Primeira Liga · Matchday 11 
Academico Viseu’s winning run faces a Nacional test
Academico Viseu arrive on six straight wins and sit nine places above Nacional. Their away record gives them reason to believe the run can continue in Funchal.
📍 Estádio da Madeira
Preview written:
All Matchday 11 matches Full head-to-head
Confirmed lineups
Nacional · 4-3-3
- 1Renato BellucciG
- 7M. JensenD
- 33Francisco GonçalvesD
- 38Zé VitorD
- 21W. KokoloD
- 8Miguel BaezaM
- 6Matheus DiasM
- 15C. LabidiM
- 11S. GavrielF
- 29N. KaderF
- 12Song Min-KyuF
Coach: João Henriques
Academico Viseu · 4-2-3-1
- 98EwertonG
- 75RobinhoD
- 41A. CorreiaD
- 2N. MichelisD
- 3Miguel BrauD
- 7Luís SilvaM
- 14S. MesseguemM
- 31João GuilhermeM
- 8C. KahramanM
- 22Nils MortimerM
- 33André ClóvisF
Coach: Bruno Pinheiro
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 1.0 | 1.9 |
| Academico Viseu | 1.5 | 1.2 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 10 | +3 | 20 |
| 15 | Nacional | 10 | -9 | 7 |
Last meetings
- 2024 Nacional 1-1 Academico Viseu
- 2023 Academico Viseu 1-1 Nacional
- 2023 Nacional 3-2 Academico Viseu
- 2023 Academico Viseu 1-1 Nacional
- 2022 Nacional 1-2 Academico Viseu
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.26 – 1.43
- Double chance
- 12 · 76%1X 58% · X2 66%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50%Over 1.5: 74% · Over 3.5: 28%
- Both teams score
- 54%
- Clean sheet
- 24% – 28%Nacional–Academico Viseu
- Half-time result
- X · 41%1 27% · 2 32%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 25%1/1 20% · X/X 15%
- Expected corners
- 9.55.5 – 4.0 · Over 9.5: 47%
- Expected cards
- 5.02.3 – 2.7 · Over 3.5: 70%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A chance to extend the gap
Academico Viseu can make it seven league wins in a row against a Nacional side seeking a response after defeat, with the visitors already nine places and 13 points ahead.
The Primeira Liga meeting in Funchal brings together contrasting starts to the campaign: Academico Viseu are sixth on 20 points after 10 matches, while Nacional are 15th on seven. A win would keep Viseu’s momentum rolling; Nacional need points to improve their position.
Viseu’s surge, Nacional’s struggle
Academico Viseu have won their last six league matches, and their last five have brought 10 goals scored and four conceded. They have also been unbeaten away, with three wins and two draws from five league trips, scoring nine goals and conceding five.
Nacional’s recent form is the opposite: one win and four defeats in their last five league games, with 11 goals conceded. Their overall record is two wins, one draw and seven defeats, and they have lost their most recent league match. At home, they have two wins and three defeats from five.
A history of close encounters
The last five meetings produced one Nacional win, one Academico Viseu win and three draws. The most recent, in March 2024 in the Segunda Liga, ended 1-1. Three of those five matches had two goals or fewer, a reminder that this fixture has often been tight.
Players to watch
Academico Viseu’s attacking output is a key part of their run: they have scored 10 times across their last five league matches and 15 goals in total after 10 games. Their away tally of nine goals in five matches also points to a side capable of carrying its threat beyond home.
Nacional have scored only four goals across their last five league outings, so finding a sharper edge will be important. They have scored six times in five home league matches, but have conceded 10 there.
Our prediction
Nacional’s home setting may help them compete, but their recent defensive record contrasts sharply with Academico Viseu’s strong run and solid away form. PreviaXI’s model leans towards the visitors, whose greater attacking consistency makes a narrow win the likeliest outcome.
Nacional 0-1 Academico Viseu
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