Major League Soccer · Matchday 32 
Our pick2–1Missed
What recent meetings reveal about Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati arrive in Miami with mixed form and a history of heavy defeats to Inter Miami in recent meetings; those past scorelines suggest this will be a test of Cincinnati's defensive resilience. Recent head-to-heads have often favoured the hosts and point to a tight, but attacking game.
📍 Nu Stadium
Preview written: · Updated after team news:
All Matchday 32 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Inter Miami and FC Cincinnati drew 2-2 in Major League Soccer. Goals came in the second half: Luis Suárez put Inter Miami ahead in the 61st minute, assisted by Carlos Henrique Casimiro. Kenji Mboma Dem levelled for FC Cincinnati in the 80th minute, assisted by Evander, and Samuel Mawuena Gidi gave Cincinnati a 2-1 lead in the 86th minute from a Tom Barlow assist. Riquelme Fillipi restored parity for Inter Miami in the 90th minute, assisted by Rodrigo De Paul. There were no red cards.
The statistics show Inter Miami controlling 61% possession with 14 total shots to Cincinnati’s 13 and a 0.91 to 0.77 xG edge; shots on target were 4-3. L. Suárez was the top-rated player (8.2). PreviaXI’s model had predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Miami, with pre-match probabilities of home 59%, draw 19% and away 22%.
Goals
- 61'Luis Suárez · Carlos Henrique Casimiro · Inter Miami
- 80'Kenji Mboma Dem · Evander · FC Cincinnati
- 86'Samuel Mawuena Gidi · Tom Barlow · FC Cincinnati
- 90'Riquelme Fillipi · Rodrigo De Paul · Inter Miami
Cards
- 44'Lionel Messi · Inter Miami
- 90+3'Telasco Segovia · Inter Miami
- 90+4'Luis Suárez · Inter Miami
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: L. Suárez (Inter Miami) 8.2
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Inter Miami · 4-3-3
- 97D. St. ClairG
- 2G. LujánD
- 5CasemiroD
- 16MicaelD
- 3ReguilónD
- 7R. De PaulM
- 22D. AyalaM
- 80M. GalarzaM
- 10L. MessiF
- 9L. SuárezF
- 19G. BerterameF
Coach: Kily González
FC Cincinnati · 3-5-2
- 18R. CelentanoG
- 11S. GidiD
- 4N. HagglundD
- 15T. HadebeD
- 23D. DouděraM
- 22G. ValenzuelaM
- 10EvanderM
- 5O. NwobodoM
- 29Bryan Josías Ramírez LeónM
- 9K. DenkeyF
- 17K. Mboma DemF
Coach: Pat Noonan
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| FC Cincinnati | 2.1 | 2.3 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Inter Miami | 31 | +20 | 55 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 31 | -7 | 42 |
Last meetings
- 2026FC Cincinnati3-5Inter Miami
- 2025FC Cincinnati0-4Inter Miami
- 2025Inter Miami0-0FC Cincinnati
- 2025FC Cincinnati3-0Inter Miami
- 2024Inter Miami2-0FC Cincinnati
Absences
Inter Miami
- OutT. Allende · Knee Injury
- OutF. Caicedo · Lower-Body Injury
- OutM. Silvetti · Injury
FC Cincinnati
- OutT. Malacia · Ankle Injury
- OutJ. Malatini · Thigh Injury
- OutM. Robinson · Leg Injury
- DoubtfulE. Echenique · Leg Injury
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 2.61 – 1.59
- Double chance
- 12 · 81%1X 78% · X2 41%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 79%Over 1.5: 92% · Over 3.5: 60%
- Both teams score
- 74%
- Clean sheet
- 20% – 7%Inter Miami–FC Cincinnati
- Half-time result
- 1 · 47%X 31% · 2 22%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 39%X/1 15% · 2/2 13%
- Expected corners
- 9.25.7 – 3.5 · Over 9.5: 43%
- Expected cards
- 4.22.1 – 2.1 · Over 3.5: 61%
- Most likely scores
- 2-18%
- 3-17%
- 1-16%
- 2-26%
- 3-26%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Cincinnati’s run and what it means for Miami trip
FC Cincinnati head to Nu Stadium off a season where they sit eighth in the Eastern Conference with 42 points from 31 games. Their recent league form reads WWLLW and their last five matches show average output (att 53%, def 59%) with 9 goals scored and 7 conceded across those five. That places pressure on them to tighten up away from home against a top-three Inter Miami side (3rd, 55 points), who have stronger home scoring numbers.
Miami’s home force and stakes in the table
Inter Miami arrive third with 55 points and a healthy +20 goal difference. At home this season they have scored 41 in 15 matches (2.7 per game) while conceding 26 (1.7 per game). Miami’s recent run includes stretches of sustained attacking form, and the club will want to protect home ground as they push for a higher finish in the Eastern Conference.
Recent meetings point to an edge for Miami
The last five matches between these sides tell a clear story. Inter Miami have prevailed in high-scoring encounters: a 5-3 win in Cincinnati (13 May 2026), a 4-0 away win in November 2025 and a 2-0 home victory in August 2024. There was a 0-0 draw in July 2025 and a 3-0 Cincinnati win in July 2025, but the trend is weighted toward Miami producing decisive attacking displays in this fixture. Those games suggest Miami are comfortable exploiting Cincinnati’s defensive frailties when they hit form.
Missing men and squad questions
Both teams face absences. Inter Miami will be without T. Allende (knee), F. Caicedo (lower-body) and M. Silvetti (injury), which could affect their squad depth. FC Cincinnati are missing T. Malacia (ankle), J. Malatini (thigh) and M. Robinson (leg), with E. Echenique listed as questionable (leg). Cincinnati’s defensive absences are notable given the fixture history.
Players to watch who shape the clash
With several defenders sidelined, attention will fall on those available at the back for both sides. Inter Miami’s ability to convert chances at home has been a strength this season, while Cincinnati must rely on fit defenders and their attacking outlets to punish any gaps. The absentee lists suggest both managers will have to adjust defensive plans and that attackers on both teams could find space.
Our prediction
Recent head-to-heads favour Inter Miami as a team that can both create and finish chances against Cincinnati, while Cincinnati’s defensive absences make a clean sheet unlikely. PreviaXI’s model also sees Miami as the marginal favourite at home with more expected chances. A competitive, open game looks likely with Miami edging it by a single goal.
Inter Miami 2-1 FC Cincinnati
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