Premier League · Matchday 8 Hull City's Injury Crisis Puts Pressure on Brentford Test
Hull City have won none of their last five Premier League games, and a long injury list leaves them short of options as Brentford visit the MKM Stadium on Sunday.
📍 MKM Stadium
All Matchday 8 matchesFull head-to-head
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Hull City | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Brentford | 1.9 | 1.1 |
PreviaXI model
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.25 – 1.36
- Double chance
- 12 · 71%1X 62% · X2 67%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48%
- Both teams score
- 54%
- Expected corners
- 10.04.9 – 5.1 · Over 9.5: 54%
- Expected cards
- 3.92.1 – 1.8 · Over 3.5: 56%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model sees a close match
- Power ratings: Hull City -0.21 goals per game (17th of 20 in Premier League), Brentford +0.19 (8th).
- Hull City's attack (1.15 goals per game) meets Brentford's defence (1.40 conceded per game).
- Brentford's attack (1.59) meets Hull City's defence (1.36).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 22% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.25 – 1.36 goals: Hull City 33%, draw 29%, Brentford 38%.
Absences
Hull City
- OutI. Ansah · Back Injury
- OutJ. Butland · Arm Injury
- OutD. Gyabi · Groin Injury
- OutC. Hughes · Groin Injury
- OutE. Matazo · Knee Injury
- OutN. Mendy · Groin Injury
- OutM. Targett · Ankle Injury
- DoubtfulM. Cho · Muscle Injury
- DoubtfulL. Gourna-Douath · Calf Injury
- DoubtfulR. Vaz · Achilles Tendon Injury
Brentford
- OutJ. Dasilva · Muscle Injury
- OutK. Furo · Surgery
- OutV. Janelt · Red Card
- OutA. Milambo · Knock
- OutY. Yarmolyuk · Red Card
Injury and suspension list from our data provider, updated every 6 hours. It can change before kick-off.
Chance to score
Hull City
- M. Belloumi3 goals in 8 games27%
- S. Ajayi1 goals in 7 games12%
Brentford
- K. Schade3 goals in 8 games14%
- K. Lewis-Potter2 goals in 9 games9%
- Thiago2 goals in 9 games9%
Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.
Trends
- Hull City are unbeaten in their last 9 home matches.
- Brentford have not won in their last 8 away matches.
- Brentford have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- Both teams scored in 6 of Brentford’s last 8 matches.
- Hull City have not won in their last 5 matches.
Season stats
| · | Hull City | Brentford | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | All | Home | All | Away |
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-3-2 | 1-2-0 | 2-4-1 | 0-3-0 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.14 | 1.33 | 1.86 | 1.67 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.00 | 0.67 | 1.14 | 1.67 |
| xG per game | 0.97 | 0.97 | 1.69 | 1.08 |
| xG against per game | 1.49 | 1.81 | 1.46 | 1.83 |
| Scored in | 71% | 67% | 100% | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 67% | 29% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 29% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 33% | 71% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 57% | 67% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 33% | 71% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 33% | 29% | 67% |
| Shots per game | 10.7 | 9.3 | 15.0 | 14.7 |
| Shots on target per game | 3.4 | 4.3 | 4.1 | 3.7 |
| Shots on target | 32% | 46% | 27% | 25% |
| Possession | 31% | 30% | 45% | 48% |
| Passes per game | 276.4 | 264.0 | 367.3 | 387.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 71% | – | 77% | 76% |
| Corners per game | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 3.0 |
| Corners against per game | 6.6 | 5.3 | 5.1 | 3.0 |
| Cards per game | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.1 | 3.3 |
| Fouls per game | 10.9 | 11.7 | 14.7 | 16.7 |
League matches this season (Premier League). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.
When goals come
Hull City
- 0-150 / 3
- 16-302 / 0
- 31-452 / 1
- 46-601 / 1
- 61-752 / 2
- 76-90+1 / 0
Usual formation: 5-4-1
Brentford
- 0-152 / 1
- 16-300 / 0
- 31-454 / 2
- 46-603 / 1
- 61-751 / 2
- 76-90+3 / 3
Usual formation: 4-2-3-1
Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 8 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 8 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 7 | +18 | 16 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 7 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 |  Aston Villa | 8 | -3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Brentford | 7 | +5 | 10 |
| 8 |  Leeds | 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Everton | 8 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 8 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Tottenham | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Fulham | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Newcastle | 7 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Manchester United | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |  Crystal Palace | 7 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 7 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 |  Nottingham Forest | 8 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 |  Coventry | 8 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 7 | -8 | 4 |
Next matches
Hull City
- Sat 31 OctHull City – IpswichPremier League
- Sat 7 NovArsenal – Hull CityPremier League
- Sun 22 NovHull City – BrightonPremier League
Brentford
- Sat 31 OctBrentford – Nottingham ForestPremier League
- Sun 8 NovBrighton – BrentfordPremier League
- Mon 23 NovBrentford – EvertonPremier League
Head-to-head: last 8 meetings
Hull City 4 wins · 2 draws · Brentford 2 wins
- 01/02/2020Hull City1-5BrentfordChampionship
- 17/08/2019Brentford1-1Hull CityChampionship
- 23/02/2019Brentford5-1Hull CityChampionship
- 15/12/2018Hull City2-0BrentfordChampionship
- 06/05/2018Brentford1-1Hull CityChampionship
- 09/12/2017Hull City3-2BrentfordChampionship
- 26/04/2016Hull City2-0BrentfordChampionship
- 03/11/2015Brentford0-2Hull CityChampionship
Hull City have taken just three points from their last five Premier League matches, with three draws and two defeats, and they have scored only five goals in that stretch. They host Brentford on Sunday with a squad badly weakened by injury.
A squad stretched on the Humber
Hull sit 10th with nine points from seven games, one behind Brentford in sixth. Their goal difference is only +1, so every point matters. Manager and staff have been forced to plan without a large part of their first-choice group, and that will shape how cautiously they approach this contest.
Form: steady, but short of wins
Hull’s home record is solid rather than spectacular: one win, two draws and no defeats in three matches at the MKM, with two clean sheets. Brentford have been the more productive side lately, with nine goals in their last five games, and they have been hard to beat on the road, drawing all three of their away league matches without losing one.
Head-to-head: Brentford’s edge
The two clubs have met five times in the Championship in recent years. Brentford have won twice, including a 5-1 victory at Hull in February 2020 and a 5-1 win at Brentford in 2019. Hull’s last win over their rivals came in December 2018, a 2-0 home success. Two of the five meetings ended 1-1.
Team news: a thin Hull side
Hull’s absentee list is the story of this match. Seven players are ruled out: I. Ansah (back), J. Butland (arm), D. Gyabi (groin), C. Hughes (groin), E. Matazo (knee), N. Mendy (groin) and M. Targett (ankle). Three more are doubtful: M. Cho (muscle), L. Gourna-Douath (calf) and R. Vaz (Achilles tendon).
Brentford have problems too. J. Dasilva (muscle), K. Furo (surgery) and A. Milambo (knock) miss out, and red cards rule out V. Janelt and Y. Yarmolyuk.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model favours Brentford, and the football picture backs that lean. Hull’s injuries limit their attacking and defensive depth, and Brentford have shown they can score on the road. The game may be tight and cagey, with Hull likely to set up in a compact shape. Brentford’s away consistency should be enough to edge a close contest.
Hull City 0-1 Brentford
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