Our pick Home win Correct result
Hamburger SV’s unbeaten edge over Borussia Mönchengladbach
Hamburger SV have avoided defeat in the last two meetings with Borussia Mönchengladbach, including a goalless draw in January. Both sides need points near the bottom of the Bundesliga table.
📍 Volksparkstadion
Preview written:
Match report
Final result: Hamburger SV 3-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 18–19; Shots on target: 9–6; Corners: 5–3; Expected goals: 2.37–2.47.
Goals
- 11' Miro Muheim · Albert Sambi Lokonga · Hamburger SV
- 44' Robin Hack · Joe Scally · Borussia Mönchengladbach
- 59' Shafiq Nandja · Albert Grönbaek · Hamburger SV
- 70' Albert Grönbaek · Hamburger SV
Cards
- 38' Ko Itakura · Borussia Mönchengladbach
- 49' Ko Itakura · Borussia Mönchengladbach
- 90+2' Jens Castrop · Borussia Mönchengladbach
- 90+3' Warmed Omari · Hamburger SV
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: A. Grønbæk (Hamburger SV) 9
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Hamburger SV · 3-5-2
- 1Daniel Heuer FernandesG
- 43S. NandjaD
- 33S. BornauwD
- 17W. OmariD
- 7Z. El OuahdiM
- 5M. AdelineM
- 6A. Sambi LokongaM
- 28M. MuheimM
- 3D. Møller WolfeM
- 27P. DakaF
- 11A. GrønbækF
Coach: M. Polzin
Borussia Mönchengladbach · 3-4-2-1
- 33D. BatzG
- 16P. SanderD
- 6K. ItakuraD
- 2F. ChiarodiaD
- 29J. ScallyM
- 47Z. UnoM
- 10F. NeuhausM
- 26L. UllrichM
- 25R. HackM
- 36W. MohyaM
- 18S. MachinoF
Coach: A. Blessin
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV | 0.9 | 2.4 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1.4 | 2.8 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hamburger SV | 8 | -12 | 9 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | -11 | 4 |
Last meetings
- 2026 Hamburger SV 0-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach
- 2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0 Hamburger SV
- 2018 Hamburger SV 2-1 Borussia Monchengladbach
- 2017 Borussia Monchengladbach 3-1 Hamburger SV
- 2017 Hamburger SV 2-1 Borussia Monchengladbach
Absences
Hamburger SV
- Out B. Nadir · Muscle Injury
- Out N. Remberg · Knee Injury
- Out F. Vieira · Thigh Injury
- Out M. Vuskovic · Doping
- Doubtful N. Capaldo · Muscle Injury
- Doubtful Y. Poulsen · Hip Injury
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Out H. Bolin · Muscle Injury
- Out N. Kuhn · Muscle Injury
- Out E. Leopold · Knee Injury
- Out J. Leszczynski · Knee Injury
- Doubtful K. Diks · Personal Reasons
- Doubtful F. Fleck · Muscle Injury
- Doubtful F. Honorat · Muscle Injury
- Doubtful T. Kleindienst · Muscle Injury
- Doubtful M. Nicolas · Injury
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.45 – 1.27
- Double chance
- 12 · 73%1X 68% · X2 59%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51%Over 1.5: 76% · Over 3.5: 29%
- Both teams score
- 56%
- Clean sheet
- 28% – 23%Hamburger SV–Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Half-time result
- X · 42%1 32% · 2 26%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 24%2/2 19% · X/X 16%
- Expected corners
- 8.84.6 – 4.2 · Over 9.5: 38%
- Expected cards
- 5.22.5 – 2.7 · Over 3.5: 75%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
January’s stalemate sets the scene
The most recent meeting between Hamburger SV and Borussia Mönchengladbach ended 0-0 in January, extending HSV’s unbeaten run in the fixture to two games. That sequence gives the hosts a timely source of confidence as they prepare to meet again at the Volksparkstadion on Friday.
A gap near the bottom
After eight matches, Hamburger SV sit 15th with nine points, three places and five points above Borussia Mönchengladbach, who are 18th. Both teams have work to do, but the visitors arrive with the greater urgency: they have taken only four points so far.
HSV’s home record offers some encouragement, with two wins and one defeat from three league games at the Volksparkstadion. Their overall form is less settled: they have lost their last two league matches, although their last five have brought three wins and two defeats.
Gladbach drew their most recent league match. Across their last five, they have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats. Their away results make the challenge clear: one win and three defeats in four league games on the road, with 12 goals conceded.
Recent meetings favour HSV
Hamburger SV have won two of the last five meetings, while Borussia Mönchengladbach have won one; the other two ended level. The teams also shared goalless draws in their last two encounters, in August 2025 and January 2026. The recent record is therefore a reminder that this fixture can be tight, while HSV’s latest results against Gladbach show they have not been beaten in either meeting.
Absences could shape the contest
HSV will be without B. Nadir, N. Remberg, F. Vieira and M. Vuskovic. N. Capaldo and Y. Poulsen are both questionable. Gladbach are missing H. Bolin, N. Kuhn, E. Leopold and J. Leszczynski, while K. Diks, F. Fleck, F. Honorat, T. Kleindienst and M. Nicolas are doubts.
The defensive test
HSV have conceded 19 goals in eight league matches, while Gladbach have let in 22. The visitors’ 12 goals conceded in four away games underline the defensive burden they face, but HSV’s own six goals conceded in three home matches suggest the hosts will also need to be alert.
Our prediction
HSV’s home advantage and recent unbeaten record against Gladbach give them a narrow edge. The statistical model also favours the hosts, pointing to a close game in which their slightly greater attacking threat could make the difference.
Hamburger SV 1-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach

