Ligue 1 · Matchday 8 PSG Chase a Fifth Straight Win Against Lyon
Paris Saint Germain bring four consecutive league wins to the Parc des Princes, and a chance to move clear at the top, when Lyon arrive on Sunday. Lyon have been just as hard to beat this season, so the question is whether the winning run survives a serious test.
📍 Parc des Princes
All Matchday 8 matchesFull head-to-head
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| Lyon | 1.9 | 0.7 |
PreviaXI model
- Predicted score
- 2-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 2.07 – 0.98
- Double chance
- 1X · 83%12 79% · X2 38%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59%
- Both teams score
- 55%
- Expected corners
- 10.47.1 – 3.3 · Over 9.5: 58%
- Expected cards
- 3.31.5 – 1.8 · Over 3.5: 43%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Paris Saint Germain
- Power ratings: Paris Saint Germain +1.18 goals per game (1st of 18 in Ligue 1), Lyon +0.34 (4th).
- Paris Saint Germain's attack (2.19 goals per game) meets Lyon's defence (1.26 conceded per game).
- Lyon's attack (1.60) meets Paris Saint Germain's defence (1.01).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 25% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 2.07 – 0.98 goals: Paris Saint Germain 62%, draw 21%, Lyon 17%.
Absences
Paris Saint Germain
- OutO. Dembele · Thigh Injury
- OutK. Kvaratskhelia · Knee Injury
- OutMarquinhos · Thigh Injury
- OutN. Mendes · Muscle Injury
- DoubtfulA. Longoni · Injury
Lyon
- OutL. Openda · Leg Injury
- OutM. Ouedraogo · Knee Injury
- OutN. Tagliafico · Muscle Injury
- DoubtfulA. Hamdani · Inactive
- DoubtfulP. Sulc · Knee Injury
Injury and suspension list from our data provider, updated every 6 hours. It can change before kick-off.
Chance to score
Paris Saint Germain
- Ferran Torres7 goals in 10 games33%
- D. Doué4 goals in 11 games19%
- Vitinha3 goals in 12 games14%
Lyon
- E. Nuamah5 goals in 11 games18%
- M. Fofana2 goals in 6 games10%
- Z. Athekame2 goals in 9 games9%
Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.
Trends
- Paris Saint Germain have scored in each of their last 41 matches.
- Paris Saint Germain have won their last 7 matches.
- 7 of Paris Saint Germain’s last 8 matches had over 2.5 goals.
- 7 of Lyon’s last 8 matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Paris Saint Germain’s last 8 matches.
Season stats
| · | Paris Saint Germain | Lyon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | All | Home | All | Away |
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-2-1 | 1-0-1 | 4-2-1 | 1-1-1 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.86 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.29 | 1.50 | 0.71 | 0.67 |
| xG per game | 2.62 | – | 1.65 | 0.75 |
| xG against per game | 1.23 | – | 1.26 | 1.47 |
| Scored in | 100% | 100% | 86% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 0% | 43% | 67% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 14% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 86% | 100% | 57% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 100% | 86% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 86% | 100% | 57% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 57% | 50% | 29% | 0% |
| Shots per game | 20.9 | – | 12.6 | 9.7 |
| Shots on target per game | 7.3 | – | 4.9 | 3.0 |
| Shots on target | 35% | – | 39% | 31% |
| Possession | 68% | – | 52% | 49% |
| Passes per game | 709.6 | – | 469.7 | 475.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | – | 86% | 86% |
| Corners per game | 5.7 | – | 4.3 | 4.0 |
| Corners against per game | 1.9 | – | 6.3 | 5.7 |
| Cards per game | 1.0 | – | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Fouls per game | 5.9 | – | 11.0 | 13.3 |
League matches this season (Ligue 1). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.
