Our pick Home win Correct result
Venezia feel the pressure as Udinese visit
Three consecutive defeats have left Venezia bottom of Serie A, with Udinese just two points above them. Both sides need a response after losing their latest league matches.
📍 Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo
Preview written:
Match report
Final result: Venezia 2-1 Udinese.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 15–13; Shots on target: 4–5; Corners: 3–7; Expected goals: 1.62–0.98.
Goals
- 53' Toma Bašić · Antoine Hainaut · Venezia
- 57' Matias Moreno (o.g.) · Udinese
- 65' Enrique Pérez Muñoz · Pasquale Mazzocchi · Venezia
Cards
- 51' Pasquale Mazzocchi · Venezia
- 90+5' Matteo Palma · Udinese
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: Kike Pérez (Venezia) 8.2
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Venezia · 3-5-2
- 1F. StankovićG
- 25R. HalhalD
- 2M. MorenoD
- 15Juan JesusD
- 18A. HainautM
- 71Kike PérezM
- 19S. SohmM
- 26T. BašićM
- 70P. MazzocchiM
- 10J. YeboahF
- 45A. AdamsF
Coach: D. Nicola
Udinese · 3-4-2-1
- 40M. OkoyeG
- 14J. AbankwahD
- 16M. PalmaD
- 28O. SoletD
- 23M. VojvodaM
- 24J. PiotrowskiM
- 8J. KarlströmM
- 11H. KamaraM
- 10N. ZanioloM
- 32J. EkkelenkampM
- 9K. DavisF
Coach: P. Zanetti
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| Udinese | 1.1 | 2.3 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Udinese | 10 | -12 | 5 |
| 20 | Venezia | 10 | -14 | 3 |
Last meetings
- 2026 Udinese 2-1 Venezia
- 2025 Udinese 3-2 Venezia
- 2024 Venezia 3-2 Udinese
- 2022 Venezia 1-2 Udinese
- 2021 Udinese 3-0 Venezia
Absences
Venezia
- Out M. Šverko · Hip Injury
Udinese
No reported absences
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.59 – 1.40
- Double chance
- 12 · 77%1X 65% · X2 58%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57%Over 1.5: 79% · Over 3.5: 35%
- Both teams score
- 60%
- Clean sheet
- 25% – 20%Venezia–Udinese
- Half-time result
- X · 39%1 33% · 2 28%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 26%2/2 20% · X/1 14%
- Expected corners
- 9.45.1 – 4.3 · Over 9.5: 47%
- Expected cards
- 3.21.5 – 1.7 · Over 3.5: 40%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A meeting with the bottom two at stake
Venezia need to halt a three-match losing run as they face Udinese in a meeting between Serie A’s bottom two. Venezia are 20th on three points after 10 matches, while Udinese sit 19th on five, leaving just two points between them.
The pressure is especially sharp for Venezia, whose record stands at one win and nine defeats in the league. A victory would offer a chance to close the gap and give their season a lift; another defeat would deepen the immediate concern.
Venezia’s scoring burden
Venezia have lost their last three league matches and have scored only twice across their last five, conceding seven. Their overall league record is six goals scored and 20 conceded, with one clean sheet in 10 games.
Udinese’s recent form offers little comfort: they are without a win in eight and have lost their last league match. Across their last five, they have scored three and conceded 12. Their away record is more encouraging than Venezia’s home form, with one win and one draw in four trips, but they have also conceded nine goals on the road.
Recent meetings favour Udinese
Udinese have won four of the last five meetings in all competitions, with Venezia winning once and no draws. The most recent encounter came in September in the Coppa Italia, when Udinese won 2-1. All five meetings produced more than two goals, a pattern that points towards an open contest.
A defensive absence for Venezia
Venezia will be without M. Šverko, who is listed as missing the fixture with a hip injury. In a match where both teams have struggled to keep opponents out, his absence adds another concern for the home side.
Udinese’s away threat
Udinese have scored seven goals in four away league matches, compared with three goals for Venezia across five home games. That difference gives the visitors a route to trouble a Venezia defence that has conceded 10 times at home, though Udinese’s own recent run of 12 goals conceded in five matches leaves room for the hosts to respond.
Our prediction
Venezia’s home advantage and Udinese’s long winless run make this a chance for the hosts to turn pressure into a much-needed result. PreviaXI’s model leans towards Venezia, with the home side’s attacking edge pointing to a narrow win despite both defences’ recent problems.
Venezia 2-1 Udinese

