Martinique and Aruba meet in the play-in second leg after a goalless opener

A place at stake in Fort-de-France

Martinique and Aruba are level after a goalless first leg. This is the second leg of a League A/C play-in for a place in the 2027 Gold Cup Prelims. The aggregate winner advances. Away goals break an aggregate tie; if the teams are still level, extra time and, if needed, penalties follow.

Across five Nations League matches in this competition, Aruba have three wins, a draw and a defeat, while Martinique have a win, two draws and two defeats. Martinique are unbeaten in three, with two draws in a row; Aruba’s most recent match was also a draw.

Martinique’s home scoring against Aruba’s away record

In their two home matches in this competition, Martinique scored three goals and conceded two. Aruba scored four and conceded three across their two away matches, winning one and losing one. The small samples suggest Martinique have been solid at home, while Aruba have shown they can score on the road.

The broader five-match competition figures offer another angle: Aruba scored eight and conceded five, compared with Martinique’s five scored and seven conceded. That attacking edge for Aruba could matter, though the venue-specific numbers are closer. A pattern to watch is whether Martinique can turn their home scoring into an early advantage, or whether Aruba’s away attack can keep pace.

One meeting, no winner

The only recorded meeting was the 0-0 draw in Aruba on 12 November, also in the CONCACAF Nations League. Neither side has won this head-to-head meeting.

Our prediction

PreviaXI’s model gives Martinique a narrow edge, with the home side’s record of three goals scored and two conceded in two competition matches at home offering a basis for that lean. Aruba’s stronger overall scoring record in the competition makes an away win a credible alternative, so a draw also remains possible.