Our pick1–0Correct result
Botafogo's run meets struggling Remo — can the underdogs cause trouble in Belém?
Botafogo head to Estádio Evandro Almeida sitting 11th in Serie A and clear favourites on paper, but a fragile Remo side at home could make this tighter than it looks. Squad absences and recent head-to-head history add spice to a fixture Botafogo cannot take lightly.
📍 Estádio Evandro Almeida
Preview written:
All Matchday 33 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Remo won 2-1 over Botafogo. Jaja opened the scoring in the 8th minute for Remo, L. Picco doubled the lead in the 54th minute, and Edenilson pulled one back for Botafogo in the 83rd minute. There were no red cards in the match.
The numbers show Botafogo dominated possession (65% to 35%) and had more total shots (13 to 11), but Remo managed more shots on target (4 to 2) and a lower xG (0.58 to 0.88). Leonel Picco was the top-rated player with an 8.3. PreviaXI's model had predicted a 1-0 result before kickoff, with home win 35%, draw 29%, away win 36%.
Goals
- 8'Jaja · Remo
- 54'L. Picco · Remo
- 83'Edenilson · Botafogo
Cards
- 56'D. Andrade · Botafogo
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: Leonel Picco (Remo) 8.3
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Remo · 4-3-3
- 88Marcelo RangelG
- 79MarcelinhoD
- 13MarllonD
- 18D. TchambaD
- 6MarlonD
- 14L. PiccoM
- 28Ze WelisonM
- 8PatrickM
- 26David BragaF
- 19Gabriel TaliariF
- 7JajaF
Coach: Carpini Thiago
Botafogo · 4-2-3-1
- 12Gabriel BatistaG
- 2VitinhoD
- 5N. FerraresiD
- 21MarcalD
- 13Alex TellesD
- 91D. AndradeM
- 75HuguinhoM
- 22H. ZiyechM
- 6C. MedinaM
- 11Matheus MartinsM
- 19Arthur CabralF
Coach: Tite
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Remo | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Botafogo | 1.4 | 1.6 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Botafogo | 32 | -7 | 39 |
| 19 | Remo | 32 | -16 | 26 |
Last meetings
- 2026Botafogo1-2Remo
- 2021Remo0-1Botafogo
- 2021Botafogo3-0Remo
Absences
Remo
- OutGabriel Poveda · Inactive
- OutJoao Lucas · Knee Injury
- OutMatheus Felipe · Inactive
- OutMayk · Inactive
- OutYago Pikachu · Muscle Injury
- OutZe Ivaldo · Yellow Cards
Botafogo
- OutJ. Barrera · Ankle Injury
- OutKaio Pantaleao · Knee Injury
- OutA. Montoro · Yellow Cards
- DoubtfulArthur Chaves · Inactive
- DoubtfulDanilo Santos · Injury
- DoubtfulL. Monzon · Inactive
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.21 – 1.21
- Double chance
- 12 · 71%1X 64% · X2 65%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44%Over 1.5: 71% · Over 3.5: 23%
- Both teams score
- 50%
- Clean sheet
- 30% – 30%Remo–Botafogo
- Half-time result
- X · 45%1 28% · 2 27%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 20%2/2 20% · X/X 18%
- Expected corners
- 11.06.2 – 4.8 · Over 9.5: 65%
- Expected cards
- 4.22.0 – 2.2 · Over 3.5: 60%
- Most likely scores
- 1-114%
- 1-010%
- 0-110%
- 0-010%
- 2-18%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Botafogo’s position and what’s at stake
Botafogo arrive in Belém occupying 11th place in the Serie A table with 39 points from 32 matches. A midtable season so far leaves them with room to push for a higher finish, and avoiding an upset here would consolidate that position. Remo, 19th with 26 points, are fighting at the wrong end of the table and will treat this as a must-not-lose home game if they are to climb clear of the relegation zone.
Recent patterns that matter
Form lines suggest contrasting trajectories: Botafogo’s recent five matches show slightly better form than Remo’s, and they have been steadier away from home across the season (10 wins overall versus Remo’s five). Remo have struggled for goals recently, scoring three in their last five while conceding five; Botafogo have also been lean in attack with three in their last five but have conceded eight. Remo’s goal timing shows a tendency to score late — many goals after the 76th minute — which could make for nervy finishes.
What history suggests
The last five meetings give Botafogo the edge, including a 1-2 win for Remo at Botafogo in May 2026, but overall Botafogo have won more of the recent encounters. The head-to-head results include narrow margins, underlining that these matches can be tight despite the gap in the table.
Selection headaches and absences
Remo have several players unavailable: Gabriel Poveda, Joao Lucas (knee), Matheus Felipe and Mayk are listed inactive, Yago Pikachu is out with a muscle injury and Ze Ivaldo is suspended by yellow cards. Botafogo also travel without J. Barrera (ankle) and Kaio Pantaleao (knee), while Arthur Chaves, Danilo Santos and L. Monzon are questionable or inactive. Those absences on both sides could tilt selection choices and affect defensive solidity.
Individuals who could decide it
- For Remo: with attacking options limited by absences, look for late goals from the home side; their scoring pattern suggests substitutes or late-game tactics can be pivotal.
- For Botafogo: defensive stability will be key, especially with regular starters missing. If their backline holds, their more consistent form should see them control the game.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model points to a tight, low-scoring game with Remo eking out a narrow home win. The balance comes from both sides creating similar chances but Remo’s home familiarity and Botafogo’s selection doubts make a single-goal margin plausible. Expect a tense match decided late.
Remo 1-0 Botafogo

