Süper Lig · Matchday 10 
Gençlerbirliği’s unbeaten run against Alanyaspor offers hope
Gençlerbirliği have avoided defeat in their last four recorded league meetings with Alanyaspor. Their recent form is poor, but the head-to-head record gives the Ankara side a reason for confidence.
📍 Eryaman Stadium
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All Matchday 10 matchesFull head-to-head
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Alanyaspor | 1.0 | 1.2 |
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.22 – 1.12
- Double chance
- 12 · 69%1X 68% · X2 63%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42%Over 1.5: 69% · Over 3.5: 21%
- Both teams score
- 49%
- Clean sheet
- 33% – 29%Gençlerbirliği S.K.–Alanyaspor
- Half-time result
- X · 46%1 28% · 2 26%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 21%X/X 20% · 2/2 18%
- Expected corners
- 9.23.9 – 5.3 · Over 9.5: 44%
- Expected cards
- 4.22.0 – 2.2 · Over 3.5: 58%
- Most likely scores
- 1-115%
- 0-011%
- 1-010%
- 0-19%
- 2-18%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model sees a close match
- Power ratings: Gençlerbirliği S.K. -0.48 goals per game (17th of 18 in Süper Lig), Alanyaspor -0.25 (14th).
- Gençlerbirliği S.K.'s attack (1.09 goals per game) meets Alanyaspor's defence (1.36 conceded per game).
- Alanyaspor's attack (1.11) meets Gençlerbirliği S.K.'s defence (1.57).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 31% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.22 – 1.12 goals: Gençlerbirliği S.K. 37%, draw 31%, Alanyaspor 32%.
Key trends
- Gençlerbirliği S.K. are unbeaten in the last 6 meetings with Alanyaspor.
- Gençlerbirliği S.K. have not won in their last 7 matches.
- Gençlerbirliği S.K. failed to score in 4 of their last 8 matches.
Absences
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
- OutO. Diabate · Yellow Cards
- OutP. Etebo · Inactive
- OutK. Rodrigues · Muscle Injury
- DoubtfulD. Goutas · Injury
- DoubtfulP. Pereira · Injury
Alanyaspor
- DoubtfulF. Aksoy · Injury
- DoubtfulP. Fernandes · Injury
Injury and suspension list from our data provider, updated every 6 hours. It can change before kick-off.
Chance to score
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
- Thalisson Kelven1 goals in 6 games16%
- A. Traoré1 goals in 7 games14%
- Rafael LuÃs1 goals in 6 games14%
Alanyaspor
- G. Makouta2 goals in 9 games18%
- Ruan2 goals in 9 games18%
- A. Usluoğlu2 goals in 8 games17%
Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.
Season stats
| · | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Alanyaspor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | All | Home | All | Away |
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-2-5 | 1-2-2 | 3-3-3 | 2-1-2 |
| Goals scored per game | 0.78 | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.00 | 1.40 | 1.22 | 1.40 |
| xG per game | 1.05 | 1.07 | 1.09 | 1.22 |
| xG against per game | 2.10 | 1.83 | 1.64 | 1.80 |
| Scored in | 56% | 80% | 78% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 11% | 0% | 33% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 44% | 20% | 22% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 80% | 56% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 80% | 67% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 60% | 56% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 20% | 11% | 0% |
| Shots per game | 12.1 | 14.2 | 11.4 | 9.8 |
| Shots on target per game | 3.7 | 4.6 | 3.6 | 3.2 |
| Shots on target | 31% | 32% | 32% | 33% |
| Possession | 43% | 39% | 44% | 37% |
| Passes per game | 334.9 | 304.4 | 361.3 | 313.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 75% | 80% | 79% |
| Corners per game | 5.0 | 5.4 | 5.2 | 3.8 |
| Corners against per game | 7.0 | 7.8 | 4.0 | 3.2 |
| Cards per game | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Fouls per game | 13.1 | 13.2 | 13.2 | 13.8 |
League matches this season (Süper Lig). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.
