Our pick Home win Missed
Fulham and Newcastle separated by two points in mid-table
Newcastle sit two places and two points above Fulham after nine matches, leaving little between the sides ahead of their Craven Cottage meeting. Fulham arrive unbeaten in three league games, while Newcastle are looking to respond to a defeat.
📍 Craven Cottage
Preview written:
All Matchday 10 matches Full head-to-head
Match report
Final result: Fulham 1-1 Newcastle.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 11–9; Shots on target: 5–5; Corners: 3–3; Expected goals: 0.7–0.97.
Goals
- 80' Jacob Murphy · Newcastle
- 83' Rodrigo Muniz · Fulham
Cards
- 90' Fabian Schär · Newcastle
- 90+2' Amar Dedić · Newcastle
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: Rodrigo Muniz (Fulham) 8.1
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Fulham · 4-2-3-1
- 1B. LenoG
- 21T. CastagneD
- 22D. AffengruberD
- 3C. BasseyD
- 33A. RobinsonD
- 16S. BergeM
- 19S. CharlesM
- 14Oscar BobbM
- 24Joshua KingM
- 17A. IwobiM
- 7Gonzalo GarcíaF
Coach: Álvaro Arbeloa
Newcastle · 4-2-3-1
- 21L. HorníčekG
- 37A. DedićD
- 12M. ThiawD
- 33D. BurnD
- 3L. HallD
- 14Sean SteurM
- 6Nico GonzálezM
- 23J. MurphyM
- 9Y. WissaM
- 11H. BarnesM
- 10W. OsulaF
Coach: M. Jaissle
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Fulham | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Newcastle | 1.3 | 1.7 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Newcastle | 9 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 9 | -2 | 9 |
Last meetings
- 2026 Fulham 2-0 Newcastle
- 2025 Newcastle 2-1 Fulham
- 2025 Newcastle 2-1 Fulham
- 2025 Newcastle 1-2 Fulham
- 2024 Fulham 3-1 Newcastle
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.55 – 1.25
- Double chance
- 12 · 73%1X 70% · X2 57%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53%Over 1.5: 78% · Over 3.5: 31%
- Both teams score
- 57%
- Clean sheet
- 29% – 21%Fulham–Newcastle
- Half-time result
- X · 41%1 34% · 2 25%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 26%2/2 17% · X/X 16%
- Expected corners
- 11.25.8 – 5.4 · Over 9.5: 68%
- Expected cards
- 4.02.1 – 1.9 · Over 3.5: 57%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A narrow gap in the table
Newcastle are 13th on 11 points, with Fulham two places below in 15th on nine, after both sides have played nine Premier League matches. The two-point difference gives this meeting at Craven Cottage a direct bearing on the space between them: a Fulham win would pull the hosts level with Newcastle, while the visitors can strengthen their advantage.
The records offer little separation. Fulham have two wins, three draws and four defeats, while Newcastle have three wins, two draws and four defeats. Both have scored five goals across their last five league matches, though Newcastle have conceded seven to Fulham’s four.
Fulham’s unbeaten run meets Newcastle’s setback
Fulham are unbeaten in three league games and have taken two wins and two draws from their last five, alongside one defeat. Their most recent league match ended in a draw. At home, they have won once, drawn once and lost twice in four matches, scoring six goals and conceding seven.
Newcastle’s last five league outings have brought two wins and three defeats, and their most recent match was a loss. Their away record is evenly split: two wins and two defeats in four, with six goals scored and eight conceded. They have conceded seven times across the last five, a vulnerability Fulham may look to exploit.
Recent meetings favour Fulham
Fulham have won three of the last five meetings across all competitions, with Newcastle winning the other two and no draws. The latest encounter, in May 2026 in the Premier League, finished 2-0 to Fulham. That result offers the home side a recent reference point, although Newcastle have also claimed two victories in the five-match series.
Fulham’s home attack against Newcastle’s away threat
Fulham have scored six goals in four home league matches, compared with six conceded. Newcastle have also scored six in four away matches, but have let in eight. Those figures point to a contest in which both sides can find opportunities, with Fulham’s recent defensive record giving them a slight edge.
Our prediction
Fulham’s three-match unbeaten run and the stronger defensive return in their last five make them a narrow choice, while Newcastle’s away scoring record should keep the visitors in the contest. PreviaXI’s model favours the home side, with the balance of chances pointing to a close win.
Fulham 2-1 Newcastle

