Premier League · Matchday 10
Fulham
1–1 Full time
Newcastle

Our pick Home win Missed

Fulham and Newcastle separated by two points in mid-table

Newcastle sit two places and two points above Fulham after nine matches, leaving little between the sides ahead of their Craven Cottage meeting. Fulham arrive unbeaten in three league games, while Newcastle are looking to respond to a defeat.

📍 Craven Cottage

Preview written:

Match report

Final result: Fulham 1-1 Newcastle.

Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 11–9; Shots on target: 5–5; Corners: 3–3; Expected goals: 0.7–0.97.

Goals

  • 80' Jacob Murphy · Newcastle
  • 83' Rodrigo Muniz · Fulham

Cards

  • 90' Fabian Schär · Newcastle
  • 90+2' Amar Dedić · Newcastle

Match stats

FulhamNewcastle
58%Possession42%
11Shots9
5Shots on target5
0.70Expected goals (xG)0.97
3Corners3
9Fouls13
3Offsides1
4Saves5

⭐ Top-rated player: Rodrigo Muniz (Fulham) 8.1

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Fulham · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1B. LenoG
  2. 21T. CastagneD
  3. 22D. AffengruberD
  4. 3C. BasseyD
  5. 33A. RobinsonD
  6. 16S. BergeM
  7. 19S. CharlesM
  8. 14Oscar BobbM
  9. 24Joshua KingM
  10. 17A. IwobiM
  11. 7Gonzalo GarcíaF

Coach: Álvaro Arbeloa

Newcastle · 4-2-3-1

  1. 21L. HorníčekG
  2. 37A. DedićD
  3. 12M. ThiawD
  4. 33D. BurnD
  5. 3L. HallD
  6. 14Sean SteurM
  7. 6Nico GonzálezM
  8. 23J. MurphyM
  9. 9Y. WissaM
  10. 11H. BarnesM
  11. 10W. OsulaF

Coach: M. Jaissle

Match facts

Recent form

Fulham DLWWD
Newcastle WLLWL

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
Fulham1.01.2
Newcastle1.31.7

League position

PosTeamPGDPts
13Newcastle9 -311
15Fulham9 -29

Last meetings

  • 2026 Fulham 2-0 Newcastle
  • 2025 Newcastle 2-1 Fulham
  • 2025 Newcastle 2-1 Fulham
  • 2025 Newcastle 1-2 Fulham
  • 2024 Fulham 3-1 Newcastle

PreviaXI model

Fulham43% Draw27% Newcastle30%

Model confidence: Open game

Expected goals (model)
1.55 – 1.25
Double chance
12 · 73%1X 70% · X2 57%
Over 2.5 goals
53%Over 1.5: 78% · Over 3.5: 31%
Both teams score
57%
Clean sheet
29% – 21%Fulham–Newcastle
Half-time result
X · 41%1 34% · 2 25%
Half-time / full-time
1/1 · 26%2/2 17% · X/X 16%
Expected corners
11.25.8 – 5.4 · Over 9.5: 68%
Expected cards
4.02.1 – 1.9 · Over 3.5: 57%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

A narrow gap in the table

Newcastle are 13th on 11 points, with Fulham two places below in 15th on nine, after both sides have played nine Premier League matches. The two-point difference gives this meeting at Craven Cottage a direct bearing on the space between them: a Fulham win would pull the hosts level with Newcastle, while the visitors can strengthen their advantage.

The records offer little separation. Fulham have two wins, three draws and four defeats, while Newcastle have three wins, two draws and four defeats. Both have scored five goals across their last five league matches, though Newcastle have conceded seven to Fulham’s four.

Fulham’s unbeaten run meets Newcastle’s setback

Fulham are unbeaten in three league games and have taken two wins and two draws from their last five, alongside one defeat. Their most recent league match ended in a draw. At home, they have won once, drawn once and lost twice in four matches, scoring six goals and conceding seven.

Newcastle’s last five league outings have brought two wins and three defeats, and their most recent match was a loss. Their away record is evenly split: two wins and two defeats in four, with six goals scored and eight conceded. They have conceded seven times across the last five, a vulnerability Fulham may look to exploit.

Recent meetings favour Fulham

Fulham have won three of the last five meetings across all competitions, with Newcastle winning the other two and no draws. The latest encounter, in May 2026 in the Premier League, finished 2-0 to Fulham. That result offers the home side a recent reference point, although Newcastle have also claimed two victories in the five-match series.

Fulham’s home attack against Newcastle’s away threat

Fulham have scored six goals in four home league matches, compared with six conceded. Newcastle have also scored six in four away matches, but have let in eight. Those figures point to a contest in which both sides can find opportunities, with Fulham’s recent defensive record giving them a slight edge.

Our prediction

Fulham’s three-match unbeaten run and the stronger defensive return in their last five make them a narrow choice, while Newcastle’s away scoring record should keep the visitors in the contest. PreviaXI’s model favours the home side, with the balance of chances pointing to a close win.

Fulham 2-1 Newcastle

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