PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord: a title-race test at the Philips Stadion
PSV have won three of their last five league games, but Feyenoord arrive on a five-match winning run and top the table. Sunday's clash in Eindhoven could reshape the race at the top of the Eredivisie.
📍 Philips Stadion
All Matchday 10 matchesFull head-to-head
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven | 3.0 | 1.3 |
| Feyenoord | 3.4 | 1.1 |
PreviaXI model
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.99 – 1.67
- Double chance
- 12 · 76%1X 69% · X2 55%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 71%
- Both teams score
- 71%
- Expected corners
- 10.45.5 – 4.9 · Over 9.5: 59%
- Expected cards
- 3.21.3 – 1.9 · Over 3.5: 39%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards PSV Eindhoven
- Power ratings: PSV Eindhoven +1.23 goals per game (1st of 18 in Eredivisie), Feyenoord +1.10 (2nd).
- PSV Eindhoven's attack (2.54 goals per game) meets Feyenoord's defence (1.16 conceded per game).
- Feyenoord's attack (2.26) meets PSV Eindhoven's defence (1.31).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 19% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.99 – 1.67 goals: PSV Eindhoven 45%, draw 24%, Feyenoord 31%.
Absences
PSV Eindhoven
- OutS. Mijnans · Red Card
- OutA. Nagalo · Injury
- OutA. Plea · Surgery
- OutJ. Schouten · Knee Injury
- OutK. Sildillia · Surgery
- DoubtfulS. Lammers · Lacking Match Fitness
- DoubtfulS. Ouaissa · Muscle Injury
- DoubtfulR. Pepi · Injury
- DoubtfulP. Wanner · Foot Injury
- DoubtfulR. van Bommel · Inactive
Feyenoord
- OutT. Beelen · Broken Leg
- OutJ. Bos · Knee Injury
- DoubtfulJ. Moder · Knee Injury
- DoubtfulR. Nelson · Muscle Injury
- DoubtfulB. Nieuwkoop · Knee Injury
- DoubtfulG. Smal · Ankle Injury
- DoubtfulS. van Persie · Knock
Injury and suspension list from our data provider, updated every 6 hours. It can change before kick-off.
Chance to score
PSV Eindhoven
- G. Til6 goals in 12 games29%
- R. Pepi3 goals in 8 games19%
- S. Dest3 goals in 11 games17%
Feyenoord
- A. Hadj-Moussa6 goals in 11 games23%
- A. Ueda3 goals in 4 games22%
- Nacho Ferri6 goals in 11 games21%
Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.
Trends
- PSV Eindhoven are unbeaten in the last 7 meetings with Feyenoord.
- PSV Eindhoven are unbeaten in their last 8 home matches.
- 6 of Feyenoord’s last 8 matches had over 2.5 goals.
Season stats
| · | PSV Eindhoven | Feyenoord | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | All | Home | All | Away |
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-1-2 | 3-1-0 | 7-2-0 | 5-0-0 |
| Goals scored per game | 3.00 | 3.25 | 3.44 | 4.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.33 | 1.00 | 1.11 | 1.20 |
| xG per game | 2.59 | 3.21 | 2.83 | 2.90 |
| xG against per game | 1.40 | 1.49 | 0.86 | 0.87 |
| Scored in | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 11% | 25% | 44% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 89% | 75% | 56% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 100% | 100% | 89% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 89% | 75% | 78% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 67% | 75% | 78% | 80% |
| Shots per game | 19.8 | 22.2 | 21.3 | 18.8 |
| Shots on target per game | 7.2 | 7.5 | 8.3 | 8.2 |
| Shots on target | 36% | 34% | 39% | 44% |
| Possession | 61% | 67% | 54% | 53% |
| Passes per game | 575.4 | 650.0 | 493.8 | 481.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 91% | 89% | – |
| Corners per game | 6.6 | 7.8 | 6.4 | 5.6 |
| Corners against per game | 2.9 | 3.8 | 4.3 | 4.2 |
| Cards per game | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Fouls per game | 9.9 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 10.0 |
League matches this season (Eredivisie). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.
