Our pick Home win Correct result
Everton’s home edge tested by Coventry’s sharper recent attack
Everton are ninth places and four points above Coventry, but the visitors have scored more freely across their last five league matches. Can the underdogs turn that momentum into a challenge at Hill Dickinson Stadium?
📍 Hill Dickinson Stadium
Preview written:
Match report
Final result: Everton 3-1 Coventry.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 16–15; Shots on target: 7–4; Corners: 2–2; Expected goals: 2.29–1.42.
Goals
- 52' Yann Gboho · Coventry
- 56' Thierno Barry · Vitaliy Mykolenko · Everton
- 61' Thierno Barry · Everton
- 81' Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall · Thierno Barry · Everton
Cards
- 88' Jarrad Branthwaite · Everton
- 88' Caleb Yirenkyi · Coventry
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: T. Barry (Everton) 9.2
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Everton · 4-2-3-1
- 1J. PickfordG
- 34M. RöhlD
- 6J. TarkowskiD
- 4J. BranthwaiteD
- 16V. MykolenkoD
- 45H. ArmstrongM
- 37J. GarnerM
- 20T. DiblingM
- 8K. Dewsbury-HallM
- 19Tyrique GeorgeM
- 11T. BarryF
Coach: D. Moyes
Coventry · 4-2-3-1
- 19C. RushworthG
- 27M. van EwijkD
- 12S. MfuniD
- 2E. PinnockD
- 3J. DasilvaD
- 8Caleb Marfo YirenkyiM
- 29V. TorpM
- 7T. SakamotoM
- 5J. RudoniM
- 34Y. GbohoM
- 14T. AwoniyiF
Coach: F. Lampard
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Everton | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Coventry | 1.0 | 1.8 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Everton | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 16 | Coventry | 9 | -7 | 9 |
Last meetings
- 2024 Coventry 3-0 Everton
Absences
Everton
- Doubtful T. George · Injury
- Doubtful J. Grealish · Coach's decision
Coventry
- Out A. Amenda · Calf Injury
- Out H. Wright · Muscle Injury
- Doubtful J. Eccles · Ankle Injury
- Doubtful B. Thomas · Calf Injury
- Doubtful L. Woolfenden · Knee Injury
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.53 – 1.00
- Double chance
- 1X · 76%12 72% · X2 52%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47%Over 1.5: 73% · Over 3.5: 25%
- Both teams score
- 51%
- Clean sheet
- 37% – 22%Everton–Coventry
- Half-time result
- X · 43%1 36% · 2 21%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 29%X/X 18% · X/1 17%
- Expected corners
- 8.94.8 – 4.1 · Over 9.5: 39%
- Expected cards
- 3.21.5 – 1.7 · Over 3.5: 40%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Everton’s lead, Coventry’s opportunity
Everton go into Friday’s meeting after a league win, while Coventry also arrive on the back of victory. The gap in the table makes Everton favourites: they are seventh on 13 points, nine places and four points above Coventry, who sit 16th on nine.
That advantage is not overwhelming, however. Coventry have scored nine goals in their last five league matches, compared with four for Everton. The visitors’ task is to carry that attacking threat onto the road, where they have managed only two goals in four league games.
Contrasting recent returns
Everton’s last five league matches brought two wins, a draw and two defeats, with four goals scored and six conceded. Their overall record is three wins, four draws and two defeats, and they have kept four clean sheets. At home, Everton have taken two wins, a draw and a defeat from four matches, conceding four times.
Coventry have won three and lost two of their last five, scoring nine and conceding six. Their broader league record is less steady: three wins and six defeats, with 16 goals conceded. Away from home, they have one win and three defeats in four matches, scoring twice and conceding seven. Their recent improvement gives them a route into the contest, but the away numbers remain a concern.
One recent meeting, one clear winner
The latest meeting between the clubs was a friendly in July 2024, when Coventry beat Everton 3-0. It is the only meeting in the recent head-to-head record, so it offers a memorable result rather than a substantial competitive trend.
Several doubts for Coventry
Everton have T. George listed as questionable with an injury, while J. Grealish is also questionable due to the coach’s decision. Coventry will be without A. Amenda and H. Wright through calf and muscle injuries respectively. J. Eccles, B. Thomas and L. Woolfenden are all doubts, with ankle, calf and knee injuries respectively.
Coventry need to bring their scoring form
Coventry’s nine goals in their last five league outings are the clearest reason they could trouble Everton. But their road return of two goals in four matches puts the emphasis on making their chances count. Everton’s home record and stronger league position give them a firmer base, even if their own recent scoring has been modest.
Our prediction
Everton’s home results and Coventry’s struggles away from home point towards a narrow advantage for the hosts. PreviaXI’s model also favours Everton, with the home side expected to create more attacking threat. Everton 1-0 Coventry

