Premier League · Matchday 10
Nottingham Forest
3–1 Full time
Manchester City

Our pick Away win Missed

Nottingham Forest aim to climb as Manchester City visit

Nottingham Forest are looking to turn a difficult run around and climb the Premier League standings against second-placed Manchester City. City arrive with a strong overall record but two consecutive defeats.

📍 City Ground

Preview written:

Match report

Final result: Nottingham Forest 3-1 Manchester City.

Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 11–12; Shots on target: 5–4; Corners: 3–7; Expected goals: 1.02–1.59.

Goals

  • 6' Jair Cunha · Nottingham Forest
  • 18' Liam Delap · Xaver Schlager · Nottingham Forest
  • 52' Rayan Cherki · Manchester City
  • 73' Liam Delap · Morgan Gibbs-White · Nottingham Forest

Cards

  • 64' James Mcatee · Nottingham Forest
  • 69' Dan Ndoye · Nottingham Forest
  • 90+4' Luca Netz · Nottingham Forest
  • 90+5' Igor Jesus · Nottingham Forest

Match stats

Nottingham ForestManchester City
22%Possession78%
11Shots12
5Shots on target4
1.02Expected goals (xG)1.59
3Corners7
13Fouls7
2Offsides0
2Saves2

⭐ Top-rated player: L. Delap (Nottingham Forest) 8.7

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Nottingham Forest · 3-4-2-1

  1. 26M. SelsG
  2. 23JairD
  3. 31N. MilenkovićD
  4. 5MurilloD
  5. 27D. MuñozM
  6. 22R. YatesM
  7. 21X. SchlagerM
  8. 3N. WilliamsM
  9. 24J. McAteeM
  10. 10M. Gibbs-WhiteM
  11. 19L. DelapF

Coach: O. Glasner

Manchester City · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1G. DonnarummaG
  2. 45A. KhusanovD
  3. 3Rúben DiasD
  4. 6M. GuéhiD
  5. 24J. GvardiolD
  6. 5E. AndersonM
  7. 17E. FernándezM
  8. 7I. NdiayeM
  9. 10R. CherkiM
  10. 11J. DokuM
  11. 9E. HaalandF

Coach: E. Maresca

Match facts

Recent form

Nottingham Forest LLLDL
Manchester City WWWLL

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
Nottingham Forest0.71.3
Manchester City2.21.1

League position

PosTeamPGDPts
2Manchester City9 +1021
19Nottingham Forest9 -66

Last meetings

  • 2026 Manchester City 2-2 Nottingham Forest
  • 2025 Nottingham Forest 1-2 Manchester City
  • 2025 Nottingham Forest 0-2 Manchester City
  • 2025 Nottingham Forest 1-0 Manchester City
  • 2024 Manchester City 3-0 Nottingham Forest

PreviaXI model

Nottingham Forest26% Draw27% Manchester City47%

Model confidence: Open game

Expected goals (model)
1.19 – 1.65
Double chance
X2 · 74%1X 53% · 12 73%
Over 2.5 goals
54%Over 1.5: 79% · Over 3.5: 32%
Both teams score
57%
Clean sheet
19% – 30%Nottingham Forest–Manchester City
Half-time result
X · 41%1 23% · 2 36%
Half-time / full-time
2/2 · 29%X/X 16% · 1/1 15%
Expected corners
10.04.5 – 5.5 · Over 9.5: 53%
Expected cards
3.51.7 – 1.8 · Over 3.5: 46%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Forest need a response

Nottingham Forest return to the City Ground seeking points to climb the Premier League standings, with Manchester City arriving in second place. Forest are 19th after nine matches, on six points, while City have 21 points; the gap is fifteen points. The hosts have gone five league matches without a win and their most recent league outing ended in defeat.

City’s position is built on seven wins from nine, although their latest result was also a defeat. They have lost their last two league matches, giving Forest an opening to make home advantage count against a side that has otherwise started strongly.

Recent form tells two stories

Forest have drawn once and lost four times across their last five league matches, scoring twice and conceding eight. Their home record is a draw and three defeats in four matches, with no goals scored and three conceded.

City have taken three wins and two defeats in their last five league games, scoring 12 and conceding eight. Away from home, they have won three and lost once in four matches, scoring nine and conceding three. Their attacking output offers a sharp contrast to Forest’s recent struggles in front of goal.

A mixed recent rivalry

Across the last five meetings in all competitions, City have won three, Forest have won once and one match was drawn. The most recent encounter finished 2-2 in March 2026 in the Premier League. Two of those five meetings had two goals or fewer, while City won 2-1 at the City Ground in December 2025.

Players to watch

Forest will need a more productive attacking display after scoring just twice in their last five league matches. City, by contrast, have scored 12 over the same span and have found the net nine times in four away league fixtures. That difference in recent output could shape the contest, though Forest’s chance to climb the table gives them a clear incentive to press for a result.

Our prediction

Forest’s need for points and the City Ground setting could make this competitive, but City’s stronger league record and much greater recent scoring output give them the edge. PreviaXI’s model also favours the visitors, pointing to a narrow away win.
Nottingham Forest 1-2 Manchester City

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