Major League Soccer · Matchday 31 Eastern Conference clash: Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution could reshape the top of the table
New England Revolution sit third and Philadelphia Union sixth, and a result here would tell us a lot about who can push for the top of the East. Both sides have injury doubts to work through.
📍 Talen Energy Stadium
All Matchday 31 matchesFull head-to-head
Confirmed lineups
Philadelphia Union · 4-4-2
- 18A. BlakeG
- 39F. WestfieldD
- 44Neil PierreD
- 26N. HarrielD
- 27K. WagnerD
- 33Q. SullivanM
- 21D. Jean-JacquesM
- 4J. LukićM
- 19I. VassilevM
- 10M. IloskiF
- 9B. DamianiF
Coach: Ryan Richter
New England Revolution · 4-3-3
- 30M. TurnerG
- 12I. FeingoldD
- 22E. KohlerD
- 66J. WynderD
- 25P. MillerD
- 10Carles GilM
- 8M. PolsterM
- 14J. YueillM
- 41L. LangoniF
- 99D. TurgemanF
- 16D. GazdagF
Coach: M. Mićović
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Union | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| New England Revolution | 1.6 | 1.4 |
PreviaXI model
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.96 – 1.12
- Double chance
- 1X · 79%12 77% · X2 44%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59%
- Both teams score
- 58%
- Expected corners
- 10.67.1 – 3.5 · Over 9.5: 60%
- Expected cards
- 4.52.1 – 2.4 · Over 3.5: 66%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Philadelphia Union
- Power ratings: Philadelphia Union +0.53 goals per game (3rd of 30 in Major League Soccer), New England Revolution 0.00 (14th).
- Philadelphia Union's attack (1.86 goals per game) meets New England Revolution's defence (1.46 conceded per game).
- New England Revolution's attack (1.46) meets Philadelphia Union's defence (1.33).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 25% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.96 – 1.12 goals: Philadelphia Union 56%, draw 23%, New England Revolution 21%.
Absences
Philadelphia Union
- OutJ. Bueno · Hamstring Injury
- OutC. Sullivan · Ankle Injury
New England Revolution
- OutJ. Harrison · Lower-Body Injury
- OutA. Yusuf · Muscle Injury
- DoubtfulL. Campana · Hamstring Injury
- DoubtfulM. Fofana · Lower-Body Injury
Injury and suspension list from our data provider, updated every 6 hours. It can change before kick-off.
Chance to score
Philadelphia Union
- M. Iloski20 goals in 35 games40%
- B. Damiani15 goals in 35 games32%
- Neil Pierre4 goals in 16 games19%
New England Revolution
- Carles Gil12 goals in 30 games22%
- D. Turgeman9 goals in 29 games18%
- P. Miller7 goals in 27 games15%
Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.
Trends
- Philadelphia Union have scored in each of their last 19 matches.
- Philadelphia Union are unbeaten in their last 15 matches.
- Philadelphia Union are unbeaten in their last 12 home matches.
- 7 of Philadelphia Union’s last 8 matches had over 2.5 goals.
- 7 of New England Revolution’s last 8 matches had over 2.5 goals.
Season stats
| · | Philadelphia Union | New England Revolution | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | All | Home | All | Away |
| Won-drawn-lost | 13-7-10 | 7-5-3 | 16-4-10 | 6-2-7 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.03 | 1.80 | 1.63 | 1.47 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.60 | 1.07 | 1.37 | 1.67 |
| xG per game | 1.91 | 2.10 | 1.52 | 1.76 |
| xG against per game | 1.40 | 1.01 | 1.36 | 1.55 |
| Scored in | 83% | 80% | 77% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 33% | 20% | 7% |
| Failed to score | 17% | 20% | 23% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% | 60% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 73% | 80% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 60% | 70% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50% | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| Shots per game | 15.5 | 15.7 | 10.1 | 8.8 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.6 | 4.7 | 3.8 | 3.3 |
| Shots on target | 30% | 30% | 38% | 38% |
| Possession | 46% | 48% | 50% | 46% |
| Passes per game | 365.9 | 366.0 | 474.1 | 446.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 75% | – | 88% | – |
| Corners per game | 6.0 | 7.0 | 4.7 | 4.3 |
| Corners against per game | 3.4 | 2.5 | 5.9 | 6.1 |
| Cards per game | 2.4 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| Fouls per game | 15.2 | 13.6 | 11.2 | 12.0 |
League matches this season (Major League Soccer). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.
