Ligue 1 · Matchday 10 
Our pick Away win Correct result
Can Auxerre upset the Ligue 1 picture against Paris FC?
Paris FC arrive in fourth place, seven points above 14th-placed Auxerre. But the hosts’ unbeaten run across their last four meetings with Paris FC offers a reason to believe they can make this a contest.
📍 Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
Preview written:
All Matchday 10 matches Full head-to-head
Match report
Final result: Auxerre 0-1 Paris FC.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 7–10; Shots on target: 2–3; Corners: 1–5; Expected goals: 0.75–0.94.
Goals
- 63' Lassine Sinayoko · Pablo Pagis · Paris FC
Cards
- 15' Cameron Archer · Auxerre
- 15' Pierre Lees Melou · Paris FC
- 16' Sinaly Diomande · Auxerre
- 80' William Still · Auxerre
- 88' Kevin Danois · Auxerre
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: L. Sinayoko (Paris FC) 7.7
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Auxerre · 4-3-3
- 1P. NardiG
- 29M. SenayaD
- 20S. DiomandéD
- 4A. TuanzebeD
- 13T. SiweD
- 8N. AhamadaM
- 17P. EkwahM
- 22F. OppegårdM
- 21R. FaivreF
- 9C. ArcherF
- 10D. NamasoF
Coach: W. Still
Paris FC · 4-2-3-1
- 1K. TrappG
- 14H. TraoréD
- 42D. CoppolaD
- 6OtávioD
- 27M. SimonD
- 20M. LopezM
- 33P. Lees-MelouM
- 10I. KebbalM
- 7P. PagisM
- 23R. MatondoM
- 9L. SinayokoF
Coach: L. Rosenior
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Auxerre | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| Paris FC | 1.8 | 1.1 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Paris FC | 9 | +6 | 17 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 9 | -10 | 10 |
Last meetings
- 2026 Paris FC None-None Auxerre
- 2026 Auxerre 0-0 Paris FC
- 2025 Paris FC 1-1 Auxerre
- 2024 Auxerre 2-0 Paris FC
- 2023 Paris FC 0-2 Auxerre
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.25 – 1.41
- Double chance
- 12 · 73%1X 60% · X2 67%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50%Over 1.5: 75% · Over 3.5: 28%
- Both teams score
- 54%
- Clean sheet
- 24% – 29%Auxerre–Paris FC
- Half-time result
- X · 42%1 27% · 2 31%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 24%1/1 19% · X/X 16%
- Expected corners
- 9.65.4 – 4.2 · Over 9.5: 48%
- Expected cards
- 4.41.7 – 2.7 · Over 3.5: 63%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A seven-point gap to bridge
Paris FC sit fourth in Ligue 1 with 17 points after nine matches, while Auxerre are 14th with 10. The visitors are seven points and ten places ahead, giving them the stronger league position, but Auxerre have home advantage at the Stade de l’Abbé-Deschamps and a chance to disrupt the expected hierarchy.
Paris FC have won five, drawn two and lost two league matches, with a goal difference of +6. Auxerre have three wins, a draw and five defeats, and a goal difference of -10. The contrast is clear, but the recent head-to-head record points to a potentially awkward evening for the visitors.
Paris FC arrive with the sharper form
Auxerre’s last five league matches have brought two wins, a draw and two defeats. They have scored eight goals in that stretch but conceded 12, and their most recent league match ended in defeat.
Paris FC have three wins and two defeats in their last five, scoring 10 and conceding eight. Their latest league outing was a win. Away from home, however, their record is less convincing: one win, one draw and two defeats in four league matches, with four goals scored and five conceded. Auxerre have taken two wins, a draw and one defeat from four home league matches, conceding five goals.
Recent meetings favour Auxerre
Auxerre are unbeaten in the last four meetings, winning twice and drawing twice; Paris FC have not won any of them. All four ended with two goals or fewer. The most recent was a goalless friendly in August, while the last two Ligue 1 meetings finished 0-0 and 1-1.
That history offers Auxerre encouragement, though Paris FC’s stronger league campaign makes this a different test.
Can Auxerre make home advantage count?
Auxerre have scored five and conceded five in four home league matches, with one clean sheet. Paris FC have conceded five in four away games and kept one clean sheet on the road. The hosts have shown they can keep matches close at home, but their 12 goals conceded across the last five league matches underline the defensive challenge.
Our prediction
Paris FC’s better overall record and three wins in their last five league matches give them the edge, even if Auxerre’s recent record in this fixture suggests the visitors may have to work for it. PreviaXI’s model leans towards a narrow away win, with Paris FC’s stronger defensive record a key reason.
Auxerre 0-1 Paris FC
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