Premier League · Matchday 10 
Our pick Home win Correct result
Tottenham’s winning run faces a Leeds test at Elland Road
Tottenham travel to Leeds on a three-match winning streak, while the hosts are without a win in five league games. Just one point separates them in the table.
📍 Elland Road
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All Matchday 10 matches Full head-to-head
Match report
Final result: Leeds 1-0 Tottenham.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 16–7; Shots on target: 4–4; Corners: 6–4; Expected goals: 2.05–0.8.
Goals
- 79' Noah Okafor · Leeds
Cards
- 15' Micky van de Ven · Tottenham
- 22' Sean Longstaff · Leeds
- 51' Pedro Porro · Tottenham
- 51' Roberto De Zerbi · Tottenham
- 80' Noah Okafor · Leeds
- 88' Sandro Tonali · Tottenham
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: N. Okafor (Leeds) 7.7
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Leeds · 3-4-2-1
- 1J. TraffordG
- 24J. JustinD
- 30N. ElvediD
- 5T. MuharemovićD
- 2J. BogleM
- 4E. AmpaduM
- 22A. TanakaM
- 3G. GudmundssonM
- 8S. LongstaffM
- 14L. NmechaM
- 9D. Calvert-LewinF
Coach: D. Farke
Tottenham · 4-3-3
- 31A. KinskýG
- 23Pedro PorroD
- 6J. van HeckeD
- 37M. van de VenD
- 3A. RobertsonD
- 16S. TonaliM
- 18Mateus FernandesM
- 14A. GrayM
- 20M. KudusF
- 22Omar MarmoushF
- 11M. TelF
Coach: R. De Zerbi
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| Tottenham | 1.1 | 1.1 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Tottenham | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Leeds | 9 | +1 | 11 |
Last meetings
- 2026 Tottenham 1-1 Leeds
- 2025 Leeds 1-2 Tottenham
- 2023 Leeds 1-4 Tottenham
- 2022 Tottenham 4-3 Leeds
- 2022 Leeds 0-4 Tottenham
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.40 – 1.03
- Double chance
- 1X · 73%12 71% · X2 56%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44%Over 1.5: 71% · Over 3.5: 23%
- Both teams score
- 50%
- Clean sheet
- 36% – 25%Leeds–Tottenham
- Half-time result
- X · 45%1 33% · 2 22%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 26%X/X 19% · X/1 16%
- Expected corners
- 10.04.4 – 5.6 · Over 9.5: 54%
- Expected cards
- 4.21.7 – 2.5 · Over 3.5: 60%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A narrow gap in the table
Tottenham are three places and one point above Leeds after nine Premier League matches, sitting ninth on 12 points with Leeds 12th on 11. That makes Saturday’s meeting at Elland Road a chance for Spurs to extend their run and open a little more distance, while Leeds can draw level on points with a victory.
Spurs are finding their stride
Tottenham’s three consecutive wins have lifted the mood: they are unbeaten in four league matches, having scored 10 goals and conceded five across their last five. Their overall record is balanced at three wins, three draws and three defeats, but the latest sequence is heading firmly in the right direction.
Leeds are facing the opposite challenge. They have gone five league games without a win, with three draws and two defeats in that stretch, and have scored only twice while conceding five. Their most recent league match ended in defeat.
Home form offers Leeds some encouragement: they have won once and drawn three times in four league games at Elland Road, conceding just three goals. Tottenham, meanwhile, have one win, two draws and one defeat in four away league matches.
Tottenham have had the upper hand
Tottenham are unbeaten in the last five meetings, winning four and drawing one. The most recent encounter finished 1-1 in May, but Leeds have not beaten Spurs in any of those five matches.
A chance for Leeds to reset
Leeds’ home resilience gives them a platform, but their recent lack of goals contrasts sharply with Tottenham’s 10 in the last five. Spurs will want to turn their winning streak into a more sustained climb, while Leeds need a result to halt their slide and close the gap.
Our prediction
Tottenham’s momentum and recent scoring form make them a threat, but Leeds’ record at Elland Road has been difficult to overcome, with only one defeat in four home league matches. PreviaXI’s model leans towards the hosts, pointing to their home advantage and a close contest.
Leeds 1-0 Tottenham
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