Major League Soccer · Matchday 32 
Our pick2–1Correct result
CF Montreal's survival fight continues in Charlotte
CF Montreal travel to Bank of America Stadium sitting 15th in the Eastern Conference and needing points to climb out of the lower reaches of the standings, while Charlotte can tighten its hold on a mid-table playoff push.
📍 Bank of America Stadium
Preview written: · Updated after team news:
All Matchday 32 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Charlotte beat CF Montreal 4-0. Goals came early and then in the second half: 7' Idan Toklomati Jorno (assist Allan Saint-Maximin), 67' Liel Abada (assist Djibril Diani), 79' Liel Abada (assist Idan Toklomati Jorno) and 83' Liel Abada (assist Pep Biel). There were no red cards.
The statistics underline Charlotte's dominance in key areas: xG 2.11–0.45, shots on target 7–1 and total shots 13–10. Charlotte also had eight corners to six and a higher goalkeeper saves count of 1–3. Top-rated player was L. Abada (9.2). PreviaXI's pre-match model had forecast 2-1 with a 53% chance of a home win, 24% draw and 23% away win.
Goals
- 7'Idan Toklomati Jorno · Allan Saint-Maximin · Charlotte
- 67'Liel Abada · Djibril Diani · Charlotte
- 79'Liel Abada · Idan Toklomati Jorno · Charlotte
- 83'Liel Abada · Pep Biel · Charlotte
Cards
- 64'Efrain Morales · CF Montreal
- 86'Daniel Pereira · CF Montreal
- 90+2'Fabian Herbers · CF Montreal
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: L. Abada (Charlotte) 9.2
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Charlotte · 4-2-3-1
- 1K. KahlinaG
- 14N. ByrneD
- 44M. AgyemangD
- 22H. KesslerD
- 15H. ToffoloD
- 8A. WestwoodM
- 28D. DianiM
- 37R. AlokoM
- 16Pep BielM
- 10A. Saint-MaximinM
- 9I. Toklomati GiornoF
Coach: D. Smith
CF Montreal · 4-3-3
- 41S. KeitaG
- 27D. BugajD
- 24E. MoralesD
- 4B. VeraD
- 13L. PetrassoD
- 16W. CarmonaM
- 8M. LongstaffM
- 22V. LoturiM
- 18H. SynchukF
- 14D. RíosF
- 23N. StreitF
Coach: Philippe Eullaffroy
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Charlotte | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| CF Montreal | 1.2 | 2.0 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Charlotte | 31 | +7 | 47 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 31 | -26 | 25 |
Last meetings
- 2026CF Montreal1-2Charlotte
- 2025Charlotte1-4CF Montreal
- 2025CF Montreal0-1Charlotte
- 2024Charlotte2-0CF Montreal
- 2024CF Montreal2-1Charlotte
Absences
Charlotte
- OutN. Berchimas · Foot Injury
- OutB. Bronico · Groin Injury
- OutW. Cleary · Illness
- OutA. Goodwin · Foot Injury
- OutA. John · Shoulder Injury
- OutT. Ream · Achilles Tendon Injury
CF Montreal
- OutB. Ceballos · Lower-Body Injury
- OutT. Gillier · Upper-Body Injury
- OutB. Hidalgo · Groin Injury
- OutJ. Neal · Lower-Body Injury
- OutP. Owusu · Lower-Body Injury
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.83 – 1.15
- Double chance
- 1X · 77%12 76% · X2 47%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57%Over 1.5: 80% · Over 3.5: 35%
- Both teams score
- 58%
- Clean sheet
- 32% – 16%Charlotte–CF Montreal
- Half-time result
- 1 · 40%X 39% · 2 21%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 33%X/1 17% · X/X 14%
- Expected corners
- 10.14.6 – 5.5 · Over 9.5: 55%
- Expected cards
- 4.61.9 – 2.7 · Over 3.5: 68%
- Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 2-110%
- 1-09%
- 2-08%
- 1-26%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A season on the line for CF Montreal
CF Montreal arrive at Bank of America Stadium with immediate pressure: they sit 15th in the Eastern Conference with 25 points from 31 matches and a goal difference of -26, seeking a stronger finish as the regular season nears its end. A positive result in Charlotte would be a significant step toward climbing out of the bottom of the conference standings, while failure would deepen a difficult campaign.
Recent fortunes and what they say
Form across the last five matches is identical on paper — both teams show a 27% last-five form figure — but the underlying numbers differ. Charlotte’s recent five matches have produced eight goals for and 11 against (1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match), reflecting a side that can score at home but has defensive fragility. Montreal’s last five have yielded five goals and nine conceded (1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded), underlining their struggles to find consistent attacking rhythm.
Season-long trends reinforce that gap: Charlotte have been stronger at home with 8 wins from 15 fixtures and average 1.9 goals per home game, while Montreal have managed only six wins all season (four at home, two away) and average 1.2 goals overall. Charlotte’s defensive record is better at home (16 conceded) than Montreal’s away record (39 conceded on the road).
Recent head-to-head results
Charlotte won three and CF Montreal two of their last five meetings. Charlotte won 2-1 away in September 2026, but Montreal won 4-1 at Charlotte in September 2025. The sequence favours Charlotte by wins, while that home defeat shows why the matchup should not be treated as one-sided.
Missing personnel to monitor
Absences affect both squads. Charlotte will be without several options including N. Berchimas (foot), B. Bronico (groin), W. Cleary (illness) and others, which could thin their squad depth. Montreal also miss multiple players: B. Ceballos (lower-body), T. Gillier (upper-body), B. Hidalgo (groin), J. Neal (lower-body) and P. Owusu (lower-body), limiting selection choices for their effort to improve their conference position.
Who could make the difference
Charlotte’s home scoring rate and their ability to find goals in chunks at home this season make their attacking players dangerous in transition and set-piece situations. For Montreal, any forward or midfielder who can unlock chances will be crucial given their modest scoring return away from home; they must be clinical when they create openings.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model favours a narrow home win, projecting a competitive game in which Charlotte’s better home form and slightly stronger chance creation edge give them the upper hand, while Montreal’s defensive frailties and list of absences leave them vulnerable. Expect an open first half and decisive moments from set pieces or counter-attacks.
Charlotte 2-1 CF Montreal
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