Cuba’s recent head-to-head win sets the tone against Grenada

This League B fixture is played in Havana, Cuba. Home and away statistics below follow the designated teams in the match records; they are not proof of a physical home advantage at a centralized venue.

Context and stakes

Cuba are unbeaten in five CONCACAF Nations League matches, with three wins and two draws, while Grenada have two wins and three defeats in the competition. The teams meet again on Monday after Cuba’s 3-0 win in their most recent encounter in September. No standings are provided to establish what a result would mean for qualification.

The key matchup

In this competition, Cuba have scored 17 goals and conceded six across five matches. Grenada have scored seven and conceded 14 in their five. The contrast points to a stronger attacking return and tighter defence from Cuba, though Grenada have scored three goals in two away matches in the competition.

Cuba’s home sample is also positive: they have a win and a draw, scoring four and conceding two in two home matches. Grenada’s away record is one win and one defeat, with three goals scored and five conceded. A pattern to watch is whether Cuba can carry their scoring at home into this rematch, while Grenada seek to improve on their away defensive record.

Recent head-to-head

Cuba have won three of the last five meetings, compared with one Grenada win and one draw. The latest was the 3-0 Nations League victory for Cuba in September. Four of the five meetings had two goals or fewer, so the latest result stands out against a generally lower-scoring series.

Our prediction

Cuba have the edge: their unbeaten Nations League run, stronger scoring record and September win all point towards a home victory. Grenada’s away win in this competition means an alternative remains plausible, but the numbers lean towards Cuba.