Major League Soccer · Matchday 23 
DC United seek a way out of the bottom three at Cincinnati
DC United head to Cincinnati 13th in the Eastern Conference, needing points to climb away from the bottom three. Cincinnati's home record may decide whether they can do it.
📍 TQL Stadium
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| Scored | Conceded | |
|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati | 2.1 | 2.4 |
| DC United | 1.3 | 1.8 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 29 | -10 | 36 |
| 13 | DC United | 29 | -14 | 33 |
Last meetings
- 2025FC Cincinnati1-2DC United
- 2025DC United0-1FC Cincinnati
- 2024DC United2-3FC Cincinnati
- 2024FC Cincinnati0-0DC United
- 2023DC United3-0FC Cincinnati
Absences
FC Cincinnati
- OutJ. Martinez · Knee Injury
- DoubtfulJ. Malatini · Thigh Injury
DC United
- OutG. Segal · Leg Injury
PreviaXI model
- Most likely score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.01 – 1.33
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65%
- Both teams score
- 64%
- Expected corners
- 6.0 – 4.4Total10.4
- Expected cards
- 2.0 – 2.1Total4.1
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only.
DC United arrive in Cincinnati sitting 13th of 15 in the Eastern Conference, with 33 points from 29 games and a goal difference of -14. Every result from here is about pulling away from the places nobody wants to finish, and a trip to TQL Stadium offers a chance to start that climb against a side just above them.
FC Cincinnati are ninth on 36 points, three clear of their visitors, with a goal difference of -10. That gap in the table is smaller than it looks on paper, and both clubs know a win could change the mood of their season.
Form: a road record that has not helped DC
DC’s last five results read LWLDL, but their away record tells the bigger story. They have won just two of 14 road games this season, with five defeats and seven draws, and they have scored only 17 goals away from home. That is not a base for building momentum.
Cincinnati have not been sparkling either, with LLWLD in their last five. They are far more comfortable at home, however, with seven wins from 14 and 36 goals scored in front of their own supporters, an average of 2.6 per game.
Head-to-head: a rivalry split evenly
The last five meetings have been shared almost perfectly. Each side has won twice, and the other game ended 0-0 in March 2024. DC’s most recent win came in Cincinnati, a 2-1 victory in May 2025, while Cincinnati took the points in Washington with a 1-0 win in April 2025.
Team news: Segal out, Malatini a doubt
DC United will be without G. Segal, who misses the fixture with a leg injury. Cincinnati face their own problems: J. Martinez is out with a knee injury, and J. Malatini is a doubt with a thigh problem.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model favours FC Cincinnati, and the reasons are easy to see. Cincinnati have the stronger home record and have scored far more in their own stadium, while DC have struggled to create and finish away from home. The game could be tight and physical, with both sides capable of finding the net, but Cincinnati’s edge in front of their own crowd should be enough to separate them. For DC, it is another chance to chase points they badly need.
FC Cincinnati 2-1 DC United