Primeira Liga · Matchday 11 
Our pick Home win Correct result
Arouca’s winning run faces a test at Famalicao
Arouca arrive on a three-game winning streak and sit fifth, ten points above 11th-placed Famalicao. Their hosts, however, have the home advantage and a strong recent record in this fixture.
📍 Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
Preview written:
All Matchday 11 matches Full head-to-head
Match report
Final result: Famalicao 1-0 Arouca.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 14–7; Shots on target: 5–3; Corners: 9–2; Expected goals: 0.82–0.4.
Goals
- 90+6' Paulo Moreira · Famalicao
Cards
- 45' Javi Sánchez · Arouca
- 55' Pedro Santos · Famalicao
- 77' Óscar Aranda Subiela · Famalicao
- 85' Espen van Ee · Arouca
- 90' Jose Fontán · Arouca
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: Paulo Moreira (Famalicao) 7.7
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Famalicao · 4-2-3-1
- 25L. CarevićG
- 2Gustavo GarciaD
- 15Víctor RofinoD
- 4F. van BreemenD
- 28Pedro FranciscoD
- 6T. van de LooiM
- 14Mathias De AmorimM
- 18R. BeneyM
- 10Pedro SantosM
- 7SorrisoM
- 70G. KoutsiasF
Coach: Ricardo Silva
Arouca · 4-2-3-1
- 12I. de ArruabarrenaG
- 28Tiago EsgaioD
- 3José FontánD
- 15Javi SánchezD
- 18O. LebedenkoD
- 6E. van EeM
- 21Mateo FloresM
- 19A. TrezzaM
- 8T. FukuiM
- 7N. DjouahraM
- 17BarberoF
Coach: Vítor Severino
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Famalicao | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Arouca | 1.3 | 0.7 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arouca | 10 | +6 | 20 |
| 11 | Famalicao | 10 | 0 | 10 |
Last meetings
- 2026 Famalicao 0-0 Arouca
- 2026 Famalicao 1-0 Arouca
- 2025 Arouca 1-1 Famalicao
- 2025 Arouca 1-2 Famalicao
- 2024 Famalicao 0-0 Arouca
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.41 – 0.94
- Double chance
- 1X · 75%12 74% · X2 51%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42%Over 1.5: 67% · Over 3.5: 21%
- Both teams score
- 45%
- Clean sheet
- 39% – 24%Famalicao–Arouca
- Half-time result
- X · 44%1 35% · 2 21%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 29%X/1 17% · X/X 17%
- Expected corners
- 9.76.1 – 3.6 · Over 9.5: 50%
- Expected cards
- 5.72.6 – 3.1 · Over 3.5: 78%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A ten-point gap in Vila Nova de Famalicao
Arouca travel to Famalicao in fifth place in the Primeira Liga, with 20 points from 10 matches. Famalicao are 11th on 10 points, leaving a ten-point gap between the sides. Arouca’s position reflects a strong start: six wins, two draws and two defeats, with six clean sheets. Famalicao have two wins, four draws and four defeats.
For Arouca, the question is whether a three-match winning streak can survive a difficult visit. Famalicao have yet to win at home in the league, but a chance to halt the visitors’ momentum gives this meeting a clear edge.
Arouca’s run, Famalicao’s uneven spell
Arouca’s latest league match was a win, extending their current run to three victories in a row and four matches unbeaten. Across their last five league games, they have taken three wins, a draw and a defeat, scoring six goals and conceding four.
Famalicao’s latest outing ended in defeat. Their last five league matches brought two wins, a draw and two defeats, with 10 goals scored and eight conceded. Their home record is a concern: two draws and two defeats in four league games, with three goals scored and seven conceded. Arouca have been more composed away, winning twice, drawing twice and losing once in five league trips.
Recent meetings favour the hosts
Famalicao are unbeaten in the last five meetings, with two wins and three draws; Arouca have not won any of them. Four of those five games had two goals or fewer. The most recent meeting, a July friendly, finished 0-0.
Players to watch
The numbers point to contrasting approaches. Famalicao have scored 10 goals in their last five league matches, but their home league return is only three goals in four games. Arouca have scored six and conceded four across their last five, while their six clean sheets in 10 league matches underline their defensive resilience.
Our prediction
Arouca’s winning streak and stronger league position make them a serious threat, but Famalicao’s unbeaten head-to-head record offers the home side encouragement. The statistical model leans towards Famalicao, whose home advantage and expected attacking edge could make the difference in a close contest.
Famalicao 1-0 Arouca
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