Süper Lig · Matchday 10
Kasımpaşa
2–2 Full time
Beşiktaş

Our pick0–1Missed

Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş: Recent meetings point to another close contest

The last five Süper Lig meetings have produced two draws and three one-goal wins, with neither side able to take control of this fixture for long. Beşiktaş arrive fourth, but Kasımpaşa’s strong home record makes this a finely balanced test.

Preview written:

Match report

Kasımpaşa came from two goals down to draw 2-2 with Beşiktaş. L. Trossard put the visitors ahead in the 28th minute, assisted by R. Yilmaz, and D. Vlahovic made it 2-0 in the 47th minute after M. Murillo’s assist. C. Winck pulled one back for Kasımpaşa on 60 minutes, with H. Hajradinovic setting up the goal. M. Rafferty completed the comeback in the 87th minute, assisted by K. Demirbay. There were no red cards.

Kasımpaşa had more shots, 16 to Beşiktaş’s eight, and more shots on target, 6-4. Beşiktaş held 58% possession and had a narrow xG advantage, 1.26 to 1.2. Leandro Trossard of Beşiktaş was the top-rated player, with 8.6. The 2-2 draw differed from the pre-match prediction of a 0-1 Beşiktaş win, with the model assigning 25% to a Kasımpaşa win, 29% to a draw and 46% to a Beşiktaş win.

Goals

  • 28'L. Trossard · R. Yilmaz · Beşiktaş
  • 47'D. Vlahovic · M. Murillo · Beşiktaş
  • 60'C. Winck · H. Hajradinovic · Kasımpaşa
  • 87'M. Rafferty · K. Demirbay · Kasımpaşa

Cards

  • 6'E. Belozoglu · Kasımpaşa
  • 79'A. Arous · Kasımpaşa
  • 90+5'T. Djalo · Beşiktaş

Match stats

KasımpaşaBeşiktaş
42%Possession58%
16Shots8
6Shots on target4
1.20Expected goals (xG)1.26
5Corners2
18Fouls14
2Saves4

⭐ Top-rated player: Leandro Trossard (Beşiktaş) 8.6

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Kasımpaşa · 4-1-4-1

  1. 1Andreas GianniotisG
  2. 2Cláudio WinckD
  3. 4Adem ArousD
  4. 27Matei IlieD
  5. 45Ayberk KarapoD
  6. 26Kerem DemirbayM
  7. 17Jesurun Rak-SakyiM
  8. 10Haris HajradinovićM
  9. 51Elson MendesM
  10. 7Ali Yavuz KolM
  11. 9Adrian BenedyczakF

Beşiktaş · 4-1-4-1

  1. 1Alexander NübelG
  2. 62Amir MurilloD
  3. 12Emmanuel AgbadouD
  4. 53Emirhan TopçuD
  5. 33Rıdvan YılmazD
  6. 6Salih ÖzcanM
  7. 18Václav ČernýM
  8. 15Junior OlaitanM
  9. 4Wilfred NdidiM
  10. 19Leandro TrossardM
  11. 28Dušan VlahovićF

Match facts

Recent form

KasımpaşaWDLWW
BeşiktaşWLWLW

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
Kasımpaşa1.41.0
Beşiktaş2.01.1

League position

PosTeamPGDPts
4Beşiktaş9+818
6Kasımpaşa9+416

Last meetings

  • 2026Beşiktaş2-1Kasımpaşa
  • 2025Kasımpaşa1-1Beşiktaş
  • 2025Kasımpaşa1-1Beşiktaş
  • 2024Beşiktaş1-3Kasımpaşa
  • 2024Kasımpaşa2-1Beşiktaş

Absences

Kasımpaşa

  • OutK. Corekci · Achilles Tendon Injury
  • OutG. Frimpong · Injury
  • DoubtfulM. Ouanes · Muscle Injury

Beşiktaş

  • OutO. Kokcu · Foot Injury
  • OutF. Miretti · Injury
  • OutM. Rashica · Muscle Injury
  • DoubtfulV. Cerny · Injury

PreviaXI model

Kasımpaşa25%Draw29%Beşiktaş46%

Model confidence: Open game

Predicted score
0-1
Expected goals (model)
1.00 – 1.44
Double chance
X2 · 75%1X 54% · 12 71%
Over 2.5 goals
44%Over 1.5: 71% · Over 3.5: 23%
Both teams score
50%
Clean sheet
24% – 37%Kasımpaşa–Beşiktaş
Half-time result
X · 45%1 21% · 2 34%
Half-time / full-time
2/2 · 28%X/X 19% · X/2 16%
Expected corners
10.04.3 – 5.7 · Over 9.5: 54%
Expected cards
5.63.1 – 2.5 · Over 3.5: 75%
Most likely scores
  1. 1-114%
  2. 0-111%
  3. 0-010%
  4. 0-29%
  5. 1-29%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Kasımpaşa’s home record meets Beşiktaş’s away test

Beşiktaş travel to Istanbul fourth in the Süper Lig with 18 points from nine matches, two ahead of sixth-placed Kasımpaşa. The hosts have lost only once in the league so far, while Beşiktaş have won six of their nine games but suffered three defeats.

The recent meetings offer a useful guide to the narrow margins between them. Across the last five league encounters, there have been two draws and three wins by a single goal. Kasımpaşa have won twice, Beşiktaş once, and the other two matches finished level.

Recent form gives Kasımpaşa a platform

Kasımpaşa have taken four wins and four draws from nine league games, and their latest five-match run includes three victories. They have scored eight goals and conceded five across that spell. At home, they remain unbeaten in four league outings, although three have ended in draws.

Beşiktaş have won three of their last five, scoring nine times and conceding six. Their overall record is stronger, but the away form is a concern: they have won once and lost three times in four league trips. They have also conceded seven goals in those away matches.

Head-to-head margins remain tight

The most recent meeting, in March 2026, ended Beşiktaş 2-1 Kasımpaşa. Before that, the sides drew 1-1 in each of their previous two encounters. Kasımpaşa had won the November 2024 match 3-1 away, while their May 2024 home game finished 2-1.

That sequence suggests neither side has found a dependable way to dominate the other. The latest result gives Beşiktaş a narrow edge, but Kasımpaşa have repeatedly made this a close contest.

Absences could shape the balance

Kasımpaşa are without K. Corekci, listed with an Achilles tendon injury, and G. Frimpong, who is injured. M. Ouanes is questionable with a muscle injury.

Beşiktaş will be missing O. Kokcu with a foot injury, F. Miretti through injury and M. Rashica with a muscle injury. V. Cerny is questionable.

Our prediction

Beşiktaş’s stronger league position and greater overall scoring return give them a slight advantage, despite their struggles away from home. Kasımpaşa’s unbeaten home record and the close history between these teams point towards a narrow game; PreviaXI’s model favours the visitors.

Kasımpaşa 0-1 Beşiktaş

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