When goals come
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
- 0-150 / 4
- 16-301 / 2
- 31-451 / 2
- 46-603 / 4
- 61-751 / 2
- 76-90+2 / 3
Usual formation: 4-1-4-1
Alanyaspor
- 0-151 / 0
- 16-301 / 2
- 31-450 / 3
- 46-601 / 0
- 61-754 / 4
- 76-90+1 / 3
Usual formation: 3-4-3
Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 10 | +11 | 25 |
| 2 |  Amed | 10 | +14 | 23 |
| 3 |  Trabzonspor | 10 | +16 | 22 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 10 | +8 | 19 |
| 5 |  Kasımpaşa | 10 | +4 | 17 |
| 6 |  Fenerbahçe | 10 | +14 | 16 |
| 7 |  Çorum FK | 10 | +5 | 16 |
| 8 |  Kocaelispor | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 9 |  Göztepe | 10 | +4 | 15 |
| 10 |  Başakşehir | 10 | +1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Erzurumspor FK | 10 | -6 | 14 |
| 12 |  Alanyaspor | 9 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 |  Rizespor | 10 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 |  Konyaspor | 10 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  Gaziantep FK | 10 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 9 | -11 | 8 |
| 17 |  Samsunspor | 10 | -16 | 4 |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 10 | -25 | 3 |
Table as of
Next matches
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
- Sun 8 NovBeşiktaş – Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig
- Sat 21 NovGençlerbirliği S.K. – Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
- Sat 28 NovSamsunspor – Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig
Alanyaspor
- Sun 8 NovAlanyaspor – TrabzonsporSüper Lig
- Sun 22 NovKasımpaşa – AlanyasporSüper Lig
- Fri 27 NovAlanyaspor – KonyasporSüper Lig
Head-to-head: last 10 meetings
Gençlerbirliği S.K. 3 wins · 4 draws · Alanyaspor 3 wins
- 09/03/2026Alanyaspor0-0Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig
- 04/10/2025Gençlerbirliği S.K.2-2AlanyasporSüper Lig
- 04/04/2021Alanyaspor1-2Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig
- 05/12/2020Gençlerbirliği S.K.2-1AlanyasporSüper Lig
- 16/02/2020Alanyaspor0-1Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig
- 22/09/2019Gençlerbirliği S.K.1-1AlanyasporSüper Lig
- 04/03/2018Gençlerbirliği S.K.0-1AlanyasporSüper Lig
- 01/10/2017Alanyaspor4-1Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig
- 11/02/2017Alanyaspor3-0Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig
- 10/09/2016Gençlerbirliği S.K.0-0AlanyasporSüper Lig
Recent results frame the contest
The most recent meeting ended 0-0, with Alanyaspor and Gençlerbirliği sharing the points in March 2026. That draw extended Gençlerbirliği’s unbeaten run in their last four recorded Süper Lig meetings with Alanyaspor: they have won twice and drawn twice. Another stalemate followed in October 2025, when the sides played out a 2-2 draw.
Points matter near the bottom
The teams meet in round 10 with both looking to improve their position in the Süper Lig. Alanyaspor are 11th with 12 points from nine matches, while Gençlerbirliği sit 16th on eight points. The hosts have a goal difference of minus 11, compared with minus two for their visitors, so a home win would offer an important chance to close the gap.
Recent form points to a tight game
Neither side arrives on a strong run. Gençlerbirliği have lost four of their last five, scoring three goals and conceding 11 across that stretch. Their season record stands at two wins, two draws and five defeats, and they have scored only seven goals in nine league matches.
Alanyaspor have taken a more balanced route, with three wins, three draws and three losses in the league. They have scored five and conceded eight in their last five, and their nine-match total is nine goals for and 11 against. Those numbers suggest the visitors have been more productive, though their recent head-to-head record offers Gençlerbirliği encouragement.
Suspensions and fitness concerns
Gençlerbirliği will be without O. Diabate through suspension and P. Etebo, who is inactive. K. Rodrigues is also ruled out with a muscle injury, while D. Goutas and P. Pereira are questionable with injuries.
Alanyaspor have two injury doubts: F. Aksoy and P. Fernandes.
A narrow home edge
The recent meetings have been competitive, and Gençlerbirliği’s unbeaten sequence provides a clear reason not to dismiss them despite their position and defensive struggles. Alanyaspor have the stronger league record, but the hosts’ home advantage and head-to-head resilience point towards a close contest.
Our prediction
Gençlerbirliği’s recent scoring difficulties make a high-scoring home win hard to expect, while Alanyaspor have not been prolific either. PreviaXI’s model narrowly favours the hosts, with the balance of home advantage and the visitors’ modest attacking output pointing to a tight result.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1-0 Alanyaspor
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