When goals come
Paris Saint Germain
- 0-151 / 1
- 16-301 / 2
- 31-451 / 1
- 46-600 / 2
- 61-755 / 2
- 76-90+6 / 1
Usual formation: 4-3-3
Lyon
- 0-151 / 0
- 16-302 / 1
- 31-453 / 2
- 46-602 / 0
- 61-751 / 1
- 76-90+4 / 1
Usual formation: 4-2-3-1
Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lyon | 7 | +8 | 14 |
| 2 |  Paris Saint Germain | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 3 |  Lille | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 8 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 |  Monaco | 7 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Lens | 8 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 |  Rennes | 7 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Nice | 8 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Marseille | 7 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 13 |  Auxerre | 7 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 |  Strasbourg | 7 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 |  Angers | 7 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 |  Le Mans | 7 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 7 | -11 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 7 | -6 | 2 |
Next matches
Paris Saint Germain
- Fri 30 OctLe Havre – Paris Saint GermainLigue 1
- Tue 3 NovVillarreal – Paris Saint GermainUEFA Champions League
- Sat 7 NovParis Saint Germain – Estac TroyesLigue 1
Lyon
- Sat 31 OctLyon – AngersLigue 1
- Thu 5 NovReal Sociedad – LyonUEFA Europa League
- Sun 8 NovStade Brestois 29 – LyonLigue 1
Head-to-head: last 10 meetings
Paris Saint Germain 7 wins · 1 draws · Lyon 2 wins
- 19/04/2026Paris Saint Germain1-2LyonLigue 1
- 09/11/2025Lyon2-3Paris Saint GermainLigue 1
- 23/02/2025Lyon2-3Paris Saint GermainLigue 1
- 15/12/2024Paris Saint Germain3-1LyonLigue 1
- 25/05/2024Lyon1-2Paris Saint GermainCoupe de France
- 21/04/2024Paris Saint Germain4-1LyonLigue 1
- 03/09/2023Lyon1-4Paris Saint GermainLigue 1
- 02/04/2023Paris Saint Germain0-1LyonLigue 1
- 18/09/2022Lyon0-1Paris Saint GermainLigue 1
- 09/01/2022Lyon1-1Paris Saint GermainLigue 1
Paris Saint Germain could move ahead of Lyon at the top of Ligue 1 with a win on Sunday, and their current streak gives them every reason to believe they can.
A top-of-the-table meeting
Both sides have 14 points from seven matches, but Lyon sit first on goal difference (+8) while Paris are second (+5). With 18 teams in the league, an early-season clash of this kind carries weight beyond the three points. Paris have won four league games in a row, a run that has lifted them into the top two, and they will want to keep it going in front of their own supporters.
Form: streak against steadiness
Paris’s recent run is built on attacking output. Over their last five matches they have scored 10 goals and conceded five, and their season form reads DDLWWWW, with the four wins coming in succession. Lyon have matched them going forward, also scoring 10 in their last five, and have been tighter at the back, conceding four. Their season record of four wins, two draws and one defeat mirrors Paris’s almost exactly, and Lyon’s latest results (WLWDW in the standings) show the same resilience.
Head-to-head: Paris have the edge, but Lyon have won the latest meeting
The rivalry has been close and high-scoring. Paris have won three of the last five meetings, including a 3-1 win at home in December 2024 and a 2-3 win away at Lyon in November 2025. Lyon, however, won the most recent league meeting 2-1 at home in April, and the Coupe de France tie of May 2024 also went Paris’s way, 2-1 after extra scrutiny of the scoreline. Neither side has dominated, which suggests a tight contest.
Team news: both squads thinned by injury
Paris will be without Ousmane Dembélé, Kvaratskhelia, Marquinhos and Nuno Mendes, all ruled out, while Longoni is a doubt. Lyon also face a long list of absentees, with Openda, Ouedraogo and Tagliafico missing and Hamdani and Sulc doubtful.
Our prediction
PSG’s model favours the home side, and the football backs that up: Paris create the more consistent attacking threat and their home form has been strong enough to control the game. Lyon’s defensive record is sound, but without several attacking and defensive options they may struggle to contain Paris for 90 minutes. Expect a fairly open first half, with Paris’s pressure telling in the later stages.
Paris Saint Germain 2-0 Lyon
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Ligue 1 table All previews that day
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