When goals come
PSV Eindhoven
- 0-153 / 5
- 16-305 / 1
- 31-455 / 1
- 46-604 / 2
- 61-752 / 1
- 76-90+7 / 3
Usual formation: 4-2-3-1
Feyenoord
- 0-154 / 1
- 16-305 / 1
- 31-457 / 2
- 46-605 / 2
- 61-757 / 3
- 76-90+2 / 2
Usual formation: 4-3-3
Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +21 | 23 | |
| 2 | 9 | +10 | 20 | |
| 3 | 9 | +15 | 19 | |
| 4 | 9 | +15 | 18 | |
| 5 | 9 | +7 | 17 | |
| 6 | 9 | -1 | 15 | |
| 7 | 10 | +5 | 15 | |
| 8 | 9 | +3 | 14 | |
| 9 | 10 | 0 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | -3 | 12 | |
| 11 | 10 | -10 | 12 | |
| 12 | 9 | -2 | 11 | |
| 13 | 9 | -1 | 10 | |
| 14 | 9 | -6 | 9 | |
| 15 | 10 | -12 | 8 | |
| 16 | 10 | -9 | 6 | |
| 17 | 10 | -10 | 6 | |
| 18 | 10 | -22 | 2 |
Next matches
PSV Eindhoven
- Sat 31 OctPSV Eindhoven – Willem IIEredivisie
- Wed 4 NovPSV Eindhoven – Club Brugge KVUEFA Champions League
- Sun 8 NovCambuur – PSV EindhovenEredivisie
Feyenoord
- Sat 31 OctFeyenoord – Fortuna SittardEredivisie
- Tue 3 NovFeyenoord – InterUEFA Champions League
- Sun 8 NovHeerenveen – FeyenoordEredivisie
Head-to-head: last 10 meetings
PSV Eindhoven 7 wins · 2 draws · Feyenoord 1 wins
- 01/02/2026PSV Eindhoven3-0FeyenoordEredivisie
- 26/10/2025Feyenoord2-3PSV EindhovenEredivisie
- 11/05/2025Feyenoord2-3PSV EindhovenEredivisie
- 05/02/2025PSV Eindhoven2-0FeyenoordKNVB Beker
- 22/12/2024PSV Eindhoven3-0FeyenoordEredivisie
- 04/08/2024PSV Eindhoven4-4FeyenoordSuper Cup
- 03/03/2024PSV Eindhoven2-2FeyenoordEredivisie
- 24/01/2024Feyenoord1-0PSV EindhovenKNVB Beker
- 03/12/2023Feyenoord1-2PSV EindhovenEredivisie
- 04/08/2023Feyenoord0-1PSV EindhovenSuper Cup
PSV Eindhoven have won three of their last five league matches, but two defeats have kept them chasing the leaders rather than sitting alongside them. On Sunday they face Feyenoord at the Philips Stadion in a meeting that could shift the top of the Eredivisie.
Context and stakes
Feyenoord lead the table with 23 points from nine games. PSV are third with 19, four points behind, and the goal difference shows the gap in attacking output: Feyenoord are plus 21, PSV plus 15. With 18 clubs in the league, a result between two of the strongest sides carries weight well beyond three points.
Feyenoord’s momentum and PSV’s home record
Feyenoord come into this game with five straight league wins. They have scored 21 goals in that run and conceded only four, and they have not lost a league match all season, collecting seven wins and two draws from nine.
PSV have been just as hard to beat at home. They have won three and drawn one of their four league games in Eindhoven this season without defeat, and their last five matches have produced 12 goals for and seven against.
Head-to-head: PSV’s grip on the fixture
PSV have won every one of the last five meetings between the sides in the list provided. The most recent was a 3-0 win in February, and PSV also won 3-0 in December 2024 and 2-0 in the KNVB Cup in February 2025. Feyenoord have not beaten PSV in that stretch.
Team news: absences on both sides
PSV will be without S. Mijnans, who misses out after a red card, along with A. Nagalo (injury), A. Plea and K. Sildillia (both recovering from surgery) and J. Schouten (knee injury). S. Lammers, S. Ouaissa, R. Pepi, P. Wanner and R. van Bommel are doubtful.
Feyenoord are missing T. Beelen, who is out with a broken leg, and J. Bos, who has a knee injury. J. Moder, R. Nelson, B. Nieuwkoop, G. Smal and S. van Persie are all doubts.
Our prediction
PSV’s model favours the home side, and the football backs that up. Feyenoord’s attack has been firing, but PSV’s home form and their record over this opponent give them the edge. Expect an open game in which both sides find the net, with PSV’s control in Eindhoven proving decisive.
PSV Eindhoven 2-1 Feyenoord

