Lithuania’s scoring edge meets Liechtenstein’s goal drought

Context and stakes

Liechtenstein have no wins or goals in three matches in this Nations League campaign; Lithuania have scored three goals in three games. Lithuania are second in League D Group B with four points, three above Liechtenstein. Azerbaijan have already won the group with eight points. Under the 2026/27 format, all League D teams will be promoted to League C, including both sides here.

The scoring contrast

Lithuania have played one home match in this Nations League campaign, scoring once and conceding once in a draw. Liechtenstein have played one away match in this competition, which ended goalless. These small samples suggest a potentially close contest despite Lithuania’s stronger overall scoring record.

Across three competition matches apiece, Lithuania have scored three and conceded two; Liechtenstein have scored none and conceded three. A pattern to watch is whether Liechtenstein can keep Lithuania’s attack quiet again: they have managed a clean sheet away, but have not scored in the competition.

Head-to-head

Lithuania won the only listed meeting, beating Liechtenstein 2-0 in the Nations League in September. That result gives Lithuania a recent reference point, although one meeting is a limited basis for predicting this fixture.

Our prediction

Lithuania have the edge because they have scored in this competition while Liechtenstein have not, and they won the recent meeting. Still, Lithuania drew their one home match in this Nations League campaign, and Liechtenstein drew their one away match in this competition, so another draw remains plausible.