Süper Lig · Matchday 10 
Our pick2–1Correct result
Samsunspor’s injury crisis deepens the challenge at Başakşehir
Seventeenth-placed Samsunspor arrive on a five-match losing run and with several players sidelined or doubtful. Başakşehir’s stronger home record gives them a clear route to press the advantage.
📍 Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium
Preview written:
All Matchday 10 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Başakşehir beat Samsunspor 5-2. E. Shomurodov opened the scoring in the 10th minute, assisted by I. Brnic, before M. Bayo set up T. Coulibaly to level for Samsunspor in the 22nd. A. Skov Olsen restored the home side’s lead three minutes later, with S. Kharebashvili assisting, and E. Bayram made it 3-1 in the 41st after a pass from J. Kaluzinski. J. Kaluzinski also assisted O. Ba’s goal in the 75th. J. Assoumou set up E. Tavsan to pull one back in the 84th, then S. Kharebashvili assisted A. Fayzullaev’s 90+1-minute goal.
Başakşehir had 58% possession and led the shots tally 18-9, including 6-4 on target. Their xG was 2.93 to Samsunspor’s 1.04. Jakub Kałuziński was the top-rated player, with a 7.9 rating. The 5-2 result was more emphatic than the pre-match model’s 2-1 prediction, which gave Başakşehir a 56% chance of winning, a 24% chance of a draw and Samsunspor a 20% chance of winning.
Goals
- 10'E. Shomurodov · I. Brnic · Başakşehir
- 22'T. Coulibaly · M. Bayo · Samsunspor
- 25'A. Skov Olsen · S. Kharebashvili · Başakşehir
- 41'E. Bayram · J. Kaluzinski · Başakşehir
- 75'O. Ba · J. Kaluzinski · Başakşehir
- 84'E. Tavsan · J. Assoumou · Samsunspor
- 90+1'A. Fayzullaev · S. Kharebashvili · Başakşehir
Cards
- 4'A. Sekongo · Samsunspor
- 85'S. Erakovic · Samsunspor
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: Jakub Kałuziński (Başakşehir) 7.9
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Başakşehir · 4-2-3-1
- 16Muhammed ŞengezerG
- 33Michał KarbownikD
- 23Emin BayramD
- 27Ousseynou BaD
- 38Saba KharebashviliD
- 8Olivier KemenM
- 18Jakub KałuzińskiM
- 70Andreas Skov OlsenM
- 14Eldor ShomurodovM
- 77Ivan BrnićM
- 9Davie SelkeF
Samsunspor · 3-5-2
- 25Bilal BayazitG
- 16Strahinja ErakovićD
- 34Gabriele GuarinoD
- 3Igor DrapińskiD
- 2Josafat MendesM
- 42Antoine SekongoM
- 4Elliot WattM
- 5Celil YükselM
- 17Logi TomassonM
- 10Tanguy CoulibalyF
- 18Mohamed BayoF
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Başakşehir | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Samsunspor | 0.9 | 2.3 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Başakşehir | 9 | -2 | 11 |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 9 | -13 | 4 |
Last meetings
- 2026Başakşehir3-0Samsunspor
- 2025Samsunspor0-2Başakşehir
- 2025Başakşehir4-0Samsunspor
- 2024Samsunspor2-0Başakşehir
- 2024Başakşehir1-0Samsunspor
Absences
Başakşehir
- DoubtfulC. Operi · Inactive
- DoubtfulJ. Opoku · Inactive
Samsunspor
- OutF. Kaya · Inactive
- OutE. Kilinc · Inactive
- OutA. Sousa · Red Card
- OutC. Yuksel · Injury
- DoubtfulI. Drapinski · Injury
- DoubtfulJ. Mendes · Injury
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.90 – 1.07
- Double chance
- 1X · 80%12 76% · X2 44%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57%Over 1.5: 81% · Over 3.5: 35%
- Both teams score
- 57%
- Clean sheet
- 34% – 15%Başakşehir–Samsunspor
- Half-time result
- 1 · 42%X 39% · 2 19%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 35%X/1 17% · X/X 14%
- Expected corners
- 10.05.2 – 4.8 · Over 9.5: 53%
- Expected cards
- 4.12.0 – 2.1 · Over 3.5: 56%
- Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 2-110%
- 2-09%
- 1-09%
- 3-16%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A steep climb from 17th
Başakşehir sit 12th in the Süper Lig with 11 points from nine matches, while Samsunspor are 17th with just four and a goal difference of -13. The gap in the table frames a difficult trip for the visitors, whose injury crisis threatens to make an already testing contest harder.
Başakşehir have taken 10 of their 11 points at home, winning three of five league matches there. Samsunspor, by contrast, have lost three of their four away fixtures. With the visitors short of several options, the home side can look to exploit that contrast.
Form moving in opposite directions
Başakşehir’s recent five-match record includes six goals scored and eight conceded. It is not an entirely settled run, but it offers a far firmer platform than Samsunspor’s: they have scored only three times and conceded 15 across their last five.
Samsunspor have lost nine of their opening league matches and their current sequence is five defeats in a row. Their season total stands at eight goals scored and 21 conceded. The defensive numbers are especially concerning ahead of a visit to a Başakşehir side that has scored 11 times in five home league games.
Recent meetings favour the hosts
Başakşehir have won four of the last five recorded meetings, including 3-0 at home in May and a 2-0 away victory in December 2025. Samsunspor’s one win in that sequence came at home in September 2024; the other match ended 1-0 to Başakşehir.
Samsunspor’s stretched squad
The absences are the defining concern for Samsunspor. F. Kaya and E. Kilinc are listed as missing, while A. Sousa is suspended after a red card and C. Yuksel is out with an injury. I. Drapinski and J. Mendes are also injury doubts, leaving the visitors facing uncertainty across several positions.
Başakşehir have two players listed as questionable: C. Operi and J. Opoku, both marked inactive. Their situation is less extensive, making squad availability a further edge for the home side.
A home platform to build on
Başakşehir’s 11 home goals in five matches point to where the hosts can apply pressure. Samsunspor have conceded 15 across their last five games, and the depleted squad may find it difficult to contain that attacking threat for the full match. The visitors have still scored in their recent run, so a response is possible, but they need a major improvement at both ends.
Our prediction
Başakşehir’s stronger home record, better recent results and more favourable squad picture all point towards the hosts. PreviaXI’s model also favours a home win, with Samsunspor’s absences compounding their defensive struggles, though the visitors may find a goal.
Başakşehir 2-1 Samsunspor
⚑ Report a mistakeEditorial policy
Süper Lig table All previews that day
More Süper Lig previews
Süper Lig 
Trabzonspor 
Gaziantep FK Our pick2–1Correct result
Trabzonspor have avoided defeat in each of their last five meetings with Gaziantep FK. Their stronger recent form and home record put that run in focus again.
Read preview Süper Lig 
Amed 
Eyüpspor Our pick2–0Correct result
Amed’s strong home record sets up a difficult test for Eyüpspor, who arrive after five straight defeats without scoring. The visitors need a response as they sit 18th after nine rounds.
Read preview Süper Lig 
Kasımpaşa 
Beşiktaş Our pick0–1Missed
The last five Süper Lig meetings have produced two draws and three one-goal wins, with neither side able to take control of this fixture for long. Beşiktaş arrive fourth, but Kasımpaşa’s strong home record makes this a finely balanced test.
Read preview Süper Lig 
Fenerbahçe 
Göztepe Our pick2–1Missed
Göztepe have won their last three league matches and arrive on a five-game unbeaten run. Fenerbahçe’s formidable recent scoring and home record promise a stern test.
Read preview