Our pick2–1Missed
Columbus' recent hoodoo over FC Dallas gives Crew confidence ahead of trip to Toyota Stadium
Columbus Crew head to Frisco with recent meetings against FC Dallas showing an unbeaten run, while both sides chase different goals late in the MLS regular season.
📍 Toyota Stadium(Texas)
Preview written:
All Matchday 32 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
FC Dallas 0-2 Columbus Crew. The match opened in the 18th minute when Gonzalo Tapia put Columbus ahead with an assist from Anass Zaroury. The second goal arrived in the 70th minute from Santiago Rodriguez; there was no assist recorded. There were no red cards.
Statistics highlight a tight game: FC Dallas had 52% possession to Columbus’s 48%, and 16 total shots to 9 for Columbus, while expected goals were 1.09 for Dallas and 1.43 for Columbus. Columbus registered 3 shots on target to Dallas’s 5. Top-rated player was S. Rodríguez (8.2). PreviaXI had predicted 2-1 with home win 44%, draw 26%, away win 30%.
Goals
- 18'Gonzalo Tapia · Anass Zaroury · Columbus Crew
- 70'Santiago Rodriguez · Columbus Crew
Cards
- 16'nolan norris · FC Dallas
- 31'Shaquell Moore · FC Dallas
- 83'Christian Cappis · FC Dallas
- 87'Herman Johansson · FC Dallas
- 90+6'Marcelo Andrés Herrera · Columbus Crew
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: S. Rodríguez (Columbus Crew) 8.2
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
FC Dallas · 3-4-3
- 42DanielG
- 18S. MooreD
- 3O. UrhoghideD
- 32N. NorrisD
- 6R. BinyaminM
- 17RamiroM
- 12C. CappisM
- 77B. KamungoM
- 8P. DelgadoF
- 9P. MusaF
- 10S. MorenoF
Coach: Eric Quill
Columbus Crew · 3-4-3
- 28P. SchulteG
- 31S. MoreiraD
- 25S. ZawadzkiD
- 18M. AmundsenD
- 11B. LennonM
- 7D. ChambostM
- 16T. HabrouneM
- 21A. ZarouryM
- 23M. FarsiF
- 33G. TapiaF
- 8S. RodríguezF
Coach: L. Courtois
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Columbus Crew | 1.6 | 1.6 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Dallas | 31 | +11 | 54 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 31 | +1 | 38 |
Last meetings
- 2023FC Dallas1-1Columbus Crew
- 2020FC Dallas2-2Columbus Crew
- 2019Columbus Crew1-0FC Dallas
- 2018FC Dallas0-0Columbus Crew
- 2017Columbus Crew2-1FC Dallas
Absences
FC Dallas
- OutS. Sarver · Red Card
- DoubtfulL. Farrington · Lower-Body Injury
- DoubtfulGeovane Jesus · Knee Injury
Columbus Crew
- OutW. Abou Ali · Knee Injury
- OutS. Bangoura · Red Card
- DoubtfulR. Camacho · Chest Injury
- DoubtfulA. Gomes · Back Injury
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.57 – 1.26
- Double chance
- 12 · 74%1X 70% · X2 56%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54%Over 1.5: 78% · Over 3.5: 32%
- Both teams score
- 57%
- Clean sheet
- 28% – 21%FC Dallas–Columbus Crew
- Half-time result
- X · 41%1 34% · 2 25%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 27%2/2 17% · X/1 15%
- Expected corners
- 9.33.6 – 5.7 · Over 9.5: 45%
- Expected cards
- 4.02.1 – 1.9 · Over 3.5: 56%
- Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 2-19%
- 1-09%
- 1-27%
- 2-07%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Columbus arrive buoyed by recent meetings
Columbus Crew go to Toyota Stadium sitting 10th in the Eastern Conference with 38 points from 31 games and a five-match run that reads WWWLW. That form has them in better recent momentum than their mid-table standing suggests, and the Crew will take heart from their results in this fixture pair-up.
What’s at stake in Frisco
FC Dallas are second in the Western Conference on 54 points and still very much in the hunt for position near the top of the table. A home win would consolidate that standing; Columbus need points to close the gap on the playoff places in the East and can use an upset here to boost their late-season charge.
Columbus’ edge in recent meetings
The two clubs have not been enemies in recent years: across the last five meetings Columbus are unbeaten, picking up wins in 2017 and 2019 and draws in 2018, 2020 and 2023. That sequence gives the Crew psychological advantage — they know they can get results at or against Dallas.
Availability concerns to watch
FC Dallas will be without S. Sarver for this fixture due to a red card; L. Farrington and Geovane Jesus are listed as questionable with lower-body and knee issues respectively. Columbus also face absences: W. Abou Ali and S. Bangoura miss the game (knee injury and red card) while R. Camacho and A. Gomes are questionable with chest and back complaints.
Who could make a difference
FC Dallas score frequently at home and have a higher home goals tally; their attacking balance at Toyota Stadium will be important. Columbus have been sharper in attack recently — averaging more goals over their last five — and their form suggests they can trouble Dallas on the counter or from set pieces.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model points to a narrow home victory, reflecting Dallas’ stronger home record and expected control in key moments while Columbus’ recent meetings and attacking burst mean this will be tight and contested. Expect goals from both sides and a late decision in Dallas’ favour.
FC Dallas 2-1 Columbus Crew

