Bologna’s winning run faces a Parma test

Parma seek to build on a rare lift

Parma’s latest league result was a win, a timely boost for a side that has endured a difficult opening 10 matches. They sit 15th on eight points, six places and six points behind ninth-placed Bologna, who have 14. The visitors arrive with a more compelling question: can their three-match winning streak continue?

Bologna bring the sharper recent form

Bologna have won four of their last five league matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding seven. Their overall record stands at four wins, two draws and four defeats, while away from home they have claimed three wins and lost twice in five matches.

Parma’s last five brought one win, one draw and three defeats, with four goals scored and eight conceded. Their season record is two wins, two draws and six defeats; at home, they have won once, drawn twice and lost twice in five games. The recent victory offers encouragement, but Bologna’s run and greater attacking output make them the side with momentum.

Recent meetings have offered little separation

The last five meetings across all competitions are evenly split: Parma and Bologna have each won twice, with one draw. Three of those games featured two goals or fewer. The most recent, in February in Serie A, ended Bologna 0-1 Parma, a reminder that the hosts have beaten their visitors in this fixture recently.

The league gap and the home challenge

Bologna’s 14 points and ninth place put them six points and six positions above Parma. The hosts have scored only three goals across five home league matches, while Bologna have scored eight in five away games. Parma’s latest win may steady them, but they face a visiting side that has won three league matches consecutively.

Goals at both ends

Bologna’s 11 goals in their last five league games make their attack the clearest threat, though they have also conceded seven in that stretch. Parma have scored four and conceded eight over their last five, so limiting the visitors’ chances will be central to their hopes of extending the lift from their latest result.

Our prediction

Bologna’s stronger recent run and better away scoring record point towards the visitors, although Parma’s latest win and the close head-to-head record argue against an easy afternoon. PreviaXI’s model favours Bologna in a low-scoring match, with the visitors’ attacking edge likely to prove decisive.

Parma 0-1 Bologna