Süper Lig · Matchday 10
Amed
5–1 Full time
Eyüpspor

Our pick2–0Correct result

Amed’s momentum meets Eyüpspor’s deepening crisis

Amed’s strong home record sets up a difficult test for Eyüpspor, who arrive after five straight defeats without scoring. The visitors need a response as they sit 18th after nine rounds.

📍 Diyarbakir Stadium

Preview written:

Match report

Amed beat Eyüpspor 5-1. E. Krasniqi opened the scoring in the 13th minute, assisted by R. Lutin, who also set up G. Orban for Amed’s second in the 35th. G. Orban then assisted S. Ballet in the 42nd minute, before R. Raveloson provided the assist for Ballet’s second goal in the 51st. A. Abdullahi, assisted by A. Sabiri, pulled one back for Eyüpspor in the 73rd. Ballet completed the scoring from the penalty spot in the 83rd, but was sent off in stoppage time at 90+1.

Amed had 55% possession and led the shots 20-8, including 7-2 on target. The hosts also recorded the higher expected-goals figure, 4.95 to 0.98. Samuel Ballet was the top-rated player, with a rating of 9.2. The result was more emphatic than the pre-match model’s 2-0 prediction, although its 78% home-win assessment had favoured Amed.

Goals

  • 13'E. Krasniqi · R. Lutin · Amed
  • 35'G. Orban · R. Lutin · Amed
  • 42'S. Ballet · G. Orban · Amed
  • 51'S. Ballet · R. Raveloson · Amed
  • 73'A. Abdullahi · A. Sabiri · Eyüpspor
  • 83'S. Ballet (pen.) · Amed

Cards

  • 45'J. El Yamiq · Eyüpspor
  • 90+1'S. Ballet · Amed

Match stats

AmedEyüpspor
55%Possession45%
20Shots8
7Shots on target2
4.95Expected goals (xG)0.98
7Corners2
18Fouls5
3Offsides0
1Saves2

⭐ Top-rated player: Samuel Ballet (Amed) 9.2

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Amed · 4-2-3-1

  1. 40Alban LafontG
  2. 7Ermal KrasniqiD
  3. 21Mehmet YeşilD
  4. 4David Robert BatesD
  5. 17Umut MeraşD
  6. 22Rayan RavelosonM
  7. 8Furkan SoyalpM
  8. 93Rayan LutinM
  9. 91Dia SabaM
  10. 10Samuel BalletM
  11. 99Gift OrbanF

Eyüpspor · 3-4-2-1

  1. 1Emre BilginG
  2. 5Jawad El YamiqD
  3. 88Chandrel MassangaD
  4. 33Zak JulesD
  5. 7Talha ÜlvanM
  6. 15Charles-Andre Raux YaoM
  7. 8David CostaM
  8. 70Mete DemirM
  9. 98Bilal BoutobbaF
  10. 11Lenny PintorF
  11. 9Yusuf BarasıF

Match facts

Recent form

AmedWWDWW
EyüpsporLLLLL

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
Amed2.21.1
Eyüpspor0.22.6

League position

PosTeamPGDPts
2Amed9+1020
18Eyüpspor9-213

Last meetings

  • 2019Eyüpspor3-1Amed
  • 2018Amed1-1Eyüpspor

Absences

Amed

  • OutL. Dellova · Yellow Cards
  • OutD. Demir · Knee Injury
  • OutM. Diagne · Red Card
  • OutY. Sor · Muscle Injury
  • OutM. Yildirim · Muscle Injury

Eyüpspor

No reported absences

PreviaXI model

Amed78%Draw15%Eyüpspor7%

Model confidence: Strong

Predicted score
2-0
Expected goals (model)
2.59 – 0.66
Double chance
1X · 93%12 85% · X2 22%
Over 2.5 goals
63%Over 1.5: 84% · Over 3.5: 41%
Both teams score
45%
Clean sheet
52% – 8%Amed–Eyüpspor
Half-time result
1 · 58%X 32% · 2 10%
Half-time / full-time
1/1 · 55%X/1 20% · X/X 9%
Expected corners
9.26.0 – 3.2 · Over 9.5: 43%
Expected cards
5.22.4 – 2.8 · Over 3.5: 71%
Most likely scores
  1. 2-013%
  2. 3-011%
  3. 1-09%
  4. 2-19%
  5. 3-17%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Amed’s chance to turn the screw

Amed’s recent form offers a stark contrast to the pressure building on Eyüpspor. The home side have won four of their last five league matches and sit second with 20 points from nine games, while Eyüpspor are bottom of the 18-team Süper Lig with only three points.

That gap makes this a significant opportunity for Amed to strengthen their position near the top. For Eyüpspor, the immediate priority is to halt a slide that has left them eight points from safety in the standings’ early stages.

One side scoring, the other stuck

Amed have scored 13 goals and conceded five across their last five matches. Their home record is especially imposing: five wins from five league games at home, with 14 goals scored and just three conceded.

Eyüpspor’s recent run has gone in the opposite direction. They have lost five straight matches, scoring none and conceding 17. Across nine league games, they have managed only two goals and have lost eight times. Their five most recent results are all defeats, a sequence that puts the focus firmly on whether they can show greater resistance in Diyarbakir.

Previous meetings offer little guidance

The sides’ two listed meetings came in the 2. Lig in 2018 and 2019. Amed drew 1-1 at home in November 2018, before Eyüpspor won 3-1 in March 2019. Those results belong to a different chapter, with both teams now competing in the Süper Lig.

Amed face five absences

Amed will be without L. Dellova through yellow-card suspension and M. Diagne after a red card. D. Demir is sidelined with a knee injury, while Y. Sor and M. Yildirim are out with muscle injuries.

Home threat against a struggling defence

Amed’s output at Diyarbakir Stadium is a clear strength, with an average of 2.8 goals per home league match so far. Eyüpspor, meanwhile, have conceded 23 times in nine games and have yet to score away from home in the league. That combination leaves the visitors with a demanding defensive task as well as the need to find a way to end their scoring drought.

Our prediction

Amed’s home results and recent scoring record make them strong favourites, while Eyüpspor’s run of defeats and lack of goals leave little evidence of an imminent turnaround. PreviaXI’s model also favours the home side, pointing to a controlled win with Eyüpspor kept scoreless.

Amed 2-0 Eyüpspor

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