Serie A · Matchday 33 
Our pick1–0Correct result
Home form the headline as Fluminense aim to stop a worrying run
Fluminense's season has been built on strong home results — 11 wins from 16 — but a recent sequence of defeats has ramped up the pressure ahead of Internacional's visit to the Maracanã.
📍 Estádio do Maracanã
Preview written: · Updated after team news:
All Matchday 33 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Fluminense came from behind to beat Internacional 2-1. Internacional opened the scoring in the 46th minute through Alan Patrick, assisted by Matheus Bahia. Fluminense replied with Hércules in the 78th minute and L. Acosta in the 90th minute to complete the turnaround. There were no red cards.
The match was dominated in possession by Fluminense (76% to 24%), who also had more total shots (16 to 13) and more corners (8 to 5); expected goals were 1.49 for Fluminense and 1.05 for Internacional. Alan Patrick was the top-rated player on the pitch with an 8.7. PreviaXI had predicted a 1-0 win for Fluminense, projecting 51% home win, 27% draw and 22% away win.
Goals
- 46'Alan Patrick · Matheus Bahia · Internacional
- 78'Hercules · Fluminense
- 90'L. Acosta · Fluminense
Cards
- 60'Alerrandro · Internacional
- 63'Ignácio · Fluminense
- 70'Renê · Fluminense
- 90+4'Braian Aguirre · Internacional
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: Alan Patrick (Internacional) 8.7
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Fluminense · 4-2-3-1
- 1FábioG
- 23GugaD
- 3Thiago SilvaD
- 4IgnacioD
- 6RenêD
- 35HérculesM
- 16NonatoM
- 17A. CanobbioM
- 10PH GansoM
- 11J. SavarinoM
- 7HulkF
Coach: Marcão
Internacional · 3-4-2-1
- 22KauanG
- 15Bruno GomesD
- 3G. MaripánD
- 18JuninhoD
- 35B. AguirreM
- 16RonaldoM
- 29Thiago MaiaM
- 6Matheus BahiaM
- 10Alan PatrickM
- 26A. BernabéiM
- 9AlerrandroF
Coach: Eduardo Baptista
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Internacional | 1.1 | 1.3 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Fluminense | 32 | +9 | 51 |
| 16 | Internacional | 32 | -4 | 35 |
Last meetings
- 2026Internacional2-0Fluminense
- 2025Fluminense1-0Internacional
- 2025Fluminense1-1Internacional
- 2025Internacional1-2Fluminense
- 2025Internacional0-2Fluminense
Absences
Fluminense
- OutAlisson · Hip Injury
- OutJohn Kennedy · Knee Injury
- OutMartinelli · Inactive
- OutMatheus Reis · Knee Injury
- OutJ. Millan · Inactive
Internacional
- OutAnthoni · Knee Injury
- OutKayky · Ankle Injury
- OutS. Rochet · Lower Back Injury
- OutA. Sanabria · Calf Injury
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.53 – 0.93
- Double chance
- 1X · 78%12 73% · X2 49%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45%Over 1.5: 71% · Over 3.5: 23%
- Both teams score
- 48%
- Clean sheet
- 39% – 22%Fluminense–Internacional
- Half-time result
- X · 44%1 37% · 2 19%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 31%X/1 17% · X/X 17%
- Expected corners
- 9.04.9 – 4.1 · Over 9.5: 41%
- Expected cards
- 5.42.3 – 3.1 · Over 3.5: 79%
- Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 1-012%
- 2-010%
- 2-19%
- 0-09%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Home form the headache
Fluminense have won 11 of their 16 home league matches this season, scoring 29 goals at the Maracanã. That strength at home is central to their campaign, but recent results mean the club now faces a tense run-in: they sit fifth with 51 points after 32 games and arrive having lost multiple fixtures in their latest sequence.
What this match means
With Fluminense fifth in Serie A and Internacional down in 16th on 35 points, the stakes are different. Fluminense still occupy a spot nearer the top of the table and will feel the pressure to respond to poor recent form and protect their position. Internacional, lower in the table, see this as an opportunity to close the gap and move away from the relegation zone.
Momentum and recent form
Fluminense’s last five show a dip — their five-game snapshot lists fewer positives than their season home record — while Internacional’s recent form is mixed but slightly more stable. The visitors have been defensively resilient at times, with away-season numbers indicating tighter defending than Fluminense’s recent run.
Recent meetings favour the hosts
The last five meetings slightly favour Fluminense: three wins, a draw and a loss between the sides, including a Fluminense 1-0 home victory in October 2025 and Internacional victories earlier in 2026 and in cup ties. Familiarity between the teams suggests tight margins.
Team news and selection headaches
Fluminense will be without several players, including Alisson (hip), John Kennedy (knee), Matheus Reis (knee) and others listed as inactive — absences that increase the pressure on the squad and manager to find immediate solutions. Internacional also miss a number of players through injury, such as Anthoni (knee) and Kayky (ankle), which limits their options.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model favours a narrow home win and the match looks likely to be tight and cagey: Fluminense’s superior home form and historical edge at the Maracanã should be enough to scrape a result, though injuries leave them vulnerable. Expect few clear-cut chances and a late decisive goal. Fluminense 1-0 Internacional
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