When goals come
Philadelphia Union
- 0-155 / 6
- 16-305 / 12
- 31-459 / 8
- 46-6013 / 5
- 61-7517 / 8
- 76-90+10 / 11
Usual formation: 4-4-2
New England Revolution
- 0-155 / 6
- 16-306 / 6
- 31-4513 / 9
- 46-609 / 4
- 61-754 / 9
- 76-90+14 / 5
Usual formation: 4-2-3-1
Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 31 | +43 | 70 |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 30 | +22 | 55 |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 30 | +8 | 52 |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 30 | +8 | 48 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 30 | +8 | 47 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 30 | +13 | 46 |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 30 | -12 | 41 |
| 8 |  FC Cincinnati | 30 | -9 | 39 |
| 9 |  Columbus Crew | 31 | +1 | 38 |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 30 | -17 | 36 |
| 11 |  Toronto FC | 31 | -11 | 36 |
| 12 |  New York City FC | 30 | +2 | 34 |
| 13 |  DC United | 30 | -15 | 33 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 30 | -14 | 30 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 31 | -26 | 25 |
Next matches
Philadelphia Union
- Thu 29 OctNashville SC – Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
- Sat 31 OctFC Cincinnati – Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
- Sun 8 NovPhiladelphia Union – Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
New England Revolution
- Thu 29 OctNew England Revolution – New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- Mon 2 NovNew England Revolution – Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- Sun 8 NovOrlando City SC – New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-head: last 10 meetings
Philadelphia Union 7 wins · 1 draws · New England Revolution 2 wins
- 09/05/2026New England Revolution2-1Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
- 20/09/2025Philadelphia Union1-0New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- 09/03/2025New England Revolution0-2Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
- 17/07/2024Philadelphia Union5-1New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- 18/05/2024New England Revolution0-3Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
- 14/02/2024New England Revolution0-0Philadelphia UnionFriendlies Clubs
- 09/11/2023New England Revolution0-1Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
- 28/10/2023Philadelphia Union3-1New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- 22/10/2023New England Revolution2-1Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
- 20/05/2023Philadelphia Union3-0New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
New England Revolution sit third in the Eastern Conference on 52 points, while Philadelphia Union are sixth on 46. With both clubs having played 30 games, this meeting carries more weight than a typical midseason fixture: a win could open daylight over the chasing pack for one side and pull the other firmly into the race for the top places.
Six points and a seat at the top
The gap is six points, but Philadelphia’s goal difference of +13 is better than New England’s +8. The Union have been the more clinical side in the aggregate, and that sits uneasily with their current league position. For the Revolution, the challenge is to turn a strong points haul into a clear advantage before the run-in.
Union’s momentum against the Revolution’s mixed spell
Philadelphia’s recent league form reads four wins and a draw in their last five, a run that has lifted them back into contention. New England have been more inconsistent, with a 3-2 split between wins and defeats across their last five outings. The Union have scored 27 goals at home this season and conceded 16, while New England have scored 22 away and conceded 25, a difference that could matter in a tight game.
Union’s grip on this rivalry
Philadelphia have the better recent head-to-head record. They have won four of the last five meetings, including a 5-1 win in July 2024 and a 1-0 victory in September 2025. Their only defeat in that run came in May 2026, when New England won 2-1 at home.
Injury doubts on both sides
Philadelphia face a fitness question of their own, with J. Bueno listed as questionable because of a hamstring injury. New England’s list is longer. J. Harrison and A. Yusuf are missing the fixture through lower-body and muscle injuries, while L. Campana (hamstring), M. Fofana (lower-body) and W. Sands (injury) are all doubtful.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model favours Philadelphia, and the football reasoning supports that lean. The Union have been the more productive attacking side at home this season, and they have the stronger recent form. New England’s away record shows they can score, but their defensive numbers on the road and their injury problems make a clean run of chances harder to sustain. Expect an open game with goals at both ends, but with Philadelphia just edging it.
Philadelphia Union 2-1 New England Revolution
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