Serie A · Matchday 11
Napoli
1–1 Full time
Lazio

Our pick Home win Missed

Lazio’s winning run faces a Napoli test

Lazio arrive in Naples on a six-match winning streak and top of Serie A, but Napoli will look to make home advantage count. The visitors have also won all five of their away league matches.

📍 Maradona Stadium

Preview written:

Match report

Final result: Napoli 1-1 Lazio.

Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 15–15; Shots on target: 6–6; Corners: 6–6; Expected goals: 2.44–0.92.

Goals

  • 28' Davide Frattesi · Tijjani Noslin · Lazio
  • 48' Alfonso Pedraza (o.g.) · Napoli

Cards

  • 44' Noa Lang · Napoli
  • 65' Billy Gilmour · Napoli
  • 66' Antonio Vergara · Napoli
  • 78' Alfonso Pedraza · Lazio

Match stats

NapoliLazio
48%Possession52%
15Shots15
6Shots on target6
2.44Expected goals (xG)0.92
6Corners6
12Fouls11
2Offsides1
5Saves6

⭐ Top-rated player: D. Frattesi (Lazio) 8.2

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Napoli · 3-5-2

  1. 32V. Milinković-SavićG
  2. 31S. BeukemaD
  3. 13Amir RrahmaniD
  4. 16Rafa MarínD
  5. 26A. VergaraM
  6. 11K. De BruyneM
  7. 6B. GilmourM
  8. 8S. McTominayM
  9. 17M. OliveraM
  10. 19R. HøjlundF
  11. 70N. LangF

Coach: M. Allegri

Lazio · 4-3-3

  1. 35C. MandasG
  2. 15R. Floriani MussoliniD
  3. 37J. ŠutaloD
  4. 25O. ProvstgaardD
  5. 17Nuno TavaresD
  6. 16D. FrattesiM
  7. 21R. BelahyaneM
  8. 24K. TaylorM
  9. 11G. IsaksenF
  10. 9A. PinamontiF
  11. 14T. NoslinF

Coach: G. Gattuso

Match facts

Recent form

Napoli WLDWL
Lazio WWWWW

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
Napoli1.71.3
Lazio2.40.8

League position

PosTeamPGDPts
1Lazio10 +1628
8Napoli10 +414

Last meetings

  • 2026 Napoli 0-2 Lazio
  • 2026 Lazio 0-2 Napoli
  • 2025 Lazio 2-2 Napoli
  • 2024 Napoli 0-1 Lazio
  • 2024 Lazio 3-1 Napoli

Absences

Napoli

  • Out A. Buongiorno · Jumpers Knee

Lazio

  • Out Patric · Sprained Ankle

PreviaXI model

Napoli47% Draw26% Lazio27%

Model confidence: Open game

Expected goals (model)
1.40 – 1.00
Double chance
12 · 74%1X 73% · X2 53%
Over 2.5 goals
43%Over 1.5: 69% · Over 3.5: 22%
Both teams score
47%
Clean sheet
37% – 25%Napoli–Lazio
Half-time result
X · 44%1 34% · 2 22%
Half-time / full-time
1/1 · 28%X/1 17% · X/X 17%
Expected corners
8.55.6 – 2.9 · Over 9.5: 35%
Expected cards
3.81.6 – 2.2 · Over 3.5: 54%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Lazio’s lead is on the line

Lazio arrive in Naples with six consecutive wins behind them and an unbeaten record across their first ten league matches. They top Serie A on 28 points, 14 ahead of Napoli, who sit eighth after ten games. Sunday’s trip to the Maradona Stadium is a stern test of Lazio’s momentum, as well as a chance to extend their advantage over a side chasing the European places.

Napoli have had a mixed start, with four wins, two draws and four defeats. Their latest league outing ended in defeat, so they will be eager to respond on home turf.

Contrasting recent runs

Lazio’s league sequence is emphatic: after three wins and a draw, they have won six in a row. They have scored 24 goals and conceded eight in ten matches, while their last five brought five victories and 16 goals.

Their away form is especially strong: five wins from five league trips, with 14 goals scored and only three conceded. Napoli, by comparison, have two wins, a draw and a defeat in four home league games. They have scored eight and conceded five there, and their last five league matches overall produced two wins, a draw and two defeats.

Lazio have had the edge

The last five meetings across competitions have brought three Lazio wins, one Napoli victory and one draw. Lazio won the most recent league meeting 2-0 away at Napoli in April. Three of those five encounters featured two goals or fewer, a reminder that this fixture can be close despite Lazio’s current scoring form.

One absence apiece

Lazio are without Patric, who is missing with a sprained ankle. Napoli will be without A. Buongiorno, whose absence is attributed to jumper’s knee.

The visitors’ firepower

Lazio’s attack has supplied 16 goals across their last five league matches, while their season total stands at 24. They have also been effective on the road, scoring 14 times in five away fixtures.

Napoli have scored 10 across their last five, and their home record offers a route into the contest: eight goals in four league games at the Maradona Stadium. But Lazio’s run and away resilience give the visitors reason to believe they can keep their momentum going.

Our prediction

Napoli’s home form and the model’s lean toward the hosts point to a narrow result, even with Lazio arriving on a six-game winning streak. The visitors’ away record makes them a threat, but Napoli can edge a close contest.

Napoli 1-0 Lazio

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