 / 1
  • 46-602 / 3
  • 61-750 / 2
  • 76-90+4 / 8

Usual formation: 4-3-3

Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsRecent form
1Lyon742113:5+814WLWDW
2Paris Saint Germain742114:9+514WWWWL
3Lille742110:5+514DWLWW
4Paris FC842213:9+414LWLWD
5Monaco742110:6+414LDWDW
6Lens841316:12+413WWWLD
7Rennes741215:14+113LWLWW
8Lorient73227:6+111WWLDW
9Nice83238:10-211WLWWL
10Marseille730414:10+49WWLLL
11Stade Brestois 29823314:12+29LDWLL
12Toulouse723212:11+19WDWDL
13Auxerre730411:17-69WLWWL
14Strasbourg721412:15-37LLLDW
15Angers72149:15-67LLWDL
16Le Mans713310:15-56LLWDD
17Estac Troyes71155:16-114LLLLL
18Le Havre70255:11-62LLLDL

Next matches

Rennes

  • Sat 31 OctNice – RennesLigue 1
  • Thu 5 NovRennes – Olympiakos PiraeusUEFA Europa League
  • Sun 8 NovRennes – LilleLigue 1

Strasbourg

  • Sun 1 NovStrasbourg – AuxerreLigue 1
  • Fri 6 NovToulouse – StrasbourgLigue 1
  • Sat 21 NovStrasbourg – Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1

Head-to-head: last 10 meetings

Rennes 6 wins · 1 draws · Strasbourg 3 wins

  • 19/04/2026Strasbourg0-3RennesLigue 1
  • 02/11/2025Rennes4-1StrasbourgLigue 1
  • 02/02/2025Rennes1-0StrasbourgLigue 1
  • 25/08/2024Strasbourg3-1RennesLigue 1
  • 31/03/2024Strasbourg2-0RennesLigue 1
  • 29/10/2023Rennes1-1StrasbourgLigue 1
  • 01/02/2023Rennes3-0StrasbourgLigue 1
  • 01/10/2022Strasbourg1-3RennesLigue 1
  • 20/04/2022Strasbourg2-1RennesLigue 1
  • 24/10/2021Rennes1-0StrasbourgLigue 1

Rennes have been difficult to beat on their own patch. In four home league games this season they have won three and drawn one, scoring ten times and conceding only five. Over their last five matches across all competitions, they have scored and conceded ten goals, and they come into Sunday’s clash in good shape.

Strasbourg’s search for answers

Strasbourg are the side feeling the squeeze. They sit 14th of 18 with seven points from seven games and a goal difference of minus three. Their away record makes the task harder still: one win and three defeats from four road games, with the defence leaking goals late on, as half of their away goals conceded have come in the final 15 minutes.

Rennes’ steady climb

Rennes occupy sixth place with 13 points and a goal difference of plus one. Their recent league sequence reads three wins and two defeats in five, a return that has kept them firmly in the top half and gives them every reason to feel confident at home.

Head-to-head

The recent history favours Rennes. They have won three of the last five meetings, including a 4-1 home win in November 2025 and a 3-0 victory at Strasbourg in April. Strasbourg’s two wins in that run came in 2024.

Team news

Strasbourg face a difficult week. J. Panichelli is ruled out with a knee injury, while F. Balde and S. Nanasi are both doubtful. Rennes are also monitoring E. Lepaul, who is a doubt with an ankle problem.

Our prediction

PreviaXI’s model favours Rennes, and the football picture supports that. Rennes have been far more secure at home, while Strasbourg have struggled to score away and have shipped goals late in games. Expect Rennes to take the lead and manage the contest, with Strasbourg likely to create a late chance or two without enough quality to change the result.

Rennes 2-1 Strasbourg

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