UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 3

1–0 Full time Thursday 5 November

Hajduk Split’s winning run faces a stern test at Lincoln Red Imps

HNK Hajduk Split arrive on a three-match winning streak and sit 25 places above Lincoln Red Imps FC in the Conference League standings. Lincoln, meanwhile, are looking to end a run of two straight defeats.

📍 Europa Point Stadium

Preview written: Mon 9 Nov 21:43

All League phase, matchday 3 matches

Editor's note

Archived pre-match draft, first published on 9 November 2026 after the match. The text below describes the situation before kickoff; it was held back for editorial checks and was not publicly available then. Reviewed against the original input snapshot: misleading table claims, competition scope, unsupported head-to-head wording and presentation errors have been corrected where applicable. Original model and prediction records are unchanged. This late-published article is excluded from the public pre-match prediction record. Corrected on 9 November 2026: an earlier version described an empty absence list as team news. No absence claim can be established from an empty list; that wording has been removed. Corrected on 9 November 2026: an earlier match report repeated a model forecast or probability. The report now states only the recorded result and available match statistics. The original pre-match forecast remains unchanged.

Match report

Final result: Lincoln Red Imps FC 1-0 HNK Hajduk Split.

Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 5–15; Shots on target: 0–1; Corners: 0–7; Expected goals: 0.16–1.36.

Goals

89' D. Hadzikadunic (o.g.) · Lincoln Red Imps FC

Cards

30' C. Rutjens · Lincoln Red Imps FC
49' K. Gomez · Lincoln Red Imps FC
58' M. Soticek · HNK Hajduk Split
63' A. Sanyang · HNK Hajduk Split
79' G. Torrilla · Lincoln Red Imps FC
90+5' M. Acapandie · HNK Hajduk Split
90+6' Joe · Lincoln Red Imps FC

Match stats

Lincoln Red Imps FCHNK Hajduk Split

35%Possession65%

5Shots15

0Shots on target1

0.16Expected goals (xG)1.36

0Corners7

20Fouls21

5Offsides3

1Saves0

⭐ Top-rated player: Jaylan Hankins (Lincoln Red Imps FC) 7.6

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Lincoln Red Imps FC · 4-5-1

13Jaylan HankinsG
66Julliani EerstelingD
5Gabri GarciaD
3Christian RutjensD
21NanoD
44Manuel ToledanoM
22Graeme TorrillaM
6Bernardo LopesM
8MandiM
18Toni GarcíaM
9Kike GómezF

HNK Hajduk Split · 4-2-3-1

33Toni SilićG
22Mathieu AcapandiéD
6Dennis HadžikadunićD
5Alec Van HoorenbeeckD
32Šimun HrgovićD
8Khalil FayadM
20Alberto del MoralM
7Abdoulie Sanyang BambaM
9Dalisson de AlmeidaM
23Marin ŠotičekM
11Michele ŠegoF

Match facts

Recent form

Lincoln Red Imps FC LWLL

HNK Hajduk Split WDWWW

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·	Scored	Conceded
Lincoln Red Imps FC	1.3	2.0
HNK Hajduk Split	2.8	1.2

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
8	HNK Hajduk Split	2	+2	6
33	Lincoln Red Imps FC	2	-4	0

PreviaXI model

Lincoln Red Imps FC13% Draw20% HNK Hajduk Split67%

Model confidence: Strong

Expected goals (model): 0.84 – 2.13
Double chance: X2 · 87%1X 33% · 12 80%
Over 2.5 goals: 57%Over 1.5: 80% · Over 3.5: 35%
Both teams score: 51%
Clean sheet: 12% – 43%Lincoln Red Imps FC–HNK Hajduk Split
Half-time result: 2 · 49%1 14% · X 37%
Half-time / full-time: 2/2 · 44%X/2 20% · X/X 12%
Expected corners: 8.33.3 – 5.0 · Over 9.5: 33%
Expected cards: 4.62.0 – 2.6 · Over 3.5: 66%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Lincoln seek a response

HNK Hajduk Split arrive in Gibraltar with three consecutive wins behind them, unbeaten in six matches in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Lincoln Red Imps FC face a contrasting challenge: they have lost their last two games in the competition and are still searching for their first points after two league-stage matches. The standings underline the gap. Hajduk are eighth of 36 with six points and a goal difference of +2; Lincoln are 33rd with no points and a goal difference of -4. Hajduk are 25 places and six points above their opponents, giving the visitors a chance to strengthen their position while Lincoln need a response.

Hajduk bring goals and momentum

In their six Conference League matches, Hajduk have won five and drawn one, scoring 17 goals and conceding seven. They have also won all three of their away matches in the competition, scoring nine goals and keeping one clean sheet. Lincoln’s four Conference League matches have brought one win and three defeats, with five goals scored and eight conceded. Their home record in this competition is particularly concerning: two defeats from two, one goal scored and six conceded. They have not kept a clean sheet at home in those matches.

Our prediction

Hajduk’s winning streak, strong away results and superior scoring record point to the visitors having the edge. Lincoln’s home record in this competition makes it difficult to see them containing Hajduk’s attack, and PreviaXI’s model also favours the Croatian side.

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