Serie A · Matchday 11
Monza
0–1 Full time
Atalanta

Our pick Away win Correct result

Monza under pressure as Atalanta arrive after five straight head-to-head wins

Monza’s three-match losing run leaves them 18th, and the most recent meeting ended in a 4-0 Atalanta win. Atalanta are also searching for a response after their latest league defeat.

📍 Stadio Brianteo

Preview written:

Match report

Final result: Monza 0-1 Atalanta.

Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 22–13; Shots on target: 7–7; Corners: 7–2; Expected goals: 1.42–1.33.

Goals

  • 49' Nikola Krstović · Atalanta

Cards

  • 14' Eddy Kouadio · Monza
  • 48' Leonardo Colombo · Monza
  • 85' Éderson José dos Santos · Atalanta
  • 90+2' Charles De Ketelaere · Atalanta
  • 90+2' Andrea Carboni · Monza
  • 90+3' Ivan Juric · Monza
  • 90+3' Andrea Colpani · Monza
  • 90+4' Ivan Juric · Monza

Match stats

MonzaAtalanta
49%Possession51%
22Shots13
7Shots on target7
1.42Expected goals (xG)1.33
7Corners2
11Fouls6
1Offsides0
6Saves7

⭐ Top-rated player: M. Carnesecchi (Atalanta) 9.2

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Monza · 3-5-2

  1. 1N. TörnqvistG
  2. 60E. KouadioD
  3. 2S. GoglichidzeD
  4. 3L. LucchesiD
  5. 27I. TouréM
  6. 80M. MoutM
  7. 21L. ColomboM
  8. 14E. AkinsanmiroM
  9. 7Ricardo MangasM
  10. 9Gustavo VarelaF
  11. 46Jay RobinsonF

Coach: I. Juric

Atalanta · 4-2-3-1

  1. 29M. CarnesecchiG
  2. 77D. ZappacostaD
  3. 42G. ScalviniD
  4. 23S. KolašinacD
  5. 47L. BernasconiD
  6. 13ÉdersonM
  7. 8Mario PasalicM
  8. 99E. ElmasM
  9. 17C. De KetelaereM
  10. 59N. ZalewskiM
  11. 90N. KrstovićF

Coach: M. Sarri

Match facts

Recent form

Monza LWLLL
Atalanta WLDDL

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
Monza1.72.4
Atalanta1.62.0

League position

PosTeamPGDPts
13Atalanta10 -411
18Monza10 -77

Last meetings

  • 2025 Monza 0-4 Atalanta
  • 2024 Atalanta 2-0 Monza
  • 2024 Monza 1-2 Atalanta
  • 2023 Atalanta 3-0 Monza
  • 2023 Atalanta 5-2 Monza

Absences

Monza

No reported absences

Atalanta

  • Out I. Hien · Muscle Bruise

PreviaXI model

Monza36% Draw22% Atalanta42%

Model confidence: Open game

Expected goals (model)
1.64 – 1.78
Double chance
12 · 78%1X 58% · X2 64%
Over 2.5 goals
66%Over 1.5: 85% · Over 3.5: 45%
Both teams score
67%
Clean sheet
17% – 19%Monza–Atalanta
Half-time result
X · 36%1 30% · 2 34%
Half-time / full-time
2/2 · 26%1/1 22% · X/2 13%
Expected corners
9.14.6 – 4.5 · Over 9.5: 43%
Expected cards
3.01.4 – 1.6 · Over 3.5: 36%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Monza’s need for a response

The last meeting between these sides was a painful one for Monza: Atalanta won 4-0 at the Brianteo in May 2025. Now the teams meet again with Monza under pressure after three consecutive defeats. They sit 18th on seven points after 10 matches, while Atalanta are 13th with 11 points.

That four-point gap gives the visitors a chance to pull further clear, but Atalanta arrive with their own need to turn things around. They have gone four league matches without a win, and their most recent outing ended in defeat.

Defeats and defensive concerns

Monza have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their 10 league matches. Their current three-game losing streak is part of a last-five sequence containing four defeats and one win; they scored nine goals and conceded 12 across those matches. At home, their record is more balanced: two wins and two defeats from four, with nine goals scored and eight conceded.

Atalanta have three wins, two draws and five defeats in the league. Their last five brought a win, two draws and two defeats, with 11 goals scored and 13 conceded. Away from home, however, they have drawn once and lost three times in four matches, conceding nine goals and keeping no clean sheets.

Atalanta’s hold over the fixture

The 4-0 result was Atalanta’s fifth consecutive win over Monza. Monza have not won any of the last five meetings, and there have been no draws in that run. The most recent result underlines the size of the task facing the hosts as they try to halt their slide.

Hien unavailable for Atalanta

Atalanta will be without I. Hien, who is missing the fixture with a muscle bruise.

Goals at both ends

Monza’s nine goals in their last five suggest they can pose a threat, but their 12 conceded in that spell leave little margin for error. Atalanta have also been involved in high-scoring recent matches, scoring 11 and conceding 13 across their last five. Their away record is a concern, yet their run of wins in this matchup gives them a source of confidence.

Our prediction

Monza’s home results offer some encouragement, but their three straight defeats and Atalanta’s dominance in recent meetings point towards a difficult afternoon for the hosts. PreviaXI’s model favours Atalanta, with the visitors’ edge in chance creation giving them the narrow advantage despite their own winless run.

Monza 1-2 Atalanta

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