Ligue 1 · Matchday 10 
Our pick Home win Correct result
Can Estac Troyes Trouble Paris Saint Germain’s Run?
Paris Saint Germain arrive on a six-match winning streak and top of Ligue 1, while Estac Troyes sit 16th. The visitors’ recent win offers a foothold, but the gulf in form is clear.
📍 Parc des Princes
Preview written:
All Matchday 10 matches Full head-to-head
Match report
Final result: Paris Saint Germain 1-0 Estac Troyes.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 15–8; Shots on target: 7–3; Corners: 5–1; Expected goals: 1.64–0.71.
Goals
- 39' Ilya Zabarnyi · Senny Mayulu · Paris Saint Germain
Cards
- 34' Ilya Zabarnyi · Paris Saint Germain
- 79' Jérémy Le Douaron · Estac Troyes
- 86' Antoine Mille · Estac Troyes
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: Senny Mayulu (Paris Saint Germain) 7.7
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Paris Saint Germain · 4-3-3
- 39M. SafonovG
- 33W. Zaïre-EmeryD
- 6I. ZabarnyiD
- 51W. PachoD
- 21L. HernándezD
- 24Senny MayuluM
- 17VitinhaM
- 8Fabián RuizM
- 14D. DouéF
- 9Ferran TorresF
- 22M. GodtsF
Coach: Luis Enrique
Estac Troyes · 4-2-3-1
- 40H. KonatéG
- 2L. MaronnierD
- 6A. MonfrayD
- 4M. DiazD
- 14I. BouraD
- 17A. MilleM
- 8M. DiopM
- 10M. IfnaouiM
- 7K. DiawaraM
- 29D. KarimM
- 20R. RipartF
Coach: S. Dumont
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| Estac Troyes | 0.8 | 1.8 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 9 | +11 | 20 |
| 16 | Estac Troyes | 9 | -9 | 8 |
Last meetings
- 2023 Estac Troyes 1-3 Paris Saint Germain
- 2022 Paris Saint Germain 4-3 Estac Troyes
- 2022 Paris Saint Germain 2-2 Estac Troyes
- 2021 Estac Troyes 1-2 Paris Saint Germain
- 2018 Estac Troyes 0-2 Paris Saint Germain
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Strong
- Expected goals (model)
- 2.60 – 0.75
- Double chance
- 1X · 92%12 85% · X2 23%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65%Over 1.5: 85% · Over 3.5: 43%
- Both teams score
- 49%
- Clean sheet
- 47% – 7%Paris Saint Germain–Estac Troyes
- Half-time result
- 1 · 57%X 32% · 2 11%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 54%X/1 20% · X/X 9%
- Expected corners
- 8.04.5 – 3.5 · Over 9.5: 30%
- Expected cards
- 3.01.3 – 1.7 · Over 3.5: 35%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A daunting test for Troyes
Estac Troyes travel to Paris on Saturday with a difficult challenge: they are 16th in Ligue 1, twelve points and fifteen places behind leaders Paris Saint Germain after nine matches. Troyes’ latest league outing was a win, a timely lift before facing the division’s leading side.
Paris Saint Germain have built a commanding start, with 20 points and a goal difference of +11. Their six-match winning run makes them clear favourites, but Troyes will hope their latest result can help them frustrate the hosts at the Parc des Princes.
Contrasting runs
Paris Saint Germain have won all five of their last five league matches, scoring 15 goals and conceding four. Overall, they have six wins, two draws and one defeat in nine matches. At home, they have won twice and lost once in three league games, with six goals scored and three conceded.
Troyes have endured a tougher stretch: one win, one draw and three defeats in their last five, scoring three goals and conceding seven. Their overall record stands at two wins, two draws and five defeats. Away from home, they have one win, one draw and two losses in four matches, and have scored only twice.
Paris have had the edge
Paris Saint Germain are unbeaten in the last five meetings, winning four and drawing one; Troyes have not won any of them. The most recent encounter, in May 2023, ended in a 3-1 away win for Paris. The previous meeting at the Parc des Princes was more dramatic, with Paris winning 4-3.
The attacking contrast
Paris Saint Germain’s recent scoring run is the standout threat for Troyes, while the visitors’ three goals across their last five league matches underline the challenge they face in keeping pace. Paris have scored 21 goals in nine league games; Troyes have scored seven and conceded 16.
Our prediction
The table gap, Paris Saint Germain’s six consecutive wins and their stronger recent attack all point towards a home victory. Troyes’ latest win gives them some encouragement, but Paris have dominated this matchup and should have enough control to keep the visitors at arm’s length.
Paris Saint Germain 2-0 Estac Troyes
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