UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 3 
Our pick Home win Missed
Atalanta and Kairat Almaty meet with two points between them
Atalanta sit 15th and Kairat Almaty 31st after two matches, with a two-point gap separating them. Atalanta’s stronger home record in the competition gives them the edge in Bergamo.
📍 New Balance Arena
Preview written:
All League phase, matchday 3 matches
Match report
Final result: Atalanta 1-1 Kairat Almaty.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 15–8; Shots on target: 7–4; Corners: 9–2; Expected goals: 1.8–0.73.
Goals
- 53' M. Gual · Edmilson · Kairat Almaty
- 82' N. Krstovic · R. Obric · Atalanta
Cards
- 20' G. Mendonsa · Kairat Almaty
- 27' K. Sulemana · Atalanta
- 39' R. Obric · Atalanta
- 57' G. Scamacca · Atalanta
- 86' A. Mrynskiy · Kairat Almaty
- 88' I. Bekbolat · Kairat Almaty
- 88' O. Jukkola · Kairat Almaty
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: Relja Obrić (Atalanta) 8.7
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Atalanta · 4-2-3-1
- 29Marco CarnesecchiG
- 41Javison IdeleD
- 42Giorgio ScalviniD
- 40Relja ObrićD
- 47Lorenzo BernasconiD
- 99Eljif ElmasM
- 8Mario PašalićM
- 7Kamaldeen SulemanaM
- 10Lazar SamardžićM
- 11Jonathan RoweM
- 9Gianluca ScamaccaF
Kairat Almaty · 5-3-2
- 1Temirlan AnarbekovG
- 24Aleksandr MrynskiyD
- 25Aleksandr ShirobokovD
- 14Aleksandr MartynovichD
- 4Damir KasabulatD
- 3Luís MataD
- 17Azamat TuyakbayevM
- 22Gustavo MendoncaM
- 13Jaakko OksanenM
- 28Marc GualF
- 9EdmilsonF
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Kairat Almaty | 1.0 | 3.0 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 31 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | -4 | 1 |
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Strong
- Expected goals (model)
- 2.39 – 0.57
- Double chance
- 1X · 93%12 84% · X2 23%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57%Over 1.5: 80% · Over 3.5: 35%
- Both teams score
- 40%
- Clean sheet
- 56% – 9%Atalanta–Kairat Almaty
- Half-time result
- 1 · 57%X 34% · 2 9%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 54%X/1 21% · X/X 10%
- Expected corners
- 10.06.4 – 3.6 · Over 9.5: 53%
- Expected cards
- 3.41.6 – 1.8 · Over 3.5: 42%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Two points, sixteen places
Kairat Almaty travel to Bergamo sitting 31st of 36 in the UEFA Europa Conference League table, two points and sixteen places below Atalanta. After two matches, Kairat have one point and a goal difference of minus four; Atalanta have three points and a goal difference of zero in 15th. The gap is still close enough for this third league-stage match to carry real weight for both sides.
Atalanta will look to strengthen their position at New Balance Arena, while Kairat need a result to begin closing the distance. The standings frame this as a chance for the home side to pull further clear, and for the visitors to make up ground.
Atalanta’s home advantage
These figures cover only matches in this competition: Atalanta have recorded two wins, a draw and a defeat across four games, scoring four and conceding three. Their home results are more encouraging, with a win and a draw in two matches, three goals scored and one conceded.
Kairat’s two competition matches have brought a draw and a defeat. They have scored twice and conceded six, with no clean sheet. Their sole away match ended in a draw, with one goal scored and one conceded. Both teams come into this fixture after a defeat in the competition.
Team news
No named player information is available for this preview, so the focus remains on the teams’ contrasting results and their positions in the table.
Atalanta’s attacking edge
Atalanta’s three goals in two home matches in this competition offer a clear platform against a Kairat side that has conceded six across its first two games. The visitors did manage to score in both of those matches, but they will need to tighten defensively if they are to turn this close table gap into a chance to climb.
Atalanta, meanwhile, can build on their home record and the overall balance of four goals scored and three conceded in their four competition matches.
Our prediction
Atalanta’s home scoring record and Kairat’s defensive struggles point towards the hosts creating the clearer chances. PreviaXI’s model favours Atalanta, and its most likely scoreline is a home win without a Kairat goal.
Atalanta 2-0 Kairat Almaty
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